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With how things are going in the game, it might be that the population will remain low too. Honduras is a much less appealing destination for immigrants in Victoria II than it was in real life.
That's unfortunate to hear. One of my complaints with the game is the immigration system. I haven't played in Central America before, but Argentina starts in a similar situation where they're under the reactionaries and can't get immigrants. I couldn't even become a democracy until the 1880s, and I didn't have enough reforms at that point to attract anyone, so my population barely grew while Brazil's grew exponentially!

It's just frustrating how the top 5 liberalized countries get all the immigrants and everyone else is screwed. Considering the U.S. and Canada will always be at the top, all of South America is competing for 3 slots!
 
Interesting to see how Honduras is faring, even achieving some small industrial development at the cost of civil rights. Although it's good that President Ferrera stepped down peacefully and began a good precedent.
Also, seeing Mexico's plight, I suspect that liberal tendencies will spread south as well.
 
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The World of the 1840s

The World of the 1840s


The Americas

The most major political events of the Americas in the 1840s were prominent in Honduran newspapers and coffeehouses: the failed revolution in Havana, the Mexican-American War, and the subsequent revolution in Mexico. Some broader trends of regional and global politics, however, escape easy mention in a narrative focused on Honduras and are instead laid out here.

The broad trend of the decades in the Americas has been against liberalism and democracy. Most of the American republics are ruled by some form of dictatorship. Even in the democracies of Colombia, Venezuela, and Chile, civil rights are severely limited. Moreover, all of the republics of the Americans feature intense discrimination based on race, disenfranchizing Amerindian and Black residents in either fact or law. The exception to this is the new Republic of Mexican States, whose newly promulgated constitution promised universal manhood suffrage regardless of race or class, enfranchising many excluded from voting in neighboring Guatemala or the USA.

The other major trend in the Americas has been the decline of Britain’s commercial dominance and its replacement by the USA. Throughout the colonial era, Britain constantly subverted Spanish rule by carrying on an illicit trade with Spain’s American colonies. Britain thus inherited a natural place as the main trade partner of the independent American republics. However, this role was challenged during the 1830s and 1840s as the massive population expansion in the Deep South of the USA allowed New Orleans and Mobile to blossom into commercial hubs. The proximity of these Gulf ports meant that American merchants could undercut British merchants, who still had to travel to distant Europe for manufactured goods. Honduras, with its nascent industrialization, had particularly strong ties to these bustling US ports, as it depended on American cotton and coal to feed its textile mills.

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Pictured: Ships entering the Port of New Orleans, which was the largest port in the Americas and the 4th largest in the world at the time


Europe

If major war or conflict did not trouble Europe in the 1840s, it was because the great powers of the Old World were too concerned with turmoil within their own nations. Liberal unrest, coinciding with a financial crisis, rocked Europe and culminated in a series of large-scale revolutions across the continent in 1848. The monarchs of Europe were not, however, caught unawares and within months revolts in France, Italy, and Germany were quickly stamped out. The revolts in Austria, organized by nobles in the Hungarian Diet, were more serious. Hungarian revolutions had the Austrian army on the ropes and Habsburg rule was only secured by the Russian Army, whose intervention was requested by Emperor Franz Josef in 1849.

The use of the Russian Army as the ‘gendarme of Europe’ further soured a bitter relationship between Britain, which had broadly supported the failed revolts, and Russia. Conversely, Austria now looked favorably upon Russia for the aid provided her in Hungary.

The other main axis of tension in Europe was between Prussia and France; a legacy of the Napoleonic War. Over thirty years later, Prussia still feared that a strong France would seek to dominate Europe and acted, in concert with Britain, to hem in the French. France resented this conspiracy against their nation and so allied themselves to Britain’s chief foe, Russia. As a counterweight to the French and Russians, Britain and Prussia maintained a defensive alliance.

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Pictured: Russian Cossacks charged Hungarian revolutionaries. The Cossack became the symbol of Russian oppression and backwards in Victorian Britain


Asia

The Ottoman Empire saw a significant resurgence of its power in the 1840s during the reign of Sultan Abdulmecid. Ottoman authority had waned during the 1830s, the biggest hit being the effective loss of Egypt to the upstart Muhammad Ali Pasha. At the turn of the decade, Muhammad Ali was poised to seize the entire Levant from the Sultan and potentially contest the title of Caliph. Sultan Abdulmecid’s reign was saved by British intervention on their behalf. British and Ottoman forces beat back the Egyptian military and forced Muhammad Ali’s adication in favor of his indolent grandson, Abbas. Bolstered by this victory and the implicit guarantee of British protection against future threats to the Ottomans, Sultan Abdulmecid sent his army into the Red Sea to restore Ottoman control over the Holy sites of the Hedjaz. At the end of the 1840s, the Ottomans had reclaimed the territorial extent and rivaled the power of their own medieval glory.

The 1840s also saw the first European intervention in China, as Britain initiated the ‘Opium War’ against China. The British move to war was driven primarily by a Chinese attempt to ban the importation of opium, grown primarily in British India and one of the few products that the East India Company (EIC) could successfully sell in China. Eager to protect the trade and confident in the superiority of British strength, the EIC successfully lobbied the British government to prosecute a war against China. The Chinese were equally sure of their own military and cultural superiority and were punished for their hubris. Britain’s military advantage showed and, eager to buy off the ‘barbarians’ along the southern coast, the Qing Emperor agreed to allow opium and to cede the island of Hong Kong and the lower Jiulong Peninsula to British rule. This was the start of a long decline of Chinese power versus the West.

