In my games, when I'm at war with UK and get their War Exhaustion to 100 for several years, I'll see the Irish Nationalists revolt, and in some games they win independence (I suspect only if several waves of rebels have worn down and finally defeated the UK's forces in Ireland). However, the UK still has cores on Ireland, and if Ireland has no powerful allies, I suspect the Irish Strait makes it fairly easy for the UK to re-conquer them -- but when they've rebelled I haven't played out the games to see if that happens. Can someone give me their experience on whether an independent Ireland in the 19th Century is likely to stay that way, without powerful allies?
One reason for asking, is I'd eventually like to carve up the UK into national democracies -- in the case of Ireland, using the Liberate Country CB. But if the Irish become independent on their own, they'll have a HM's Government instead of a democracy (even though that's not what happened in real life), which will interfere with my plans -- if it tends to play out that way, I'll change my plan to make Ireland a higher priority for liberation before pushing the UK's to the breaking point -- but ideally, I'd prefer to wait and liberate Ireland later in the 19th Century (after freeing India, Australia, etc.).
One reason for asking, is I'd eventually like to carve up the UK into national democracies -- in the case of Ireland, using the Liberate Country CB. But if the Irish become independent on their own, they'll have a HM's Government instead of a democracy (even though that's not what happened in real life), which will interfere with my plans -- if it tends to play out that way, I'll change my plan to make Ireland a higher priority for liberation before pushing the UK's to the breaking point -- but ideally, I'd prefer to wait and liberate Ireland later in the 19th Century (after freeing India, Australia, etc.).