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Porkman

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You shouldn't be advancing at all in the north, there is just nothing there.
Centre needs Moskau, Süd should be going to Caucasus instead of Voronezh. Central Russia offers little benefits.

Do you have any preparations against possible Allied landings in Western Europe?

He should advance North because he needs to save the Finns. If he can cut off the Soviet Front against Finland, the Finns will eat whatever troops are up there.
 

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Advancing North (hopefully) will allow him to pocket the troops up there, completley secure his northern flank, take two cities.. And possibly cut off that route for Allied Lend-Lease to the Soviets. Assuming resistance is light it frees up Finnish troops to recover thier MP and hopefully take on garrison or partisan duties or at least rebuild thier military, which was pretty shattered for awhile. If they can rebuild and restrengthen in th elong run it hopefully will work better. And two less Soviet cities is still two less Soviet cities, and cutting off more aid they get makes thier economy die all a little bit faster (I think)
 

Enewald

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Advancing North (hopefully) will allow him to pocket the troops up there, completley secure his northern flank, take two cities.. And possibly cut off that route for Allied Lend-Lease to the Soviets. Assuming resistance is light it frees up Finnish troops to recover thier MP and hopefully take on garrison or partisan duties or at least rebuild thier military, which was pretty shattered for awhile. If they can rebuild and restrengthen in th elong run it hopefully will work better. And two less Soviet cities is still two less Soviet cities, and cutting off more aid they get makes thier economy die all a little bit faster (I think)
The land ease will just come through Vladivostok.
 

Sir Dippingsauce

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LONG LIVE THE REICH!
And the Hitler that doesn't kill Jews for no reason!
 

Surt

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Letting subs/raiders come too close to the enemy bases is just suicide. Raiders should operate off Brazil (until active) and off the south-west tip of south-america. Sub should change raid zones as soon as they sink something as the hunter-killers concentrate on the last area where there was a sinking.
 

Uriah

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I bet for a stalemate between lack of German MP and Soviet replacements that will make this war last longer than the Roman-Persians wars

I will keep an eye on clouds of Arab horsemen from the south.

It would be nice if the Soviets went first. Being out of manpower could really hurt once the allies come calling.

It would be more than nice: it would be well deserved.

i await what name you may choose
frankly i think a collapse of the wehrmacht would be much more interesting to watch but id hate to cast doubt upon the inevitable victory over the russians

I agree that a fighting withdrawal to the gates of the Reichskanzlei has its attractions as a story, but I don't think I am up for another 3-4 years of writing, and I think it will take that long.

Noooooo! What would be most interesting would be to have the Russians go, then see if the Doppelganger can pick off Romania and a few other recalcitrant minors for rare materials, then see if he has enough ships and manpower left for sea lion.

Before I even thought about Sealion, I would need to do about a year of naval research: my tech is still 1939.

ah yes, but i invision a glorious fight to the death over berlin with the few division still intact after the red army's unstoppable drive across eastern europe

Some sort of Gotterdammerung? The Doppelganger finally being found out at the last moment?

I kind of want to see how you do an AI driven invasion of the UK.

I would also like to see a sudden collapse of the Brits on the Asian Mainland once the Soviets collapse and you can blitz through turkey. (And Gibraltar for that matter.... I seem to recall that Spain is under occupation)

I think such things are but dreams: if Russia can be beaten the German nation will become hippies and begin at least 10 years of nothing but procreation to replace the 10 million dead.

"yawn ..." We already got to see that IRL. Besides, when I have run to zero manpower with Germany in this game nearly all my units get annihilated on the front line and the Russians march calmly to Berlin in 3-4 weeks with no opposition. I never seem to get the cadre of crack units stashed waiting to die gloriously. I doubt Uriah could make that happen because of AI limitations. Granted, he is a far better player than I am so he could probably pull it off with reorgs and redeployments done manually. Please keep in mind though that if your scenario does actually occur I will watch with interest, but I can't see it happening.

You forgot the smiley after "he is a far better player than I am". Or have you fallen for the line that when I win it is me, when I lose it is the AI.

all very fair points
well however things go i don't see things lasting very much longer in a general sense whether there is victory or defeat (unless Uriah somehow beats russia and GB and launches an invasion of america, which, i might add, would be amazing), i do hope to see another amazing AAR after the end of this one perhaps from the prespective of america or russia instead

I don't think I will be writing after Christmas. Surely in 3 months I can beat Stalin. I have been toying with the idea of a BI HOI4 AAR but it is a very different system and I am not sure yet if it attracts me enough to put in the effort. I have also been looking at EU IV again, though that is getting a bit ancient.

Thats a lot of russian victories near kursk...
and to make matters worse only a month left till D-day
things are not looking good for us now are they

The north and south are pretty good, but supply in the middle is crippling me. Half my units are in the rear resupplying while the few at the front are getting murdered.

Wow, not the greatest week for the Wehrmacht, but supply improvements mean that your troops can push harder and the Soviets are being run down.

Supply is improving but the intensity of the fighting in the centre is sucking it up faster than it can get through. And I can't allow the Red Army to push me back from the steel art Kursk.

The Russians are definitely blood thirsty. Hopefully they will finally break.

They are blessed with BI giving them a lot of nerfs: but one day they will run out of equipment, no matter how many men they have.

Has anyone prepared the subs to get to Argentina?

I am not sure my subs (all at least 5 years old) would make it .

Goodness. Terrible losses this week. While the improvements in infrastructure are welcome are there any more support brigades that will be ready soon? It's too bad the lack of man power keeps you from building more panzer grenadier division's which would really help. Hopefully the better infrastructure will allow more bombing which will lower your losses and help you recover. Forward to kursk

You are right that the key is my bombers: if I could get even half flying regularly the ground troops would be on their knees thanking Goring. At the moment I get about 10k casualties a week from bombing and I should be getting well over 20k. Still, one must do with what one gets.

a lot of defeats and the Kriegsmarine has been wiped out... and no men for replacements...