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Pictured: British warships destroying the Qing fleet outside Guangzhou


Africa

Britain expanded its influence in southern Africa in the 1840s, displacing native kingdoms and driving Boer settlers further inland. During the 1830s and 1840s, the British authority in the Cape Colony, seized from the Netherlands in the early 1800s, expanded its laws over the Boers and the native Africans, much to the displeasure of both groups. Attempts by Britain to ban slavery were particularly disagreeable to the Boers, who moved inland and established their own republics in the African interior. The Zulu and Xhosa chose instead to stay and fight the British government. Both of these kingdoms lost and their people were largely dispossessed of their lands. Those bands who did flee British rule were all too often captured by raiders and sold to Boer as slaves.

Although the fears of reconquest in the Americas never came true, Carlist Spain did seek territorial expansion. Believing that a foreign conquest would increase domestic support for the dynasty following the death of his father, King Carlos VI played up a minor border incident around Melilla into a cause for war against Morocco, demanding that Morocco cede to Spain the port of Tangiers as collateral. When Sultan Abd al-Rahman refused, King Carlos VI invaded and seized the coast up until the Rif mountains. The last major fighting ended in 1849, with Spain occupying the northern coast. Sultan Abd al-Rahman did not, however, officially recognize Spanish control, laying the groundwork for future tensions.

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Pictured: Xhosa soldiers fire at a British supply train. Although impoverished by being forced off valuable land and having their livestock stolen, Xhosa and Zulu communities continued to resist British rule for decades after the 1840s conquest
 
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The new regime in Mexico is intriguing. I'm intrigued to if they're able to maintain stable democracy for long.
 
the largest port in the Americas and the 4th largest in the world at the time
I had no idea New Orleans was that important, but it does make sense considering it's at the end of the Mississippi.

I enjoyed this overview of the world events since it helps develop the world without getting bogged down in details.
 
I had no idea New Orleans was that important, but it does make sense considering it's at the end of the Mississippi.

I enjoyed this overview of the world events since it helps develop the world without getting bogged down in details.
I'm glad you liked this segment. I saw another AAR writer do a similar thing and decide to steal it.

I was also surprised by the size of New Orleans. I had known about its importance to the trade in the Gulf and along the Mississippi, but never realized how massive that trade must have been to place it up there with ports like Aden and Guangzhou.
 
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I was also surprised by the size of New Orleans. I had known about its importance to the trade in the Gulf and along the Mississippi, but never realized how massive that trade must have been to place it up there with ports like Aden and Guangzhou.
My best guess would be due to the Mississippi being way more important in a world without extensive railroads, highways, airplanes, etc.

Which was the biggest port at this time?
 
My best guess would be due to the Mississippi being way more important in a world without extensive railroads, highways, airplanes, etc.

Which was the biggest port at this time?
Apparently, the largest in the world was London, followed by Liverpool. Although there has been some stuff questioning if these figures undercount Asian ports because there is less info about them.
 
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Although there has been some stuff questioning if these figures undercount Asian ports because there is less info about them.
I could see that being true. It's hard to say since I imagine many of the sources are missing.
 
Honduras, 1850 to 1857

Honduras, 1850 to 1857:


Honduras entered the 1850s as a country on the edge of radical social and economic change. Over the course of the decade, Honduras would experience an industrial revolution, large-scale immigration to urban centers, and the full integration of its rural areas into a global capitalist economy. In 1850, however, these changes were still yet to come.

The construction of railroads had no doubt spurred significant economic growth in Honduras, but the overall economic expansion of 20% between 1843 and 1850 was moderate in comparison to the rapid growth experienced in the middle years of the 1850s. The lines between the capital and the main ports enabled Honduras to tap into a rapidly expanding Caribbean economy centered on New Orleans and based on the export of valuable New World commodities, including coffee and bananas grown in Honduras. Most of the economic growth experienced in the 1840s is attributable to the expansion of these and other cash crops. In 1850, manufacturing remained almost entirely preindustrial. The ‘factories’ on the outskirts of Tegucigalpa and Trujillo were small and staffed by trained artisans manufacturing goods without any but the most rudimentary machinery. The largest industries, textiles and cement, together constituted only around 5% of overall economic output.

Politically, Honduras remained a conservative and authoritarian republic with suffrage narrowly distributed to the few thousand of its citizens with enough wealth to qualify and office holding reserved for an even smaller group of the wealthiest Hondurans. President José Coronado Chavez, selected by the Senate in 1849, held broad dictatorial powers. The vast majority of Hondurans had no political representation and, under the authoritarian 1842 Constitution, all citizens were stripped of the basic civil liberties that they had been guaranteed by the defunct Federal Republic of Central America.

The new decade began with ill omens. An unseasonably cold winter in 1849/1850 damaged many banana plants and left the remaining crop vulnerable to a new type of banana blight that infected Central American haciendas in the spring of 1850. The combined losses from the frost and blight resulted in a huge shortfall that year, moving production back down to 1840 levels. Fortunately, the poor banana crop primarily affected large hacendados who could absorb the loss, as cash crops were not yet commonly grown by peasants. The same blight a decade later could have sent tens of thousands into penury.

