As it was fully my intention to go to war sometime in 1938 or 1939, my production queue became part of my timeline considerations. When would I have a sufficient air force? When would I have sufficient armored divisions to push through my spearheads? When would I have RADAR? When would my fortresses be sufficient to hold off an assault? When would I have enough infantry to hold the lines, and to defend the spearheads once the armor had rushed through?
Practically everyone in Europe, at this point, had tanks of some sort. The Czechs had some of the best in the world (ironically so did Sweden). So we would need a solid armored force to go up against theirs. Fortunately we expected we were better than the Czechs in both numbers and in training. A diplomatic solution was possible -- perhaps even likely -- but we could not count upon it.
In February 1937 I was already expecting to have a 5th light armored division and Germany's first medium panzer division, with Panzer IIIs. A newly trained mountain division might be useful in portions of the Czech landscape, such as the Sudetenland. Our navy was beginning to expand. We had paratroopers -- two divisions of two brigades apiece -- expected in April and May, respectively.
Our defensive forts along the French border would be complete around summertime. That's when I planned to make a diplomatic shove -- just in case the French shoved back, militarily.
Meanwhile, the Japanese continue to push south slowly through China. Would China be doing any better if we'd chosen to allow them to be an ally? I doubt it -- there's nothing, really, we could have done for them. We have our own problems.
The only problem that might have been better on our side, had I chosen to stay with the Chinese, was our Rare Materials situation. Earlier in the AAR, I'm sure I mentioned how critical the resource stockpile issue is for Germany, especially (because of it's huge, hungry industrial economy). And HPP complicates this issue by artificially punishing large stockpiles (that's the "storing problems" negatives in the tooltips).
Having 32,000 Rares is pretty cool - that's where I want to be. But the Metal stockpile is pitifully low from where it needs to be to support my economy. My IC is nowhere near where I want it to be, yet even at this level my usage (see the -24/day) means that's only a 3 year supply, and empty after that. Fortunately, Germany produces alot of her own Metal supply, and we can seize more, and trade for yet more. I'm not overly concerned about this -- just keeping an eye on it.
In late winter and spring we're moving units into place north and south of Czechoslovakia in an attempt to pressure her to hand over her stolen German-populated territories, unjustly granted them in the postwar treaties.
Here, you'll notice my typical composition for my panzer divisions. I don't know how typical this is, but it works for me in HPP. Medium panzer divisions have 2 medium panzer brigades, supported by one motorized and one support regiment.(actually, probably 2 or 3 regiments, abstracted as one for game purposes). The light panzer divisions have either 1 or 2 light panzer brigades with 1 or 2 motorized and the support regiments. Notice, also, we're still producing reserve divisions, so they're understrength. For now, that shouldn't be an issue -- I expect to find the Czech divisions similarly understaffed.
My philosophy for deploying Radar(SIGINT) is to have one strategically placed location from which to observe the enemy. Saarlouis serves our purposes on the French border, and by mid-summer, after 5 levels of Radar, a 6th under construction, and two Radar tech advances, I can see quite far into the French frontier, and can see almost all of the Lowlands deployments.
Our fort, there at Saarlouis, as well as in all the border provinces to the south, is either up to level 3 already, or will be there by Fall 1938. These provinces typically have 2 or 3 heavy AA batteries, and at least 4 brigades of garrison troops, along with support regiments (artillery, AA, AT) and reserves of foot- and motorized infantry just behind the lines. North of Saarlouis, along the Dutch and Belgian borders, we have lower level forts, and coastal forts being completed up to the 2nd level along all of Germany's exposed North Sea coastal provinces. Several airwings of fighters and bombers are lined up along the French border, to assist if it comes to war. We're not going to need our air forces so badly in the east.
We notice some French light armored divisions, placed to rush into Belgium should the need arise. In other news, Italy joins in alliance with us, and Stalin is rumored to have purged his military of thousands of experienced officers. This gives us heart (roleplaying here -- we all knew this was coming, right?), and makes us re-evaluate our global strategy.
Could we get away with a quick war in the West, before having to worry about the Russians??? The Schlieffen Plan failed Germany once, but primarily because of the inertia of period warfare. With modern mobile warfare tactics (and modern logistics transportation strategy!) -- and even before, had it been implemented properly -- the Schlieffen Plan wasn't a bad idea.
We also sited some Radar stations in Breslau, with the intent of keeping an eye on both Czechoslovakia and Poland. They aren't sufficiently developed, yet, to give us full intelligence on Czech defenses, but what we can see, along the borders, is helpful. Their defense is not sufficient to stop us.
