Let's make a plan for what is going to happen (events) in the near future (~before 1850) in continental Europe. Here's what I'm thinking of right now:
Event for France: "Death of Napoleon I (ca. 1840)". Triggers an event for Austria: "The Last Coalition" where it can choose to seek an alliance with Prussia and Russia against France. Prussia and Russia get events where they choose whether they want to join. Prussia is likely to join, Russia less. Depending on the outcome, Austria then decides whether to attack Bavaria (guaranteed by France), with more chance if Russia is in. A war ensues between France and Prussia, Austria & maybe Russia. Spain, Netherlands, Italy and Warsaw now get a choice whether they want to join the French in their war, or instead try to take the opportunity to break their satellite status and not enter the war. Spain and Netherlands is likely to secede, Italy and Warsaw are likely to join France. Maybe Denmark and Sweden can intervene as well. The following outcomes of the war are possible:
Russia does not join:
1.) Complete Coalition Victory. Prussia gets Poland and possibly some lands in Germany, Austria gets Tyrol back, and Illyria and Bosnia as satellite (with the possibility to annex them later). French German satellites break their satellite status and enter a defensive alliance with Prussia and Austria.
2.) Minor Coalition Victory. Prussia gets Posen, Danzig, and possibly some lands in Germany. Austria gets Tyrol back. Some French satellites may break satellite status.
3.) Standoff. Status quo.
4.) Minor French Victory. Danzig corridor to Poland. Austria loses some land to Illyria.
5.) Complete French Victory. Schlesien, east Prussia, Danzig corridor and part of Galicia to Poland. Illyria gets some provinces, possibly Bosnia and Serbia profit some as well. Austria falls apart into Austria, Hungary and Bohemia.
Russia does join:
1.) Complete Coalition Victory. Prussia gets Rheinland, Westphalia, part of Saxony. Austria gets Bavaria and Illyria, and Bosnia as satellite. Russia gets Poland and Galicia. French German satellites break their satellite status and enter a defensive alliance with Prussia and Austria.
2.) Minor Coalition Victory. Prussia gets Posen, Danzig, and possibly some lands in Germany. Austria gets Tyrol back. Some French satellites may break satellite status.
3.) Standoff. Status quo.
4.) Minor French Victory. Danzig corridor to Poland. Austria loses some land to Illyria.
5.) Complete French Victory. Schlesien, east Prussia, Danzig corridor and part of Galicia to Poland. Illyria gets some provinces, possibly Bosnia and Serbia profit some as well. Austria falls apart into Austria, Hungary and Bohemia. Russia has to release Romania.