In August 1850, revolution again broke out in Cuba. To pursue the Spanish war in Morocco, the largest military expedition that Spain had attempted in decades, troops had been stripped from the colonies, including Cuba. Even after the conclusion of fighting in 1849, soldiers who would have been stationed in fortresses in Cuba, Puerto Rico, and the Philippines were instead guarding mountain passes in the Rif. Cuban revolutions had noticed their island being stripped of soldiers and seized the moment. Using weapons pilfered from armories in 1846, Cuban revolutionaries armed themselves and captured the lightly defended forts of Havana harbor. The revolutionaries had perceived correctly that the Spanish army was too engaged in Morocco to spare a force sufficient to retake Cuba. Moreover, whereas the Havana liberals of 1846 had expected to be welcomed by a victorious liberal revolution in Spain, the revolutionaries of 1850 prepared in earnest for a Spanish invasion. When Spain did send a force to the island in January 1851, they found all the ports under rebel control and their invasion force too small to establish a beachhead.

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Pictured: Crowds in Havana cheer the news that a Spanish invasion was repulsed in January 1851

There were discussions in Madrid of sending a larger force — potentially abandoning northern Morocco to do so — but these were arrested by US intervention. The US Congress issued a statement in April 1851 supporting Cuban independence and invoking the Monroe Doctrine, raising the threat of a war that an overstretched Spain could not hope to win and which would endanger its other colonial holdings. The other major event influencing the Spanish decision to not reinvade was report of a general slave revolt. With the island in turmoil and many Spanish planters leaving for Puerto Rico or Europe, huge numbers of Cuban slaves took control of the sugar plantations on which they worked, disobeying orders, destroying machinery for sugar production, and killing any overseer who dared stop them. While not openly abolitionist, the revolutionaries in Cuba were focused on defending against Spain and were not willing to divide their forces to defend slavery. From the Spanish perspective, any reinvasion of Cuba would now risk war with the USA and require a lengthy occupation of the island to put down the ‘servile revolt’ and hunt down the inevitable bands of maroons. In summer 1851, King Carlos VI decided that no invasion fleet would be sent after the hurricane season passed.

Unwilling to lose Cuba to the crown entirely, however, King Carlos VI declared on the 18th of July 1851 he had heard the demands of the Cuban people and would grant them their independence, appointing his youngest brother Fernando Maria José as King Fernando I of the Kingdom of Cuba. When the news reached Havana months later, Cuba’s revolutionaries were divided on how to respond to the unexpected announcement from Madrid. Liberals though there were, many Cuban revolutionaries had sympathies for monarchy and believed that society needed the stability of a monarch. The deciding factor was US President Millard Filmore’s refusal to support Cuba should they reject the Spanish declaration. Absent US support and divided internally, Cuba’s revolutionaries accepted the Spanish offer and welcomed King Fernando, who disembarked at Havana in December 1851.

President Chavez was the victim of poor luck. His presidential term was at the beginning of the industrial transformation in Honduras, for whose difficulties he was blamed, and did not remain long enough to see the fruits of industrialization. The growth of even small factories in the early 1850s had brought hundreds of peasants to Honduran cities. The early industrialists did not adequately prepare for this migration and the peasants were confined to small shantytowns, where all kinds of vices proliferated. The Church agitated against the brothels and public drinking they saw among the peasant workers, societal ills which they — unfairly — blamed on President Chavez. When Coronado Chavez’s first term approached its end, his moderate and sensible stewardship of state was overlooked and overshadowed by the economic hardship of the 1850 banana blight and the new urban slums that grew larger and more problematic every year. The Senate, strongly influenced by the negative opinion of Coronado Chavez held by the Church, elected not to renew President Chavez’s mandate for another four years.

Instead, in November 1853, the Senate appointed as president Juan Nepomuceno Fernández Lindo y Zelaya, a longtime conservative politician — one of the few from Comayagua and all the more prominent because of it — and freshly returned from a brief five month stint as President of El Salvador beginning and ending with coup d'etat. Juan Lindo was a trusted and respected figure among Honduran conservatives and sought out by those who wanted a steady hand on the wheel.

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Pictured: Juan Lindo, the third President of Honduras

That Coronado Chavez should have been accused of lacklustre economic management was all the more unfortunate because it was in 1853 that the first mechanized loom was imported into the country. As it had in England and the USA, the power loom transformed the Honduran textile industry. Whereas textile factories in Honduras had previously been assemblages of skilled weavers practicing their trade in the same building, the introduction of the power loom allowed for the massive deskilling of textile work. With power looms, not only could an untrained peasant produce textiles, but an untrained peasant workforce could produce a previously unheard amount. Moreover, power looms were just the tip of the iceberg. The 1850s saw a large-scale importation of new industrial technologies from Europe, impacting agricultural processing as well as manufacturing. These inventions allowed Honduras to experience an unprecedented economic boom in the 1850s and created a true industrial society, where unskilled peasants are turned into an urban proletariat engaged in mechanized production.

