Radioactive Frozen Beverage
- Jan 17, 2017
I for one will salute you for doing the rather less than vagarious statistical work, mainly so that I would not have to.This seemed harsh, so I turned to statistics.
In 2020 Wraith managed 11 updates
In 2021 Wraith managed 5 updated
Thus far this year it has been 1.
Extrapolating this trend Wraith will produce approximately 0.5 of an update in 2023, then 0.25 in 2024 and so on. It get's a bit Zeno's Paradox but theoretically Wraith will get closer and closer to having the next update ready but never post it. So on that basis you were in fact being generous.
Looking at in terms of gap since last update, going back we see this pattern;
The 1st January 2021 update was a mere 5 days after the last update in 2020. But then it was a 29 day gap, then 46, then 71, then 112 and most recently 258 days passed between chapters. Plotting that data, generating a best fit curve formula and then extrapolating forward I suggest it will be approximately 606 days until Wraith updates again should that pattern hold, so once again you were being generously optimistic.
I hope this vital statistical update has been of value to someone, not least anyone who was thinking of holding their breath till the next update which is looking to be incredibly ill advised.