The Kriegsmarine is not wiped out! The subs are pretty bashed about, but the main fleet is safe in the north.

You shouldn't be advancing at all in the north, there is just nothing there.
Centre needs Moskau, Süd should be going to Caucasus instead of Voronezh. Central Russia offers little benefits.

Do you have any preparations against possible Allied landings in Western Europe?

The fighting in the north is to save Finland and prevent the Russian there from resting and moving south. I am aiming for Voronezh to make sure that I can hold Kursl securely. It is the steel resources I want to take, then the oil in the Caucasus. The problem with the last is the supply across the Kerch Straits: I can only keep about 20 divs going and even then not if they all want to fight. So I am forced to fight where I can: which is in the north. Once I have blocked access to Finland, I will drive southeast to Moskow.

The advance in the north is going for two major cities (Kalinin and Arkhangelsk), as well as being meant to support the Finns by pocketing the Russians on that front and annhilating them. Both are good goals. It's only AFTER that is achieved that there is nothing there.

True, but see also my need to fight where I have plenty of supply. I can't afford to let the Russians rest when I have fully armed divisions ready.

He should advance North because he needs to save the Finns. If he can cut off the Soviet Front against Finland, the Finns will eat whatever troops are up there.

True too: see above

Advancing North (hopefully) will allow him to pocket the troops up there, completley secure his northern flank, take two cities.. And possibly cut off that route for Allied Lend-Lease to the Soviets. Assuming resistance is light it frees up Finnish troops to recover thier MP and hopefully take on garrison or partisan duties or at least rebuild thier military, which was pretty shattered for awhile. If they can rebuild and restrengthen in th elong run it hopefully will work better. And two less Soviet cities is still two less Soviet cities, and cutting off more aid they get makes thier economy die all a little bit faster (I think)

Every bit of rebuilding the Russians have to do is a step to victory, and supply to the Leningrad area is about the best I have, both land and sea.

The land ease will just come through Vladivostok.

True, and the Japanese are a great disappointment.

LONG LIVE THE REICH!
And the Hitler that doesn't kill Jews for no reason!

I am not sure that we should continue that: it is getting a bit close to banned comments.

Letting subs/raiders come too close to the enemy bases is just suicide. Raiders should operate off Brazil (until active) and off the south-west tip of south-america. Sub should change raid zones as soon as they sink something as the hunter-killers concentrate on the last area where there was a sinking.

You are probably right, but I simply cannot envision micromanaging subs at this stage of the war. I did when fighting the UK in France, but now the Battle of the Atlantic is a side show. The subs are all outdated and if lost, it is not a great deal.



Slowed down writing (many distractions) but give me another few days and the next week's events will be up.
 

Sir Dippingsauce

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I don't think I will be writing after Christmas. Surely in 3 months I can beat Stalin. I have been toying with the idea of a BI HOI4 AAR but it is a very different system and I am not sure yet if it attracts me enough to put in the effort. I have also been looking at EU IV again, though that is getting a bit ancient.
Whatever you make will be bloody brilliant, old chap!
.... As long as I get my HOI3/darkest hour/4 Nationalist China AAR....
 

107zombiekiller

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TBH my last few games in black ice for HOI4 have been somewhat dissapointing, mainly due to the base game its self and its glareing flaws IMO
though with any luck it should be good enough by 2017 for an AAR
one way or another i demand you give us some sort of link to any new AARs you begin, i can no longer be content without my weekly reports from the front (whatever front it may be)
 

BBBD316

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Forget subs for raiding, what about subs for the relocation of key staff to South America should the worst happen!!!!
 

Uriah

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Doppelgänger: the Untold Story of the Third Reich


Minister Goebbels has been very quiet for some years, working in the background to keep the population if not happy, at least not openly rioting in the streets. When one considers that we have lost 10 million soldiers in the East (admittedly many have not been German, but Italians, Finns and other volunteers, but the bulk were German), he has done well to keep those working in our factories and offices enthused enough to keep the Wehrmacht running.

Now he has become alarmed and has approached the Führer. He has come to the decision that his propaganda cannot keep the growing anxiety under control. Apparently he has been using a methodology involving "focus groups" to identify the triggers for this anxiety and one of the most poisonous is the use of the phrase "Unternehmen Barbarossa". His research shows that this term has an immediate negative impact on our citizens and is associated with death, failure and increasing suffering. His solution: to drop all mention of Barbarossa and to rename the conflict in the East to something more positive.

It all sounds a bit like something from an advertising agency, but Goebbels is nothing if not persuasive, and he has won the battle for the Cabinet. I cannot think of a reason to try to alter the decision, so from now on the term used will be "Unternehmen Sonnenaufgang". Apparently this name inspired the subjects in Goebbel's groups, suggesting cleansing, happiness and ultimate victory. We will see if that is the case.

1%20-%20%201new%20dawn_zpsiono99al.jpg


I had to stand in for the launch of the "New Dawn" rally​

Otherwise the administration will upgrade our Army Group headquarters in line with the latest study on best practice in leadership and control. We will now concentrate on new ways to draw up Grand Battle Plans, to increase our effectiveness in attacks and our ability to reinforce ongoing battles. The level of infrastructure in Karma has been raised slightly, which was the only practical gain made.