The issues created by peasant migration into the cities — which were so concerning to the Church and the main reason Coronado Chavez did not receive a second term — did not disappear with the election of Juan Lindo. Early industrialists were very eager to staff their factories, usually pulling workers from their own haciendas. Cut off from the family, communal, and religious ties of rural life, the new peasant workers experienced low morale and many turned to drink. The industrialists had also failed to adequately prepare for the movement of people to cities. Originally, most industrialists had conceived of factories as part time ventures, whose workforces could be swelled with peasant labor during slack times in agriculture; peasants who could be sent back into the fields during the planting and harvesting seasons. As a consequence, worker housing in Honduras was shoddy and temporary. Workers were either skilled artisans, who already lived in urban areas, or peasants whose brief stints in the cities did not require more than shacks or tents.

Even by the early 1850s, this original plan was being abandoned. Industrialists quickly saw the immense profits to be reaped from factory production and were encouraged to keep peasant workers in the cities rather than let them return to the farms. The shift to a more permanent working population was not, however, paired with an improvement in worker living conditions. Peasant workers were still expected to live in tents or shanties and without their families. It was these living conditions that fostered the culture of drunkenness and licentiousness that so offended conservative and Catholic opinion. The problem became worse every year of Coronado Chavez’s presidency, as more factories moved more peasants into the cities. The issue really escalated, however, post-1853, when the textile industry exploded and prompted the migration of hundreds of peasants every single year, creating their own shantytowns at the edge of Honduran cities.

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Pictured: Slums and shanties built on the outskirts of Tegucigalpa in the 1850s

The issue of the peasant workers was resolved only gradually in the mid-1850s. The symptoms of the issue were treated first, led by the Catholic Church. New services were established for the peasant workers — and in Tegucigalpa a new church — in a concerted effort to get them to abandon sin, with a special focus on the abuse of alcohol that was rampant in the shantytowns. Civil administration, supported by the employers themselves, also did their part to crackdown on alcohol abuse. In 1855, Tegucigalpa became the first Honduran city to ban public drunkenness, as well as severely limiting who could sell alcohol and at what times. This ordinance was soon copied by other major Honduran cities.

The root of the problem also gradually came to be addressed, as industrialists came to terms with the idea of factory workers as a permanent population disconnected from agriculture. The single biggest change was allowing the families of peasant workers to move to cities with them. Whereas industrialists had previously only allowed the male workers themselves to move, by the mid—1850s more factories agreed to permit the movement of wives and children, sometimes even parents. By the late 1850s, factory workers still lived in shantytowns slum on the outskirts of cities, but they did so with their families as part of a new permanent laboring population; a population that had not existed at the beginning of the decade.

The creation of a new mechanized production system staffed by a permanent industrial working class in the mid to late 1850s was a major blow to the skilled artisans who had made up the previous system of manufacturing. The hardest hit group were skilled weavers, who found their industry entirely displaced by the much cheaper industrial goods, although weavers were far from the only industry impacted. These skilled artisans were the main opponents of the industrialization occurring at the time and swelled the ranks of illegal political clubs and liberal revolutionary groups.

Fortunately for President Lindo, the growth of a new liberal opposition among skilled workers was matched by the decline of factional tensions among the Honduran elite. In light of the enormous amounts of money to be made, the pressing issues of previous decades faded in importance among the Honduran ruling class. Previous disagreements over political liberties and the role of the Church remained, but most wealthy Hondurans were focused on carving out their own lucrative niche in the industrial economy and supported policies to expand and prolong the economic boom. The shared economic interests of conservative and liberal hacendados and factory-owners outshone their other differences and created a strong pro-business consensus within the Honduran government. The suggestions of the Sociedad de desarrollo were approved almost reflexively during this period. This consensus among the ruling class was stable largely because of the structure of the Honduran economy. Factories in Honduras were usually owned by small groups of merchants and hacendados, who often sourced the labor from their own rural estates. The costs of entry into this industrial economy were comparatively low and it was very rare for any of these business groups to own more than one factory. Overall, this created the conditions for fair and balanced competition between small firms in which virtually the entire upper class had the means and opportunity to participate.

The new pro-business consensus had a major impact on Honduras’s foreign and trade policies. Although tariff rates had declined throughout the presidencies of Coronado Chavez and Juan Lindo, they still remained high compared to the free trade period during the Federal Republic and many bureaucratic barriers to trade remained. The continued difficulty of cross border trade became a major issue in the mid-1850s. The flourishing textile industry in Honduras was extremely dependent upon imports: cotton, coal, and machinery from the USA; and indigo from El Salvador. The profit margins on factories in the 1850s were highly dependent upon the price of these imports, which was artificially inflated by tariffs and the general difficulty of moving goods across the border. Restrictions on the indigo and dye trade with El Salvador stood out as particularly grating, as that commerce was so integral to the textile industry and a little more than a decade ago that border had not existed. In February 1856, Congress voted to sharply cut tariffs across the board and greatly simplify the import process. In addition to showing the strength of the new pro-business bloc, this move demonstrated the new trade relationship at the heart of the Central America economy, the shared economic interests of Salvadoran planters and Honduran industrialists.

The idea of common interests between El Salvador and Honduras was an idea encouraged by the largest trade partner of both, the USA. Firm in their dominance of American politics, the ideologues of the Democratic Party in the 1850s envisioned a major role for the USA in the Caribbean at the heart of an economic empire responsible for producing the agricultural produce — cotton, tobacco, sugar, coffee — upon which industrial society depended. For the most ambitious men of the Democratic Party, this dream was coupled with the reintroduction of slavery across the Caribbean. US President Franklin Pierce and his Secretary of State William Marcy saw a natural alliance of interests between the commodity-producing countries of the Caribbean; an opportunity for the USA to check against an incursion of Britain or Spain into its economic empire.

