Bloody, Bloody Sunday WW CLIII

[Puchas]

I still have that feeling.

Vote Puchas

Casting a throwaway vote wouldn't be helping the village right now. I don't get the vibes from any of the 3, however Puchas not even trying to save himself with an arguement of any sort is worthy of my vote.

Vote Puchas

He's either being a moron, in which case all the better to lynch him or he's trying to play the bullied child. Which is sick and twisted in its own way.

Vote Punchas

Voting oneself is just an act of distorting the votecount in preparation of a snipe.

Vote Seamus

 

[unmerged(271387)]

vote split


omg 3rd. vote. wow. such wolfiness. die split die

Actually 4rth vote,since mine wasn't counted for a reason.

 

[seamus2008]

I still have that feeling.

You made a montage of some of the vote posts against you.

Good job?...

I still stand by what I said. Voting yourself in a close tie situation distorts the vote count, and makes people more likely to vote other candidates to keep the tie close, then at the last minute you could switch. That's the main reason why I voted you.

 

[Capt. Kiwi]

Dinner and I had a slight disagreement, so I'm not going thread trawling tonight this morning.

Vote Teep

Because vote needed, and he is somebody we're short of information on. I think.

 

[Teep]

Dinner and I had a slight disagreement, so I'm not going thread trawling tonight this morning.

Vote Teep

Because vote needed, and he is somebody we're short of information on. I think.

I am not a baddie. Is that enough info?

 

[Capt. Kiwi]

I am not a baddie. Is that enough info?

If you could take the vital step of providing someone better than yourself to lynch, with a well presented reason capable of persuading someone up at 1 am with an upset stomach, it might be enough.

 

[Teep]

If you could take the vital step of providing someone better than yourself to lynch, with a well presented reason capable of persuading someone up at 1 am with an upset stomach, it might be enough.

Are you ok with reheated leftovers or would you like something original?

 

[Steed]

You guys who have mock executed me two days in a row should follow the wise words from sbr. The most easiest thing is to jump on a bandwagon without giving any arguments.

*Puts a hand up from behind the Bar* 'I haven't voted you' *puts hand down and pulls a pint*

 

[Capt. Kiwi]

Are you ok with reheated leftovers or would you like something original?

Reheated left overs sounds terrible right now

 

[Steed]

We know we've got 3 packs. Once upon a time a veteran player said to me that with 3 packs a standard balance was 50:50! That's actually reasonable: with 40 players, 3 packs of baddies means 6 players per pack, +2 slots for say a sorcerer and other sundry bad roles. In order for a wolfpack to win they need to eliminate 12 other baddies and a minimum of 14 goodies. Since a pack is nearly certain to lose players they're likely to need to get it down to about 3-4 villagers for parity, as well as eliminating other packs. It's a grueling setup that takes a long time with lots of deaths before parity's a possibility. If we work with the 50:50 basis, and assume that SoL has used blessings somewhat liberally on goodies, then it becomes apparent how a seer would scan two wolves, while we fluke lynching one on Day 1, and get a cultist on Day 2.

This is something I totally agree with.. 3 packs is hard for the baddies, they hunt every 3rd day which takes away some of there effectiveness. They may not hunt an outstanding candidate due to thinking another pack will hunt them and not waste there hunt thinking he's protested by the GA etc. Then of course as stated, they have a lot of work to do to actually win. Thus id go for easy 3 starting wolves per pack, blessed scanners and then sit back and have a % guess how many to curse.

My "heyday" was between XXIX and ~L.

I thought your' heyday' was on the 21st Aug 2009 between 4pm and 5pm.

 

[Teep]

Reheated left overs sounds terrible right now

Damn, was going to suggest the_hdk for being almost catatonic especially for a veteran but he doesn't seem to have been online yesterday as he didn't vote. Unless that is some kind of wolfy plan.

Well, jacob-lundgren has been both extremely quiet and not voting on anyone near being a frontrunner really. Is that a better target than someone actively trying to help the village with fair and open analysis? It is your decision, cap'm.

 

[Capt. Kiwi]

Damn, was going to suggest the_hdk for being almost catatonic especially for a veteran but he doesn't seem to have been online yesterday as he didn't vote. Unless that is some kind of wolfy plan.

Well, jacob-lundgren has been both extremely quiet and not voting on anyone near being a frontrunner really. Is that a better target than someone actively trying to help the village with fair and open analysis? It is your decision, cap'm.

You'd go for CAWZ rather than one of the candidates who's "done" something. Duly noted. That's the kind of info I was after.