A busy night with several clashes, all of which we won, was followed by dawn victory in Prochorovka. That outcome was never in doubt but it is always good to start the day with a decent win. It should soon be followed by another, as Pavlov's armour is unlikely to do much to Brandenberger's 16.PzD in Spas Demensk. We have twice the number of tanks, and our panzers are again of better quality. Dolotskoye, where we are on the attack, is less certain. Kempf insists that 19.ID can defeat the 136,000 defenders, and it is undoubtedly true that most of Golubov's men are of low morale and poorly supplied. General List has approved the attack, so I must assume that success is at least possible.

During the morning there were two more Soviet attacks. The first, on Orlevskiy, has as its target one of von Falkenhorst's weak links: Battisti's 4th Alpini Division "Cuneense". The Italians are carrying out a masterful delay, probably the best tactic in the circumstances, but with the Russians outnumbering them by more than ten to one it can only be a matter of time before Battisti must give the order to pull back. The other attack, on Rossosh, is the complete opposite. 2nd Guards TC 7 will be lucky to escape without serious damage from von Salmuth's regular infantry and SS gebirgsjägers.

So far so good, and the rest of the day did nothing to upset the beginning of "Sonnenaufgang". Dietrich and LSSAH carved their way through the Soviet conscripts, disregarding the ten to one odds and inflicting losses at a rate of more than five to one. A hopeless armour attack on "Das Reich" in Pristen can be safely ignored, and the only other event before I left for my apartment was another victory. Krasnaya Gora was small, but it was a win, and a total of just over 2,000 dead for the day. A glorious sunrise, and promise of a beautiful day ahead.

Sunday's first item of news was not so welcome to me: even the most optimistic assessment of our assault on L'gov would not see 15th Waffen Grenadier der SS (lett Nr 1) take the city. That attack did make Schubert's three division attack on Cherenskoye appear more reasonable, despite the heavy forest and 130,000 Russians hiding in the trees.

There was also a reminder of the threat in the west, with the Reichsluftverteidigung sending Gerstenberg's fighters to St Quentin to intercept RAF aircraft including some strategic bombers. As far as was known, the enemy has aborted the mission.

On the ground in the east, the overnight reports remained positive. 99th Tankovaya extricated itself from Spas Demensk after losing 20% of its strength and the Guards were forced to give up hope of taking Kuznetsovka from Moser's gebirgsjägers. As the morning reports started to arrive, more victories were claimed, including the almost miraculous successful defence of Orlovskiy by the Alpini. Battisti even kept his losses well below 700 men, and Schmidt's wonderful success in Gummala more than made up for the price paid to keep Orlovskiy.

More news was arriving from the west and it confirmed that the RAF was back in action. Gerstenberg came under attack over Soissons but was never in danger due to the timely arrival of von Bülow-Bothkamp with another 500 fighters. That was not the only air battle, however, Felmy clashing with 300 British fighters over Compiègne. Shortly after, more enemy aircraft appeared over Chateau Thierry, but again we outnumbered them with both von Bülow-Bothkamp and Kammhuber able to get their geschwader in place in time.

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The Supermarine Spiteful is one of the new fighter aircraft deployed by the RAF​

Just in case I began to hope that the ground fighting in Russia was declining, allowing our manpower reserves some respite, "Wiking" and 102.ID moved back into the disputed Pobeda area and Blaskowitz came under attack in Yartsevo. OKH assured the Reichskanzlei that both battles would be over quickly, that we would win both and that casualties would be minimal, but that did not completely satisfy my concerns.

My concerns in fact were raised as our hopes of success in Dubrovskiy were dashed, and what we had thought would be a win for the dogged Altrichter against a huge but disorganised mass of soldiers turned out to be a serious loss. 6,500 dead is double the total casualties we have suffered so far this week.

In addition, the Luftwaffe had to admit that the strategic bombers that we had intercepted over St Quentin had not been turned back to Britain, but had continued towards its target: Venezia in Italy. Only a prompt response by Gersternberg allowed us to again intercept the bombers before they reached the undefended city. The air battle of Merano will save the Italian factories from destruction: the British fled with Gerstenberg chasing them to Belluno as they tried to make their way back to Britain. None of them made it. At the other end of the western "air front", Waber pursued Baker's fighters back across the Channel, catching them over Portsmouth. Fresh British aircraft arrived in the form of Freeman's squadrons, but Waber was reinforced by Kammhuber's geschwader and our planes more than held their own.

By noon it was time for another attempt to take the critical northern province of Lodenoye Pole, the defenders already softened up by Förster's bombers. "Feurwehr" is advancing without any problems, so perhaps the bombing has broken the morale of the defenders. A little later the battle for Ostrogozsk began, von Salmuth pushing towards Voronezh. That too we are favoured to win easily, but the other battle that we started on Sunday is not as attractive a proposition. Lema, adjacent to Lodenoye Pole, is strongly held, and Schack's 258.ID is not powerful enough to blast its way forward.

The end of the day did bring some relief however. Grasser announced that the Russians had abandoned the defence of Pobeda: our two divisions had, in less than 24 hours, killed over 2,000 Russians while losing just 69 men between them. Enough to convince me that 14th May could be marked as another successful day for the Wehrmacht.

Any doubts about our ability to deal with Soviet armour should be settled when our infantry divisions are all equipped with the latest anti-tank weapon developed by the WaffenAmt: the 12.8cm PaK44 L/55 gun. With that threat under control, we are preparing for Stavka to resume "human wave" attacks by researching a new light artillery gun.

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Surely the end of the dominance of Soviet armour: the 12.8cm PaK44 L/55​

Another good start to a day, blemished by an air battle over Reading, west of London. Overconfidence on the part of our fighter commanders could cost us dearly as the RAF is still too strong for us to challenge them over their own territory. That is a relatively minor concern, at least for now. The RAF has launched no large strategic bombing attacks on the Ruhr, and perhaps we have shot down enough fighters to make the British think twice before committing the vulnerable bombers.