In April 1856, under US auspices, a conference was convened in Havana between senior delegations of El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua, the Dominican Republic, and, of course, Cuba — the countries most connected to the USA by commerce and supportive diplomatically. It was presided over by the US ambassador to Cuba, William Robertson, who used to conference to pontificate on the burgeoning economic and cultural ties between the nations present and indicated that the USA would protect the trade routes between these five nations and itself. Ambassador Robertson then proposed a treaty of mutual defense between the countries; in reality, considering the lacklustre militaries of all the Caribbean nations, a collective guarantee from the USA. All of the representatives present signed the Havana Treaty and forwarded it for ratification by their governments — in Cuba, the Cortes approved it against the wishes of King Fernando, who had been forced to accept a limiting constitution in 1853, much to his chagrin. In Honduras, the government looked favorably on the treaty. Honduras had no navy with which to protect an ever more important trade in the Caribbean and the treaty promised US protection at the minimal cost of pledging to assist El Salvador and Nicaragua in the unlikely situation that they were attacked. President Juan Lindo signed the Havana Treaty in May 1856 and it was quickly ratified by the Senate.

The US push for a ‘commercial empire’ in the Caribbean did not end with the Havana Treaty. The US ambassador in Central America, Beverly Clark, had been watching the massive growth in cross border trade in the 1850s, particularly the transformation of Honduran ports and railroads into an entrepot for coffee from the entire region. Clark wrote to his superiors at the US State Department and received permission to pursue a reintegration of the Central American republics. From the US perspective, the independence of each of these nations unnecessary limited commerce, and thus the potential profits to be made by American merchants through the export of the region’s main commodity: coffee. His plan thus approved, Beverly Clark visited each of the Central American presidents in turn and, depending largely on a signed letter from US President Pierce, convinced each to attend a conference on regional integration and commerce in San Miguel in March 1857.

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Pictured: US Ambassador to the Central American republics, Beverly Leonidas Clark

The San Miguel Conference was convened with the clear intent of recreating the defunct Republic of Central America in some form. Although all the presidents had fought for independence and secession only decades before, the boogeyman of liberal domination had largely vanished and none were openly opposed to reunification so long as the states retained the final say vis-a-vis the federal government. From the opening of the conference, then, the discussion was always for a loose confederation with a weak federal government and strong states.

This proposal attracted varying degrees of enthusiasm from the assembled heads of state. Honduras’s Juan Lindo and El Salvador’s Francisco Dueñas were the most open to reunification. The use of Salvadoran indigo in Honduran textile plants and the export of Salvadoran commodities through Honduran railroads and ports were now key to the economies of each state. This created a popular pressure on both sides of the border for greater integration. President Dueñas was particularly eager, as failure could signal the end of his political career in perpetually unstable Salvadoran politics.

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Pictured: Salvadoran President Francisco Dueñas

Nicaragua’s José Maria Estrada was also strongly in favor of the return to a federation. Since independence, Nicaragua had been bedeviled by the constant threat of liberal revolution emanating from Leon and incursions by the British and their Miskitu allies along the Rio San Juan, beginning with British gunboats seizing San Juan del Norte for the Miskitu Kingdom in 1848. President Estrada hoped that federation would resolve several of these problems by providing a unified conservative front against liberal revolution and the British. President Estrada was also eager to flatter Ambassador Clark and thus keep the goodwill of the USA, which he knew was essential to preventing more of eastern Nicaragua from falling under the sway of the Miskitu King George Augustus Frederic II.

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Pictured: Nicaraguan President José Maria Estrada

Costa Rica and Guatemala were the least convinced of the utility of a new federation. Costa Rica had always been distant and aloof from the rest of Central America and — as encouraged by the tutelage of his uncle-in-law, Braulio Carrillo — President Manuel Bonilla was skeptical of the benefits of being tied to the other republics. Guatemala’s President Mariano Paredes was also cool to the idea of federation, despite the fact that Guatemala, with its huge coffee and indigo plantations, was positioned to benefit substantially from any such federation. Guatemalan reluctance was likely due to the influence of Pedro de Aycinena, Foreign Minister, Vice President, and éminence grise of Guatemala, who had a strong personal motive to prevent federation and shield Guatemala from outside influences that could have weakened the extraordinary power his family wielded over national politics.


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Pictured: Costa Rican President Manuel Bonilla (left) and Guatemalan President Mariano Peredes (right)

The essential shape of what was to be the ‘Confederation of Central America’ was quickly decided among the three supportive members: Juan Lindo, Francisco Dueñas, and José Maria Estrada. The Confederation would have no powers or revenues except those granted it by the states and state law would always nullify the decisions of the federal government. The most important feature of confederation would be a free trade zone among its members, with no customs, borders, or tariffs between the states. To the key constituencies — Salvadoran indigo and coffee planters, Honduran industrialists, Nicaraguan ranchers — this was the crucial part of the Confederation.