Unvote Teep
Vote Arkasas

Unlikely packmate of EURO, but we're not after packmates of EURO given that pack has taken more hits than the others. This was awkwardly timed and targeted, easing pressure on the top two:

Ties are terrible things.

unvote gliomarto
Vote Euro

And otherwise has been a follower. Not just in the bandwagon sense that sbr was using, but in the sense of adopting the arguments of others to appear to be engaged while actually blending in.

 

[Teep]

You'd go for CAWZ rather than one of the candidates who's "done" something. Duly noted. That's the kind of info I was after.

Unvote Teep
Vote Arkasas

Unlikely packmate of EURO, but we're not after packmates of EURO given that pack has taken more hits than the others. This was awkwardly timed and targeted, easing pressure on the top two:



And otherwise has been a follower. Not just in the bandwagon sense that sbr was using, but in the sense of adopting the arguments of others to appear to be engaged while actually blending in.

That is interesting, the reheated bit I was going to give you was that glio unvoted EURO a post or two before the outing and then didn't move back. He also didn't vote Esemesas who was in EURO's pack even after the outing. Could it be a voting pattern from baddies who want to hide by voting each other thereby providing an alibi?

 

[Steed]

I was just having a play with hunting patterns......

Night 0... No Hunt
Night 1... Falc Killed
Night 2... No Hunt
Night 3... E_L killed
Night 4... No Hunt

That means Dire didn't hunt 2nd
That means Worg didn't hunt 1st


That leave 3 possibles....

Timber , Worg , Dire
Dire , Worg , Timber
Dire , Timber , Worg

This means they all have 1 no hunt night each...Fact
___________________________________________________________________________


Worg, 2 Dead Wolves. (Poss 1 wolf and 1 cultist left)
Dire, 1 Dead Cultist. 2 Dead Wolves (Poss 1 wolf left)
Timber, 1 Dead Cultist. Poss 3 Wolves still (full pack)

EDIT:::

On this reasoning, on a 3 wolves per pack and 1 cultist+ 1 sorc it would leave 7 baddies left out of 30 players...
This doesn't seem right, so I would have to go with 2 cultists per pack = 10 baddies left out of 30 players...
The chances of No Hunt night is 2/3 of hitting cursed... so tops = 12 baddies out of 30 players

 

[Arkasas]

Right, so, because we need to rebel against the authority of God-Emperor Split in accordance with the dictates of Lord sbr...

Vote The_SPLIT

 

[THE_SPLIT]

I am sorry, but can someone point out the case against me? All I heard both from Narref and other folks - hey split posts a lot he must be a wolf. What people. Are failing to realize is that A) I always post a lot and B). I have probably the most cleared voting history in the game.... People like hdk should know better, but if you actually look at hdks votes you can see that he is voting me the 2nd time for now reason..... So Arkasa, Sbr, hdk, why am I better a candidate then Hax who wss saved by El or sexytoes who has been flying under the radar the whole game?

 

[the_hdk]

you are not

unvote split
vote sexyshoes


I dont like sandals

 

[THE_SPLIT]

Right, so, because we need to rebel against the authority of God-Emperor Split in accordance with the dictates of Lord sbr...

Vote The_SPLIT

Can you please provide real argument vs something that seems like coming out on a mouth of a 2 year old? WHy are you voting me? Why are you bandwagnong me?

 

[jacob-Lundgren]

I was just having a play with hunting patterns......

Night 0... No Hunt
Night 1... Falc Killed
Night 2... No Hunt
Night 3... E_L killed
Night 4... No Hunt

That means Dire didn't hunt 2nd
That means Worg didn't hunt 1st


That leave 3 possibles....

Timber , Worg , Dire
Dire , Worg , Timber
Dire , Timber , Worg

This means they all have 1 no hunt night each...Fact
___________________________________________________________________________


Worg, 2 Dead Wolves. (Poss 1 wolf and 1 cultist left)
Dire, 1 Dead Cultist. 2 Dead Wolves (Poss 1 wolf left)
Timber, 1 Dead Cultist. Poss 3 Wolves still (full pack)

EDIT:::

On this reasoning, on a 3 wolves per pack and 1 cultist+ 1 sorc it would leave 7 baddies left out of 30 players...
This doesn't seem right, so I would have to go with 2 cultists per pack = 10 baddies left out of 30 players...
The chances of No Hunt night is 2/3 of hitting cursed... so tops = 12 baddies out of 30 players

Hunting patterns don't have to appear to make sense you know. I did a game once with taking hunts over a much longer period of time and randomizing it within that longer period to keep the villagers confused.

Also vote teep for trying to encourage people to vote me. Bad teep...you should be ashamed of yourself.

 

[THE_SPLIT]

Unvote Cliges Vote Arkasas
I am happy with either foreruuner, but Akrasas reason for voting somone is very very skethcy...