It is in the east that the real danger lies, and the early news from Russia was positive. Hilpert and 33.ID are going well in Staryj Oskol, threatening both Kursk to the west and Voronezh to the north. Even better, Brennecke has led four divisions into Blagodarnoye and has overwhelmed the remnants that comprise the garrison. While the province is not strategically important, destroying the defenders will make the position of the Army of the Crimea more secure. We did lose the battle for Lgov, but I had expected no other result and the 4,000 dead is about the level of losses I had expected so my confidence was not affected too much. To add to my confidence that fortune was smiling on the Heer, 70th Tankovaya has exposed itself to the combined firepower of five of our units, including two panzer divisions. General Nehring anticipates if not the complete destruction of the enemy force, at least crippling it.

While I was absorbing events in the east, a handful of telegrams had been received from the west, all from Reichsverteidigung. Air battles had continued over Portsmouth and after some hours Kammhuber, outnumbered two to one, had lost 75% of his aircraft. At the same time, back in France, Gerstenberg was under pressure over Tournai, our old enemy Burnett carrying out his old role of tying up our interceptors. Will our experience of last year be repeated? Will the RAF bleed our air defence dry and then launch the strategic bombers against our factories?

With so much going on, it was with some surprise that I noted that it was barely 11AM in the morning. Time enough for Brandenberger to have organised his three units in Spas Demensk and Bytosh to advance on Ugra, east of the fortified area of Dorogobuz. Even with a panzer division it will not be easy to take Ugra, as Briukov has four armour divisions and a mechanised brigade. Just as worrying is the small attack on Karla Libknekhta. Involving less than 10,000 men, remnants of several destroyed units, normally 3rd SS Panzer Division "Totenkopf" would shrug off such a pinprick. But Eicke has empty supply depots and warns that he will not allow his men to be slaughtered with no way of defending themselves.

At noon no less than four victories were announced. One might think that would have caused a lift in morale in Berlin: not only had we defeated the Russians but the almost 225,000 of our soldiers have a chance to recover. Unfortunately, only one of the results, that for Rylsk, could be seen as a unmitigated positive. The other three battles, Olenino, Maksatiha and Cherenskoye, were all strongly contested affairs, with casualties on both sides high and virtually equal. While difficulties in both Cherenskoye and Maksatiha were understandable, as we were attacking large forces in defensible terrain, the high cost of Olenino is a worry. Vlasov had plenty of men and good defences and the attackers were not so numerous as to explain the losses. We cannot win a war of attrition against the Red Army: it still has far more men than us.

No attrition is expected in Chernyanka, the SS Panzergrenadiers almost unstoppable as "Reichsführer-SS" carves into the defenceless defenders. Not quite as certain a victory is von Plotho's assault on Niz in the north, but even in the staunchly defended forests he is advancing at a good pace.

That we have good prospects in the current wave of attack is good to hear, as the battles that ended during the afternoon were also very expensive in men and equipment, and in two of them we were defeated. Schack was always going to find it hard to take Lema, but to lose 5,400 men in a day is criminal. It took Kempf three days to lose slightly more men in Dolotskoye in a battle about which I had had doubts from the start. On the other hand, I had doubts about the wisdom of Brandenberger's attack on Ugra, and he has easily defeated the Soviet armour that tried to halt our panzers. Pristen too was a clear and decisive win, but that was never in doubt, "Das Reich" far too strong for the half-hearted attackers. To add to the SS panzertruppen's delight, another 10,000 Russians made an abortive assault that evening, costing the enemy thousands more casualties.

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SS-Hauptsturmführer Helmuth Schreiber, SS-Standartenführer Heinz Harmel and SS-Sturmbannführer Günther Wisliceny, three members of "Das Reich" who perfromed well in Pristen.​

Dusk did not bring respite. A mix of tanks and cavalry are causing Mühlenkamp concern in Alekseevka, his Italian SS volunteers exhausted and almost out of ammunition. More promising is the incursion of 13.PzD into Zhisdra, Panzerarmee Hoth getting closer to Kaluga.

Tuesday began in a much more relaxed manner. The RAF was absent, allowing the Luftwaffe to start to replace lost pilots and aircraft in the west. Other than a completely hopeless attack on Mokryy Gashan, and attack by 5,000 conscripts on a full Waffen SS division of more than 25,000 elite infantry, the morning was quiet. As with the previous day four battles ended, but we won only three of those. The one loss was particularly painful, 29th Waffen Grenadier Division der SS (ital Nr.1) losing more than 3,000 if its men while costing the Russians just 20 soldiers. Once again our victories, Staryj Oskol, Nizhnekrivskoy and Lodenoye Pole, were almost Pyrrhic, even if the capture of the provinces was strategically beneficial.

There was a slight improvement at midday as Eicke told a relieved SS-kdo that even with the handful of supplies available "Totenkopf" had punished those who had attempted to retake Karla Libknekhta, keeping Kursk under pressure. Another futile armour assault, on Andreas's two divisions in Safonovo this time, helped push the thought of our mounting losses from the forefront of my mind, though worry about the Reich's lack of manpower could not eliminated.

By evening Andreas's men were relaxing, the Russians long gone, other than the thousands of men they lost in Safonovo. Von Plotho claimed victory in Niz at about the same time, removing another source of concern. Even the immediately subsequent news that Andreas had switched from defence to attack, sending 22.ID (mot) into Izdeshkovo, did not cause alarm. The only enemy units capable of combat are a few badly damaged armour divisions, and the province is packed with retreating Soviet headquarters troops. With luck, we should inflict heavy losses on the Red Army's officer corps.

