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I'm having the same issue.
Beside, it seems like our main CK2 and EU games are not being recognized as registered by the forum. Could this be the source of the problem?
Thirded. I can get into EU4 subforums, but not CK2. Account is linked to Steam. Resynced games. I see everything in the game list, but am denied access to the forums themselves.
As you have correctly surmised, you need the base game to be registered to gain access. I can see at least some of you have at least one of the base games showing so access should work. You've already done a re-synch, can you try a full logout of the forums and then a cache/cookies clear if needed? If access still doesnt work after that, log a support ticket