Although mollified in that their own state governments would supersede federal law, Mariano Peredes and Manuel Bonilla were still unconvinced of the benefits of confederation. This was the stage of the San Miguel Conference at which Beverly Clark played a crucial role. Meeting with Peredes and Bonilla separately, Clark warned each that Honduras, El Salvador, and Nicaragua were going to form a union with or without Guatemala and Costa Rica. He also implied that the USA would not look favorably on a refusal to join the confederation, an important issue to both Guatemala and Costa Rica in their territorial disputes with Mexico and Colombia, respectively. Thus coerced by Ambassador Clark, Mariano Peredes and Manuel Bonilla both agreed to join a future Confederation of Central America and joined the Honduran, Salvadoran, and Nicaraguan presidents in hammering out the details of the new union.

It was decided that the Confederation of Central America would have its own president, vice president, and unicameral legislature, the Confederation Congress. The members of the Confederation Congress, two from each state, would be chosen by the senates of each of the member states. A president and vice president would then be selected by the Confederation Congress from its membership. This indirect system was a product of an unwillingness to grant the Confederation government any real power and a reflection of the anti-democratic political systems already existing in the states. No tariffs or border controls of any sorts would apply between the states and provisions were made for the mutual recognition of corporations registered in one state by the others. On the 27th of March 1857, the assembled presidents signed the San Miguel Agreement, establishing the Confederation of Central America.

It is hard, as a historian, to overemphasize how transformational the decade prior to confederation was to Honduras. In 1847, Honduras was a peasant economy geared towards subsistence farming, largely cut off from the outside world, and with almost no production to speak of. In 1857, Honduras was fully integrated into the global economy and had a burgeoning industrial base. The construction of railroads in the late 1840s proved critical, connecting the Honduran interior to the booming Caribbean economy. This transformation was particularly important for the peasant farmers who constituted the vast majority of the Honduran population. Railroad access afforded all Hondurans the opportunity to sell produce, particularly coffee and bananas, to export markets. By the mid-1850s, peasants began to take advantage of this new opportunity in large numbers, choosing to grow cash crops rather than the food crops they had traditionally cultivated. The other major societal change was the emergence of the textile industry. The Honduran textile industry created a population of some 5,000 permanent urban industrial workers, a group that had never previously existed in Central America. This new proletariat, employed on mechanized looms imported from Europe, was capable of production on a scale far beyond that imaginable a decade earlier. Textile manufacturing in 1857 alone produced goods more than twice the value of the entire Honduran economy in 1850. The windfall profits of this industry were absorbed by the traditional ruling elite, now transformed into the capitalist class in Honduras.

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Pictured: The inside of the Rooker y Valdes factory in Trujillo, one of the largest textile mills in Honduras
 
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Well that was an interesting read! Honduras' industrialization seemed to go quite well, although they have all the moral problems that go with industrialization, just on a smaller scale.

The Confederation also seems very interesting, although that's a unique choice to allow states to usurp the federal laws. At this point, it's really just an economic union, isn't it? I'll be curious to see whether things change with the growth of industry.

Edit: Also, thanks for mentioning the Miskito, that led me down an interesting rabbit-hole of reading.
 
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Interesting to see Cuba gain its independence, and under a king no less.
The creation under US domination might be a bit problematic for the future but the American civil war may provide some useful opportunities.
Also, I wonder if Guatemala and Costa Rica will still have some lingering resentment towards the confederation in the future.
 
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The creation under US domination might be a bit problematic for the future but the American civil war may provide some useful opportunities.
Also, I wonder if Guatemala and Costa Rica will still have some lingering resentment towards the confederation in the future.
I guess these two issues will come to a head when the ACW inevitably happens and the US mercantile empire in the Caribbean will seen the weakest, any resentment against the confederation will boil over at that moment in time
 
Instead, in November 1853, the Senate appointed as president Juan Nepomuceno Fernández Lindo y Zelaya, a longtime conservative politician — one of the few from Comayagua and all the more prominent because of it — and freshly returned from a brief five month stint as President of El Salvador beginning and ending with coup d'etat
How many other figures can claim to have been heads of government for multiple independent states?

Good stuff all around. Happy to see industrialization leaping forward so that the whole region doesn't fall behind. I only hope that the conservative leaders get wise and do something to improve the conditions of the proletariat before too long.
 
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How many other figures can claim to have been heads of government for multiple independent states?
Well, there was a short period in the 1860'ies, also connected to the Transvaal Civil War if I'm correct, where the same man was both president of the ZAR and the OFS, with unification not happening because of the threat of British intervention
 
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Interesting to see Cuba gain its independence, and under a king no less.
The creation under US domination might be a bit problematic for the future but the American civil war may provide some useful opportunities.
Also, I wonder if Guatemala and Costa Rica will still have some lingering resentment towards the confederation in the future.
Oh, you bet, big time. I'll get into it in the next update, but the Confederation is a dysfunctional mess.
 
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The Early Confederation, 1857 to 1860

The Early Confederation, 1857 to 1860:


The Confederation of Central America was far from the dream of Francisco Morazán reborn. Whereas the leading lights of the Federal Republic of Central America had been inspired by the USA, with its division of powers between state and federal government, none of the founders of the Confederation were interested in surrendering the tiniest amount of authority to the new confederal government. The Confederation Congress and its officers had no power to raise revenues themselves and any laws they passed could be nullified by the states. The confederal government had no army nor any way to enforce its will. The function of the Confederation government depended entirely upon cooperation and compromise between its member states.