Yet another of Stavka's inexplicable doomed armour attacks began early on Wednesday. Once again, a single tank division has been sent against a much stronger opponent, this time Brandenberger's 16.PzD in Ugra. Surely someone in Moscow must be alarmed at this squandering of men and machines? Our only predawn operation was "Wiking" striking into Veselovskoye, relying on shock to dislodge the largely conscript defenders. All good, until I read of von Salmuth's botched victory in Ostrogozsk. How on earth could he allow Galkin to cause such damage in a battle that should have been a walkover?

Then the real action started, if the three relatively small battles of the morning deserve that description. A weak Soviet rifle division stiffened with a few NKVD felt the time was right to challenge 16th SS Panzergrenadier Division in Chernyanka, a decision that will cost many Russian lives. In Staryj Oskol von Speck has a two to one advantage over a severely wounded 15th "Sivashskaya" Motorizavannaya Diviziya and should get a similar result. Busch, however, is not favoured to win Dimitrovsk, not against Ozerov's conglomeration of tanks, cavalry, airborne and motorised infantry.

The RAF, quiet for more than 24 hours, had not abandoned its revitalised plan. As our ground crews worked on damaged aircraft, Boyd's bombers flew unopposed to Mosbach and knocked out three industrial centres. Only as the British planes circled the city verifying the damage and assembling for the flight home did the Luftwaffe, in the shape of Koller's interceptors, arrive. What has caused outrage in Berlin is the fact that only 200 kilometres away von Greim's outrageously expensive rocket interceptors sat idle at Metz. These geschwader have never fired a shot in anger. Göring will be asked some very hard questions to justify the investment we made on the promise that the new technology would turn tide against the strategic bombers.

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A Halifax bomber is uninterrupted while bombing Mosbach​

That disappointment was minor. The damage can be repaired. More important, only one more battle began. Admittedly that was a fairly equal clash in the forests of Tempovo, Cantzler's jägers fighting a mix of cavalry and regular infantry. But no heavy defeats, no waves of new fighting. A chance to let our manpower recover and the supply convoys to replenish the front.

After several depressing reversals in Alekseevka, even the elite SS failing twice to dent the enemy defences, it was with some apprehension that I noted on Thursday morning that Vierow, of the Rostov Armee, had taken charge of the latest assault. A good commander, and 2nd Pesi is a Slovakian unit that has served us well for 5 years. Could he hope to succeed where Germany's best had failed? It did not take long to find out that not only would he succeed, he would surpass expectations. He had 11th SS PzG Div "Nordland" under his command as well as his own men, but in hours he demolished Baronov's force, which fled in panic.

Göring must have been in contact with von Greim overnight, as the other early news was that the rocket interceptors had joined Koller and between them to two jagdfliegerkorps almost wiped out the RAF bombers that had hit Mosbach. Boyd will not be back for weeks, perhaps months as his squadrons are rebuilt. The British had nothing to match the speed and climb of the rocket aircraft.

Von Speck's motorised division had an uneventful win in Staryj Oskol. I am a bit surprised he let the enemy escape so easily: why did we give him so many vehicles if he is not prepared to harry and pursue the Russians when they turn east? I almost queried Lehmann's defeat in Chernyankha as he had been going so well, but from his report the unexpected arrival of 30,000 Russians had shaken the SS panzergrenadiers. That was the last defeat of the day, though we may regret authorising Zenetti's attack on Sychevka. He has 246.ID to give his motorised infantry some weight but it will still be a tough battle to win.

Before I could finish reading the day's telegrams and radio transcripts I was interrupted by an urgent message from the west. Dortmund had suffered a massive raid and five industrial centres had been knocked out of action. An attempt by Koller to chase the bombers was thwarted by RAF fighters over the Flemish Bank. The enemy chose their time and place carefully: when our jagdgeschwader were exhausted and would not be able to intervene. The air battle for the West is not yet over.

The East at least is more secure. We are slowly regaining confidence and losses are dropping. The last two battle reports that arrived before I left my office informed me that we has won both Mokry Gashun and Toropovo for a total of about 250 casualties. Russian losses were also low, but were six times that. That is an attrition level that we can sustain and that would defeat the Red Army. The is one concern. Those victories were in the far north and south yet is in the centre that we have suffered some of our heaviest losses. Am I reading too much into battles that do not reflect the reality of the Eastern Front?

The next morning even my worst fears were exceeded. Two defeats led the news. The first was in Sychevka, where Zenetti's attack of yesterday afternoon collapsed in chaos. It was the result of the long-running battle in neighbouring Lotoshino that provided the real horror. 22,000 men dead and 60,000 retreating in disarray, badly defeated by the 100,000 Russian defenders. A debacle, and one that occurred just as I had thought we had endured the worst. The Wehrmacht is in shock, and will take days to recover.

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Survivors of Sychevka do not have time to appreciate Sonnenaufgang​

General von Drebber's assault on Belyy had begun before that news percolated through the Heer, and given the low likelihood of victory I suspect approval would not have been given a few hours later. Not even the successful conclusion of Andreas' pursuit into Izdeshkovo could not shake the pessimism that was almost tangible through the Reichskanzlei. It did not deter General Andrae who ordered 263.ID into Shugozero but he faces a single cavalry unit and the possibility of heavy Soviet reinforcement is low in the far north: the Red army is stretched already in the area.

Stavka showed some restraint in the wake of its triumph in the woods of Lotoshino, with only one attack on Friday. That attack however was enormous, more than 180,000 men sweeping towards Sturm's three divisions in Pristen. Even though two of the divisions are armoured and the approaching enemy waves do not contain any tank units, it would be foolhardy to not accept that we may be overwhelmed.

