Good point, a 1/400 chance is hardly worth coding for the AI. Here's a suggested outline based on the ideas of Phil K and Forezjohn, with several opportunities for the player to make the choice, and a combination of triggers and random chance to control the probability for AI:Agree with you, Halibutt. It would be pointless to have two consecutive 'B' options needed for an event to ultimately occur. The probabilities become so low as to not even need the event chain.
FRA#1 - Response to Rhineland reoccupation (already in the game, just needs a new option added)
A - protest, but no action
B - extend Maginot line
C - extend Maginot line and partially mobilize
D - we must prepare for the next war, not the previous one(+10 dissent, sleep #2,3)
E - threaten war if Germany does not withdraw immediately
FRA#2 - Response to Anschluss of Austria
A - stick with defensive strategy
B - we must rearm and modernize our military (+8 dissent, sleep #3)
FRA#3 - Response to Munich
A - begin rearmament, defensive strategy
B - begin rearmament, shift focus to armor/air power (+5 dissent)
If France chooses the 'change of doctrine' option in any of these 3 events (4 if you want to add another in 1939 or whenever the war begins), you have a random chance of this:
FRA#4 - Political opposition to rearmament policy (trigger could check for high dissent, low warentry, or political polarization event)
A - we can't afford this (-3 dissent)
B - continue rearmament (trigger FRA#5)
If #4 does not happen, or if option B is chosen in #4, then:
FRA#5 - Rearmament and Modernization
A - minor changes (+5 dissent, +techs, sleep opposing leaders)
B - major changes (+10 dissent, +more techs/doctrines, sleep more leaders/ministers)
The Moroccan independence events are still unfinished, I sent them to Generalisimo asking for advice, but wasn't expecting them to appear in CORE v0.6Regarding the Moroccan uprising against Nationalist Spain, this fired during the SCW and Italy DOW'ed Morocco immediatley and invaded it several times, in the proces losing quite a lot of troops because it was winter, full of rain and those mountains...
(By the way, for this event I need a list of potential independent Morocco ministers and leaders. It's a very small nation and an unlikely event, so HoS/HoG and 1 or 2 leaders would be enough, but alternatives for democracy/fascism/communism would be better. If anyone knowledgeable has advice on this it would be a big help.)