The first Confederation Congress, which met for its first session in San Miguel in May 1857, was disunited and dysfunctional from the moment of its inception. The compromise and unity that was needed for the confederal government to function was not forthcoming, even on procedural issues. Much of the first session was taken up with the issue of choosing a confederal capital and selecting the president and vice president. The ten delegates could not agree on a city or candidate, leading negotiations to drag on until the very end of the summer. The compromises reached were also less than encouraging: in late July, the Congress elected Lorenzo Zepeda of El Salvador to the presidency, largely because the congressmen believed that his chronic lung disease would keep him from favoring any state or, indeed, governing effectively; the issue of the confederal capital was resolved in late August by agreeing to move the capital to a different state every year at the same time that new congressmen were selected.



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Pictured: Lorenzo Zepeda, first President of the Confederation of Central America. He died in 1858, shortly after completed his term


The source of the issues impeding the first Congress was the fact that two of the five members — Guatemala and Costa Rica — did not want to join the Confederation and were strong-armed into joining by the US Ambassador. Whereas the leaders of El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua were all eager to knit the region together with commerce, Costa Rica and Guatemala failed to see how they would benefit. The Confederation government lacked the power or revenue to act without the approval of all the states, consistently leaving it hostage to Guatemalan and Costa Rican approval. This situation was exacerbated by weak leadership at the confederal level. President Lorenzo Zepeda was selected by his peers because he lacked the ability to effectively govern and was succeeded by a series of other dissolute leaders chosen for their weakness.

The political divide in the Confederation replicated an economic divide between the Salvadoran-Honduran core of the Confederation and its periphery. The Honduran textile industry was at the center of the Centroamerican economy, composing 25% of total economic output and accounting for 90% of all manufacturing across the Confederation. This textile industry was deeply integrated with the Salvadoran economy, which produced most of the indigo dye used in Honduran factories, but not with the economies of the other states. Some entrepreneurial Salvadorans and Nicaraguans, taking advantage of commercial connections in Honduras, set up small preindustrial factories purchasing Honduran fabric to be made into clothes; together, these employed around 14,000 workers at the time of Confederation.

Outside of this core, the Centroamerican economy remained overwhelmingly rural and agricultural, essentially unchanged for the past 30 years. The majority of the population in Guatemala, Nicaragua, and Costa Rica — and the rough majority of the Confederation’s 1.2 million citizens — was engaged in subsistence agriculture. In Honduras, this had begun to change as peasants became integrated into the global commodity market, but, for most of Central America, this change had yet to come. Outside of Honduras and El Salvador, commerce remained focused on the export of cash crops grown on haciendas, especially bananas and coffee, and lumber. The proceeds went to the tiny enfranchised minority and were mainly used to import fine finished goods from Europe. The export of cash crops was also hugely important to the Honduran economy, especially for its peasantry, but industrialization also created a new commercial relationship focused on the export of textiles and the import of cotton and coal for factories. Together, these essential industrial goods accounted for a third of all the Confederation’s imports, almost all of them imported from the southern USA.


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Pictured: Coffee drying on a hacienda. For most Central Americans, economic life continued to focus on either the village or the hacienda, of which was the later had any strong connection to the global economy


The politics of the early Confederation was consumed with two issues to the exclusion of almost all others: internal improvements and the threat posed by Mexico. Whereas the Mexican boogeyman united the rulers of Central America in a common apprehension over social revolution, the internal improvements question would prove to be the main battlefield of Centroamerican politics for over a decade.

The perceived threat from Mexico emerged as the first Confederation Congress was meeting in San Miguel. At this same time, Mexican and Colombian representatives were meeting in Veracruz to conclude a treaty of alliance between their nations. The Ocampo-Pardo Treaty that came out of this, signed in May 1857, bound together Latin America’s two most powerful democracies. Although the intent of the treaty had been to safeguard both signatories against US or British meddling, Central America perceived it as proof of a conspiracy to peel off more Centroamerican land for themselves or, possibly worse, to foment liberal revolution. Suspicion was particularly high in Costa Rica, which had a longstanding border dispute with Colombia, and Guatemala, from whom Mexico had seized the Los Altos region in 1843. Fears about Mexico hosting, funding, and even arming liberal conspiracies were rife in the 1850s. Centroamerican liberals had participated in the 1849 revolution and held positions in the government of the new United Mexican States. Many worried that this Centroamerican party in Mexico’s government would drive Mexico towards a third invasion of Central America, this time with the goal of overturning the entire social order.

The consequence of this fear of Mexican subversion or invasion was to rally the states of Central America behind the Havana Treaty. While Costa Rica and Guatemala had not been party to the original Havana Treaty, they now appreciated the protection it afforded the Confederation. The threat seemingly posed by the Ocampo-Pardo Treaty silenced discussion on the Havana Treaty and what could have been a contentious issue was instead settled unanimously. This is all the more noteworthy because Centroamerican fears were entirely misplaced, as evidenced by numerous contemporary statements by Colombian and Mexican officials. One of the chief priorities of Mexico’s Foreign Secretary, Melchor Ocampo, was building a healthy working relationship with the USA, a goal that would have been undermined by invading a US ally. Blinded by paranoia, however, Central America’s leaders dismissed all Mexico’s overtures of peace and leaned heavily into the Havana Treaty.