Towards nightfall our commanders, having considered their local situations, were again ready to go on the offensive. It was noticeable that all the attacks were in the north, and close together. Lema and Podporozhe are almost at the northernmost end of the front, and Dolotskoye is less than 200 kilometres south. I have to say none of these fill me with confidence, but perhaps I am still under the influence of Lotoshino. It seems that Sonnenaufgang has had a very shaky start.


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Finalised Battles for Unternehmen Sonnenaufgang Day 1 to 7 (May 13 - 19, 1944)


Code:
Prochorovka (PAvM)    Victory    251 (18,783)    573 (26,061)
Pavlovsk (SS-kdo)    Victory    1,227 (19,592)    6,621 (208,450)
Krasnaya Gora (LA)    Victory    671 (21,479)    1,422 (27,435)
Spas Demensk (PAH)    Victory    263 (41,382)    1,964 (8,492)
Kuznetsovka (RA)    Victory    797 (31,401)    1,792 (30,840)
Orlovskiy (AotC)    Victory    662 (8,994)    29 (94,323)
Gummala (LA)    Victory    114 (22,489)    3,734 (42,800)
Dubrovskiy (RA)    Defeat    6,551 (35,466)    3,679 (187,366)
Lgov (SS-kdo)    Defeat    4,040 (20,989)    372 (82,981)
Rylsk (PAH)    Victory    92 (103,155)    4,000 (51,171)
Olenino (MA)    Victory    4,625 (39,139)    4,328 (42,677)
Maksatiha (LA)    Victory    3,180 (22,955)    3,440 (216,846)
Cherenskoye (LA)    Victory    4,042 (62,499)    3,983 (131,671)
Lema (LA)    Defeat    5,431 (21,089)    329 (87,263)
Ugra (PAH)    Victory    738 (62,173)    4,382 (43,354)
Dolotskoye (MA)    Defeat    5,804 (22,964)    1,872 (136,364)
Pristen (SS-kdo)    Victory    352 (40,354)    4,073 (30,938)
1st Staryj Oskol (RA)    Victory    1,202 (22,986)    1,328 (86,398)
Nizhnekrivskoy (SS-kdo)    Victory    3,746 (42,218)    3,122 (146,540)
Lodenoye Pole (LA)    Victory    2,050 (49,836)    939 (51,465)
Alekseevka (SS-kdo)    Defeat    3,079 (17,483)    20 (40,659)
Karla Libknekhta (SS-kdo)    Victory    71 (19,726)    2,020 (9,819)
Ostrogozsk (RA)    Victory    1,937 (21,803)    678 (15,796)
2nd Staryj Oskol (PAvM)    Victory    62 (19,768)    234 (9,557)
Chernyanka (SS-kdo)    Defeat    539 (29,189)    161 (44,305)
Mokry Gashun (SS-kdo)    Victory    156 (25,453)    615 (5,295)
Toropovo (LA)    Victory    98 (16,495)    942 (29,274)
Sychevka (MA)    Defeat    4,681 (32,404)    324 (54,826)
Lotoshino (LA)    Major Defeat    21,980 (83,217)    5,894 (98,336)
Izdeshkovo (PAH)    Victory    277 (22,917)    1,923 (55,123)
            
Total    22/8    78,718    61,793


Probe

Code:
Pyatilevka x 2 (SS-kdo)    German    Victory    Nil, 42 (42)    493, 457 (950)
Rylsk (PAH)    Soviet    Defeat    55    1,650
Pestovo (LA)    Soviet    Defeat    Nil    311
Alekseevka (SS-kdo)    Soviet    Defeat    1    71
Alekseevka (RA)    German    Victory    130    3,225
Dorogobuz x 4 (PAH)    German    Defeat    68, 199, 299, 161 (727)    Nil, Nil, Nil, Nil
Krasnoya Gora (LA)    Soviet    Defeat    187    442
Svirstroy x 11 (LA)    German    Defeat    112, 91, 46, 157, 110, 102, 34, 36, 32, 141, 52 (883)    19, 26, 11, 27, 26, 16, 8, 6, 5, 27, 8 (179)
Pobeda (AotC)    German    Victory    69     2,139
    Soviet    Defeat    4, 5 (9)    50, 3 (53)
Karla Libknehta x 4 (PAvM)    Soviet    Defeat    27, Nil, 53, 102 (182)    114, 162, 393, 231 (900)
Safonovo (PAH)    Soviet    Defeat    42    1,499
Sviristsa x 9 (LA)    Soviet    Defeat    Nil, 1, 5, Nil, Nil, 1, 2, 2, Nil (11)    171, 126, 165, 41, 155, 162, 369, 147, 123 (1,459)
Veselovskoye (AotC)    German    Victory    22    813
Krasny Manych (AotC)    German    Victory    603    356
Popovka (LA)    Soviet    Defeat    19    93
Migulinskaya (RA)    Soviet    Defeat    Nil    27
Pristen (SS-kdo)    Soviet    Defeat    39    2,237
Cherenskoye (LA)    German    Victory    456    1,260
    Soviet    Defeat    18    603
Gummala (LA)    Soviet    Defeat    6    129
Ugra (PAH)    Soviet    Defeat    10    126
Niz (LA)    German    Victory    1,073    1,893
    Soviet    Defeat    2    89
Safonovo (PAH)    Soviet    Defeat    9    2,032
Lesmoye (LA)    Soviet    Defeat    Nil    391
Pobeda (AotC)    Soviet    Defeat    23    44
Rzev (RA)    Soviet    Defeat    9    19
Lodenoye Pole (LA)    Soviet    Defeat    17    296
Babajevo (LA)    German    Defeat    422    105
                
Total            5,006    23,391


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Bombing Summary for Unternehmen Sonnenaufgang Day 1 to 7 (May 13 - 19, 1944)