We're ready to go, by the end of July 1938. But, in the event, our worries were for naught. On July 31, the Czechs' "Western Allies" convinced them not to trouble with keeping the Sudetenland. Even the French and British felt the prior treaties were overly harsh, and understood completely why we should want these lands back. The Czechs were less understanding, but they had hardly a choice. They retreated from their borders, giving up most of their protective forts and mountain ranges.
Our divisions move forward, into positions meant to threaten the remainder of Czechoslovakia. Historically, there is debate as to whether Hitler intended to take the rest of these lands -- some historians believe the Munich Pact provoked a government crisis, causing instability in Prague, and Germany moved in to fill the vacuum and restore stability. It's a likely story, but one which may have elements of truth. In any case, I'm not roleplaying in this particular instance -- I'm intending to remove the obstacle posed by the rest of the strangely shaped rump Czech lands.
The Treaty is not without cost, however. Relations and trust levels between the major powers are the main casualty of this bloodless takeover, as you will see in a minute.
But first, let's look at the new face of Europe (I own an atlas, btw, which shows Europe in exactly this state -- it's quite a fascinating historical artifact!). We've gained a slight advantage in any planned assault into Poland -- slight. But perhaps one of the main benefits of the takeover is the occupation of the uranium-producing province of Karlovy Vary. German scientists are eager to rush into work on nuclear power and bombs, though the German government, at this point, seems to have other priorities.
As you can see, the Anschluss put Europe on alert as to the resurgence of Germany. Munich made them realize Germany was serious about reacquiring her lost territories and reunifying the German people. The French, having already been rather alarmed, due to historically bad blood, only seemed a little more hysterical. The Dutch and Belgians remembered how much honor Germany had given to pronouncements of neutrality in the past.
Only Poland, oddly, seemed to ignore the German threat. They were fixated on the Soviet Union. And perhaps, somehow, they clung to a notion that anti-communist Germany might be their counterbalance against the Soviets.
As you can imagine, technological research continued apace, as part of Germany's absolute priority to become more advanced than all of its potential opponents.
There's alot here that's obvious. Defensive Support Weapons and Steel Production, naturally! Light Small Arms and Special Forces both help our paratroopers and mountain soldiers, along with the Assault regiments (engineers) which we have several of in key locations where they are anticipated to be needed to either hold redoubts or cross rivers.
The anti-tank guns are important -- leads to tank destroyer development. The Airframe Advance will allow us to improve our pathetically weak and short-ranged fighters in time to be better than their opponents. And please note that's the 2nd advance in Spearhead Theory in 2 updates, so you know we're pushing it hard.
We also continue to improve our panzer forces. Earlier you saw the gun and engine advances. Now we're improving organization (staying power) and morale (recovery speed), both of which are going to be critical for keeping our spearhead thrusts moving as fast as they must to fully implement Guderian's theories on mobile warfare.
We are ready to implement the next stage in our conquest of Czechoslovakia...
... when cooler heads realize that, perhaps, we're going about things the wrong way. Why feed the monster? Why do what's expected? Such an invasion is only going to aggravate tensions, put the Western Allies more fully on alert, give them more time to prepare.
Doing what's expected was how the last war was fought... The one we lost. Doing the unexpected is the essence of mobile warfare. Surprise -- hitting where you're not expected, else the defenders would have been there in force.
Ever since Germany cemented itself together in the wake of two lightning-shock wars -- the Austro-Prussian and Franco-Prussian wars of the 1860s and '70s -- Germany's military philosophy has been to skirmish and infiltrate, to probe until weaknesses are found and then scrabble out the advantage by exploiting it. Our generals forgot that lesson in the Great War, leading to Germany's utter devastation. But even then -- too late to do any good -- our generals remembered the old lessons and implemented them with storm troops.
Germany, this time, will NOT do what's expected. We will jump the gun. We will steal a march. The General Staff ordered a massive rail transport of our most important units across the breadth of our country to the other frontier.
If war with the Western Allies was inevitable -- and it was -- it would be fought on OUR terms. Germany ordered a full mobilization for war. But not in the East. Only Germany had been preparing, researching, fortifying her borders, honing her swords to a razor sharpness for 3 years. Western Europe was still waking up to the threat. They were concerned, but certainly not ready.
Germany was ready. The might of our armies was instead assembled along the Dutch border at the end of September, with a tentative launch date of October 1, 1938.