Domestically, the first substantive issue to come up before the Confederation Congress was internal improvements: plans to have the confederal government fund the construction of railroads and canals. Railroads had transformed Honduras over the past decade and the hacendados of El Savlador and ranchers of Nicaragua were eager for these rail lines to be extended across the border, preferably with the debt split between all of the states. Guatemalan and Costa Rican politicians, however, were skeptical. This led to a prolonged stalemate over the issue, as the Guatemalan and Costa Rican congressmen refused to pass any bill allocating revenue for internal improvements. The gridlock would prevent any action on the issue for the first two sessions of the Confederation Congress.

Guatemala, politically and economically, remained dominated by the Aycinena family and its allies, who were worried about whether their dominance would survive integration into the global market. For the first two years of the Confederation, Guatemala’s representatives voted squarely against any internal improvements. Guatemalan opinion only changed when a boom in demand for lumber showed the Ayicenena family firsthand the fruits of integration into the regional economy.

Costa Rica was even more strident in its opposition to internal improvements. Costa Rica was economically isolated from the other states, producing and selling coffee with little to no commercial interaction with the other Centroamerican states. Knowing this, Costa Ricans assumed that no benefit could come to them by bearing the debt of others. Moreover, studies undertaken under Costa Rica’s President Manuel Bonilla had shown that uneven terrain made it so railroads could not be constructed to connect Costa Rica’s coffee haciendas with the coast, so, from the perspective of Costa Rica, there was no potential benefit to funding internal improvements. If railroads could not be built in Costa Rica, the Costa Rican government saw no point in assisting internal improvements in other states.


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Pictured: Coffee plantation in the hills of Costa Rica. Almost all wealthy Costa Ricans grew coffee and were uninterested in paying for anything that would not assist their particular commerce


The only carrot that the other members of the Confederation could realistically offer Costa Rica or Guatemala was a promise for the confederal government to subsidize the cost of an enlarged army on their disputed borders with Colombia and Mexico, respectively. This solution, however, was unfeasible for other reasons. Although Honduran and Salvadoran politicians were willing to make this compromise, Nicaraguans were emphatically opposed. Nicaragua generally felt like the neglected middle child of the Confederation and was unwilling to endorse a plan that paid off Guatemala or Costa Rica if the confederal government did not also subsidize the improvement of Nicaraguan defenses against the Miskitu along the Rio San Juan. Costa Rica was utterly unwilling to consider sending their revenues to either Guatemala or Nicaragua, making the whole issue a nonstarter and trapping the Confederation in gridlock until the end of 1858.

The path to internal improvements was opened in 1858 by the construction of an industrial sawmill along Guatemala’s Rio Motagua. Lumber had long been one of Guatemala’s main exports, but almost always in raw form as logs floated down the river and processed elsewhere. The new sawmill, dreamed up by a consortium of Honduran industrialists, proposed to process the trees with modern equipment in Guatemala, processing more lumber and at a greater profit. The success of the first sawmill, built in November 1858, spoke for itself. When plans to build a second sawmill came out in early 1859, the Aycinena family was the largest investor and a new advocate for confederal investment in waterway improvement and canals. Swayed by a number of letters on the subject penned by Guatemalan Vice President Pedro de Ayicinena, the Guatemalan congressmen switched their votes to support internal improvements when the third session of Congress convened in Managua in 1859.


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Pictured: Workers at an early sawmill in Guatemala. The import of mechanical saws allowed a boom in the lumber trade


With Guatemala now supporting internal improvements, the only remaining obstacle was Costa Rica. But, unlike the Guatemalans, the Costa Ricans could not be practically convinced of the benefits of internal improvements; for isolated Costa Rica, there were none. The first bill of internal improvements was only passed by the Confederation Congress in March 1859 through subterfuge and corruption. Unwilling to fund the internal improvements out of their own state budgets and despairing that they should ever be funded otherwise, the politicians of the other Centroamerican states decided to bribe Costa Rica’s leadership into tapping the public purse. The sociedades anonimas for the railroads to be approved for confederal funding was created in February 1859. Listed among its founding members were both of the Costa Rican congressmen, Costa Rican President Manuel Bonilla, the Vice President, and thirty other members of Costa Rican Congress, each holding a substantial stake for which no matching contribution can be found. Palms appropriately greased, the Confederation’s first internal improvements bill was passed by a unanimous vote in the Confederation Congress.
 
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The first bill of internal improvements was only passed by the Confederation Congress in March 1859 through subterfuge and corruption. Unwilling to fund the internal improvements out of their own state budgets and despairing that they should ever be funded otherwise, the politicians of the other Centroamerican states decided to bribe Costa Rica’s leadership into tapping the public purse. The sociedades anonimas for the railroads to be approved for confederal funding was created in February 1859. Listed among its founding members were both of the Costa Rican congressmen, Costa Rican President Manuel Bonilla, the Vice President, and thirty other members of Costa Rican Congress, each holding a substantial stake for which no matching contribution can be found.
I feel... not terrible about this particular instance of corruption? Sometimes poor peripheral regions need to be bought off to accomplish the ends of the center. Lots of US programs have looked like this historically (though I will admit more of that money ends up in the hands of the people than I expect of these railroad profits).
 
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Best case scenario might be a initial collapse of the Confederation, with the two outlaying republics opting out whilst the three remaining ones slowly redevelop into a proper federation, which the other two might rejoin
 
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