Luftwaffe

Code:
Maksatiha (MA)    Udet    IV Skfk    236, 233, 201 (670)
    Kühl    C.S.I.R.    88, 59 (147)
Lodenoye Pole (LA)    Förster    VII Skfk    225, 250, 224, 98, 224 (1,021)
    Deichmann + Förster    V + VII Skfk    220, 323 (543)
Tim (PAvM)    Keller    VIII Kfk    285, 141 (426)
Tim (SS-kdo)    Peltz    VI Skfk    283, 58 (341)
Lema (LA)    Deichmann    V Skfk    93
    Löhr    X Kfk    277, 312, 233 (822)
Lotoshino (MA)    Udet    IV Skfk    259
    Löhr    X Kfk    282, 87, 279, 83 (731)
    Deichmann    V Skfk    165, 58 (223)
Dorogobuz (MA)    Udet    IV Skfk    253, 259 (512)
Niz (LA)    Deichmann    V Skfk    236
Kursk (SS-kdo)    Peltz    VI Skfk    274
Kursk (SS-kdo + RA)    Peltz + von Richthofen    VI Skfk + V Kfk    534 + 668 (1,202)
Chernyanka (PAvM)    Keller    VIII Kfk    141
Ostrogorsk (RA)    von Richthofen    V Kfk    234
Dolotskoye (LA)    Förster    VII Skfk    213, 51 (264)
Fatezh (PAvM)    Keller    VIII Kfk    332, 90 (422)
Skupaya Potudan (RA)    von Richthofen    V Kfk    301, 289, 83 (673)
Toropovo (LA)    Deichmann    V Skfk    90
    Förster    VII Skfk    141
Svirstroy (LA)    Förster    VII Skfk    232, 215 (447)
Shugozero (LA)    Löhr    X Kfk    299, 104 (403)
            
Total            10,315

VVS

Code:
Pestovo    Falaleev    250, 253 ShAD    Abort (Klepke)
Staritsa    Sergeyev    1st Ftr, 13 BAD, 7 TAC    Abort (Klepke)
    Zubarev    268 IAD, 108 BAD, 6 TAC    Abort (Klepke)


Unternehmen Sonnenaufgang Day 1 to 7 (May 13 - 19, 1944)

Code:
Nationality    Ground Losses    Bombing Losses    Total
            
German    78,718 + 5,006 = 83,724    Nil    83,724
Soviet    61,793 + 23,391 = 85,184    10,315    95,499


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Sonnenaufgang at midnight 19th May 1944


Leningrad Armee (Paulus)
Objectives: Sazonovo, Lema, Klimovskaya


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Victories: Krasnaya Gora, Gummala, Maksatiha, Cherenskoye, Lodenoye Pole, Toropovo
Defeats: Lema, Lotoshino​


Dolotskoye (Forest): 2.0 degrees
Olbricht (Assault) (nullified): 5.ID, IRGD
Bogdanov (Counter-attack): Opolcheniye, Red Army remnants, 51st "Perekop" Rifle Division, NKVD detachment

All is progressing as planned

Podporozhe (Forest): 5.6 degrees, Precipitation 34.2%
Jost (Shock): 9.ID
Tsariev (Defend): Red Army remnants, 49th Guards Rifle, 23rd Light Cavalry, 6th Guards Airborne Division, 138th, 41st Corps, 55th Army headquarters RES: 130th, 185th, 186th Corps, 63rd Army headquarters

Tsariev's force may be a rabble, but it is a very numerous rabble and Jost is in trouble

Shugozero (Forest): 1.7 degrees
Andrae (Breakthrough): 263.ID
Unknown (Defend): 1st Guards "Stavropol" Cavalry Division

The elimination of resistance is going well and the province should be ours soon

Lema (Forest): 2.0 degrees
Schopper (Shock): "Feuerwehr" Infanterie-Division
Romanenko (Defend: Moscow "Proletarian", 24th "Samara-Ulyanov Iron" Rifle Division, 3rd Heavy Tank Brigade, Opolcheniye, 5th, 8th Guards Airborne Division, Opolcheniye

Schopper does not have the manpower to shake Romanenko, even with a flank attack


Moskva Armee (List)
Objectives: Liezna, Vitsyebsk, Smolensk, Demidov, Kalinin


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Victories: Olenino
Defeats: Dolotskoye, Sychevka​


Belyy (Forest): 4.5 degrees
von Drebber (Shock): 299.ID
Balabanov (Defend): Proletarian, 77th, 62nd, 4th Tankovaya Division

This battle is going hopelessly wrong and could end in disaster.


Panzerarmee Hoth (Hoth)
Objectives: Bryansk, Kaluga


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Victories: Spas Demensk, Rylsk, Ugra, Izdeshkovo
Defeats: Nil​


Ugra (Plains): 4.2 degrees
Yermolayev (Shock): 24th Guards Rifle, 105th Tankovaya Division, 23rd Mechanised Brigade, NKVD detachments
Brandenberger (Defend): 16.PzD

We should be able to hold onto our newly captured province

Dmitrovsk (Forest): 7.1 degrees
Busch (Shock): 14.PzD
Ozerov (Defend): 85th Rifle, 48th, 85th Tankovaya, 13th "Kuban" Cavalry Division RES: Proletarian Division

Busch's only hope is to outlast the supply of the enemy

Zhisdra (Plains): 4.3 degrees
von Küchler (Shock): 13.PzD
Yuriev (Delay) (nullfied): Proletarian, 15th, 24th Tankovaya Division, 134th Mechanised Brigade

Another case where we are relying on the enemy's supply problems to give us victory


3rd Panzerarmee (Stumme)
Objectives: Bryansk, Orel

13%20-%201%203PzA_zpsjoc3xdx6.jpg


Victories: Nil
Defeats: Nil​

Komarichi (Forest): 4.1 degrees
Lopatin (Attack): 64th, 17th Tankovaya, 36th "Zabaj'kalskaya" Motorised, Proletarian Division, 31st "Uritskogo" Mechanised Brigade, Opolcheniye
von Briesen (Elastic Defence): 2nd schwere Panzer Division, 4.PzD

It will take more than 150,000 Russians to shift von Briesen's men (12/5)
Both sides have replaced some units, but von Briesen has strengthened his position while Lopatin has become relatively weaker.



