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Gen. Skobelev

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PanzerCorps

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Of course I cannot update the first page for you, any ideas or you ok to sort it yourselfs?

Edit: Already sorted out, it seems. This moves fast...

Capt. Kiwi and I are the only two actually advocating methodical play as it was practiced back in 2011-2, so I think you must be confused - otherwise that amounts to a pure strawman.

I have said myself that the information we have is minimal. I have said myself that concluding that someone is a baddie simply because they voted for the alternative candidate to a baddie isn't right - all the more so in a game that seems to have an abnormally high proportion of baddies. We've coupled that with three straight outings, leaving us with the much less useful pre-outing situations to examine for those days. Even if for this game it's ultimately futile to attempt analysis - which we won't know until the end - that's not true in general, and the alternative to analysis is effectively using random number generators to vote.

Going against what Capt. Kiwi and I are talking about is totally counterproductive. We've had in this very game at least one suggestion of switching away from frontrunners onto a new set of candidates "because we've got information on them now". No we don't! If at any point the targets can be redirected by such inane comments, the information of a voting pattern falls apart. Our friendly self-appointed-yet-furry mayor says "Okay enough heat on these guys - let's kill someone else instead". Gleefully retargets off a packmate and onto a villager. If you know that nonsense is a possibility then your pre-redirect vote is meaningless. We also had the mad suggestion that THE_SPLIT was the most cleared player. How - because he metagamed Reis and Reis proved to be a cultist? There are two other packs he could have been part of!

That sort of nonsense, and worse, is what I expect from a village if not held to some sort of standard. Apparently you played during a halcyon era in which people had a higher standard. I wish that were so, but any foolishness you're seeing today is not a result of trying to play methodically - if anything it's the consequence of not doing so.

Somehow I feel like all that was directed against me?
 

Steed

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Can't you update the players list after every day/night update? I mean in a post after the deadline update.


I guess that would be fine, I will sort it out in a bit today and then after the update from tomorrow.

EDIT:: Oh right, sorted then it seems.. Thanks J-L
 

jacob-Lundgren

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I guess that would be fine, I will sort it out in a bit today and then after the update from tomorrow.

EDIT:: Oh right, sorted then it seems.. Thanks J-L
Done
 

johho888

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Who are you protecting hmm?
I was protecting the village from TIE loving snipers.

With a working JL and the seer still alive there is no reason to create a last minute TIE unless orchestrated by the JL.
 

Arkasas

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The argument against Arkasas was as good as anything else.

I feel that says less about me and more about the general weakness of cases yesterday.

kthxbai!
 

PanzerCorps

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There's plenty of blame to go around, you needn't take it all.

Well, that's good actually.

I'll admit I'm still learning the game. I wouldn't call myself a good player, certainly not when it comes to methodical play and analysis. I'm better as a wolf when I can use crazy tactics and such, still not really good, but as a villager I do have much room for improvement. A bit over-excited, too easily swayed, and basically maybe not taking this seriously enough. But I guess I'll improve, right?

More precise criticism on what exactly I can improve is very welcome, I always try to take that into account
 

Steed

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Ive started on first page update, will update fully tomorrow... Just goto first post and follow link J-L has kindly done..
 

Capt. Kiwi

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I'm not going to quote all the posts I'm replying to, but re: "vote analysis":

There's a difference between simply going back and looking at someone's final vote, and going back and looking at when and where there votes were. Methodical play is about making sure all votes either matter (or lose the power of manipulation). When votes matter you can go back and see what effect may have been intended by them. It's not important that a villager hasn't killed a wolf, when all the people they've voted are alive; it is important if they tried to engineer a situation where a certain player could live - and that player was a wolf. There are so many packs that some of those unlynched candidates are bound to be wolves too. We're not looking for the people who voted them instead of known wolves, we're looking for people who tried to get people to not vote the known wolf.
 

Cliges

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That presents problems of its own. Any pack, MORE SO in this game with 3 packs-each presumably smaller than the usual pack size, will have only a small pool of players it need to "protect". A fairly large number of people, total, in both total numbers and proportion-wise will probably not vote any given candidate (sans firm evidence like an outing), so it's huge assumption that "did not vote"="protecting".

And even that is based on the often shake notion that wolfs vote to save packmates. If anything, getting lucky and landing a vote on an opposing pack as a wolf is usually seen, unfairly, in my mind, as less suspicious than a villager with no insider contacts who has been unable to successful deciding a good candidate to vote. Meanwhile, a baddie will point out having voted a wolf 3 or four days ago as some sort of alibi.
 

Capt. Kiwi

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That presents problems of its own. Any pack, MORE SO in this game with 3 packs-each presumably smaller than the usual pack size, will have only a small pool of players it need to "protect". A fairly large number of people, total, in both total numbers and proportion-wise will probably not vote any given candidate (sans firm evidence like an outing), so it's huge assumption that "did not vote"="protecting".

And even that is based on the often shake notion that wolfs vote to save packmates. If anything, getting lucky and landing a vote on an opposing pack as a wolf is usually seen, unfairly, in my mind, as less suspicious than a villager with no insider contacts who has been unable to successful deciding a good candidate to vote. Meanwhile, a baddie will point out having voted a wolf 3 or four days ago as some sort of alibi.

Which is why I focussed on looking at people who caused a specific candidate not to be voted, rather than just the ones they didn't vote. Voting a front runner further out will cause people to vote the trailing candidates (and/or shift off the original leader), and if followed by a switch off the early front runner may be a sign of protection of that person. EUROdynamics, pretty much. Another common one is to vote on a person, so that the person you've voted is forced to shift their vote to save themselves - and therefore protecting the person they were originally voting, who may have only been on the fringes of the race.

One instance is never enough, but you start looking for people making those kinds of votes, and if it's often enough it means they know something.
 

unmerged(271387)

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Vote sexyotoes
I insist
 

aedan777

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Cliges

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Which is why I focussed on looking at people who caused a specific candidate not to be voted, rather than just the ones they didn't vote. Voting a front runner further out will cause people to vote the trailing candidates (and/or shift off the original leader), and if followed by a switch off the early front runner may be a sign of protection of that person. EUROdynamics, pretty much. Another common one is to vote on a person, so that the person you've voted is forced to shift their vote to save themselves - and therefore protecting the person they were originally voting, who may have only been on the fringes of the race.

One instance is never enough, but you start looking for people making those kinds of votes, and if it's often enough it means they know something.

That's still more thought involved than most wolves seem to usually use.