The command "ai_prepare_war which = [TAG]" does not work, instead the ai immediately declares war on the other country.
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That is exactly the point of the command: it moves units toward the enemy and then invades it.
Sure, but it declared war on belgium while there were 2 german divisions on the front and 12 belgian. Also, prepare for war and declare war are 2 different things ^^
That's probably because of poor AI scripting. Anyway, there is no such command as the one you are looking for. What you can do though is write an event which switches the AI file and tells the AI to focus on garrisoning frontier with country TAG. That way it will "prepare for war" in the sense that it will move troops to the frontier but not declare war yet.
The downside of this method appears to be that the front is garrisoned with garrisons while armor is used for garrison duty in france.
Not necessarily, it can use INF as well. ARM being used for anti-partisan duty is another problem but I thought AOD 1.07 or 1.08 solved it.
108 will not solve it. Barbarossa is the most prominent example of a poor garrison AI. 