Armee of the Pripyat (Dollman)
Objectives: Kyiv, Orel

Victories: Nil
Defeat: Nil

Some tough fighting has exhausted Dollman's supplies (5/5)
The limited fighting of the last week has soaked up what supply arrived (12/5)
Heavy fighting to the north has priority for supply​




Panzerarmee von Manstein (von Manstein)
Objective: Kursk, Voronezh

Victories: Prochorovka, 2nd Staryj Oskol
Defeats: Nil

Von Manstein's men are exhausted​



SS Kdo (Hausser)
Objectives: Kharkov, Belgorod

Victories: Pavlovsk, Nizhnekrivskoy, Pristen, Karla Libknechta, Mokryy Gashun
Defeats: Lgov, Alekseevka, Chernyanka

Weeks of heavy combat have sapped the strength of the SS​



Rostov Armee (Henrici)
Objectives: Voroshilovgrad, Kharkov

14%20-%201%20RA_zpsrb6wbhtc.jpg


Victories: Kuznetsovka, 1st Staryj Oskol, Ostrogozsk
Defeat: Dubrovskiy​


Pristen (Plains): 7.0 degrees
Butusov (Breakthrough): 45th Guards Rifle, 5th Mechanised Brigade, 8 x Red Army remnants RES: 24th, 17th, 90th, 73rd, 103rd, 2nd, 6th, 27th, 11th, 23rd Border Guards Brigade
Sturm (Masterful Delay): 2nd SS PzD, 78th Sturm Division, 10.PzD "Balti"

This may be the best way to weaken the Kursk garrison


Army of the Crimea (von Falkenhorst)
Objectives: Novy Yakul, Batumi

15%20-%201%20AotC_zps5iwiickp.jpg


Victory: Orlovskiy
Defeat: Nil​


Veselovskoye (Plains): 7.1 degrees
Steiner (Shock): SS ID "Wiking"
Gorelen (Delay) (nullified): 10th NKVD Rifle Division

Isolated and unable to defend itself, the enemy unit will soon surrender.



Unternehmen Barbarossa/Sonnenaufgang at midnight 19th May 1944

Code:
    Current    Prior    Total
            
German Ground losses    83,724    10,154,418    10,238,142
German Bombing losses    Nil            10,923    10,923
German Total losses    83,724    10,165,341    10,249,065
            
Soviet Ground losses    85,184       9,995,613    10,080,797
Soviet Bombing losses    10,315       1,356,100      1,366,415
Soviet Total losses    95,499    11,351,713    11,447,212



War at Sea

Code:
        Current    Prior    Total
                
U-boat losses        Nil    15    15
                
Convoys    German    Nil    52    52
                
    British    1    747    748
    French    Nil    26    26
    Canadian    1    103    104
    South African    Nil    14    14
    New Zealand    Nil    110    110
    Australian    Nil    32    32
    Belgian    Nil    5    5
    Norwegian    Nil    37    37
    Greek    Nil    17    17
    Soviet    Nil    10    10
    USA    Nil    4    4
                
Total    Allied Convoy Losses    2    1,105    1,107

Code:
Escorts    German    Nil    11    11
                
    British    Nil    725    725
    Canadian    Nil    43    43
    French    Nil    12    12
    New Zealand    Nil    20    20
    Australian    Nil    44    44
    Belgian    Nil    9    9
    Norwegian    Nil    9    9
    South African    Nil    26    26
    Greek    Nil    6    6
    Soviet    Nil    7    7
                
Total    Allied Escort Losses    1    896    897
 

Adam Safran

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Rough week. Just in time for the RAF to be up to things again. At the very least, you have a buffer when it comes to IC so that won't hit your production that much. And good luck cracking the nut that is Kursk. Otherwise, the East seems to be as much of a stalemate as anything - good luck with reinforcing and upgrading your units as much as possible and getting supply going.
 

BBBD316

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So of those victories resemble defeats.
 

guillec87

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a mixed week... specially in the West... those pilots won't be easely replaced...
 

Desslok

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So 10'th NKVD Rifle was caught napping and got cut off ... first time that has happened in a while.
 

107zombiekiller

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well we are still advanceing....
though with no more man power and the allies almost ready for their own invasion things look grim
unless the event chains are broken, i cant remember if they are and i dont care to look back and check
can we get a look of the state of the garrison guarding france and the low land from the allies?
and the south seems to be advancing well, is there any hope of taking stalingrad and the oil feilds in the near future? that might be enough to finally kill the russian war machine once and for all
 

Mindmeld_me

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A tough week to be sure with losses higher then desired and too many tough wins. It's nice to see the Luftwaffe able to tear into those bombers. Hopefully the rocket interceptors have the range to make a real difference if the RAF fighters come across the channel. It seems the air war in the west should hold at a stalemate for awhile which is enough to keep the bombers away. More encirclement are needed in the center in the eastern front. With the mass of units in Kursk it would be very handy to encircle the city and wipe them out. Hopefully the AI will hold off on suicidal small attacks and create some more pockets. Forward to victory!