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Originally posted by doktarr
On an almost totally unrelated note, here's a link to some Japanese events that Meiji-Tenno and I bounced back and forth a while back. Could be useful.

http://forum.paradoxplaza.com/forum/showthread.php?s=&threadid=102715
Looked at it.

Some of the stuff I like, some of it i question. I am still of the mind that CB shields do not represent people in that province wanting you to rule, hut historical, or justified, claims to those provinces. I believe culture represents the former...they can't both represent the same thing (I am talking in the case of Koirea here).
 

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Originally posted by doktarr
I think free trade definitely favors extrnal trade. Mercantilists get trade refusals without penalties.
well with mercantilism you get cheaper merchants.
Originally posted by doktarr
Provinces of free traders are more liekly to trade at foreign CoTs, while provinces of mercantilists are more likely to trade at domestic CoTs.
sorry i dont get it. why is that?
Originally posted by doktarr
And of course, free traders can establish more colonies and trading posts, which leads to more foreign trade.
yes but thats not the kind of trade that Zheng He was concerned about. plus even counting that in, free trade still dont absolutely favour external trade because you get cheaper merchants percentage-wise which is a big incentive to place merchants in very expensive overseas CoT. This answers your last question.

so i m of the opinion that mercantilism doesn't necessarily mean favouring external trade in every circumstance. and for the purposes of simulating the kind of trade for Zheng He was looking for (state regulated foreign trade in China plus promoting China's goods overseas), mercantilism would better represent it.

any further comments on this issue?? anyone else thinks Zheng He would be better represented by mercantilism or free trade?
 

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well with mercantilism you get cheaper merchants.
Yes, but that is neither here nor there. Free trade refusals, on the other hand, very clearly speaks to inwardly focussed trade.
sorry i dont get it. why is that?
Unless I am mistaken, the game is specifically hard-coded to do this.
yes but thats not the kind of trade that Zheng He was concerned about.
Non Zheng He himself perhaps, but surely a navally oiented China.
plus even counting that in, free trade still dont absolutely favour external trade because you get cheaper merchants percentage-wise which is a big incentive to place merchants in very expensive overseas CoT.
Granted, but with fewer merchants you will have a hard time maintaining a presence in multiple CoTs. But I'm willing to grant that the merchant effects (cost and quantity) are basically a wash. They don't argue strongly one way or the other for external vs. internal trade.

That still leaves the trade refusals and the province tendencies, which definitely point towards free trade = external trade. I think this does a much better job of modelling where a naval China would head.
 

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well, again i m not convinced. easier embargoes means you can protect your own CoTs easier and make it easier for you to trade in your own CoTs. by establishing formal systematic trading relations with foreign nations it is arguable that China was trying to achieve exactly that. with no free trade refusals, free trade only means that you lose control over your own CoT's, which is what naval China didn't want, it doesn't mean it is easier to trade in overseas CoTs.

with province tendencies, if it is true, then it depends on the risk of losing control of your own CoTs. Naval China would still make domestic CoTs its most important priority.

a more naval oriented China may be able to send colonists more easily, but i think that is an insignificant consideration.

since this seems to be a deadlock, anymore votes on this issue?
 

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like i said, mercantilism. Even a naval oriented China still would have much more land to deal with than even France during its naval height and would therefore not be too much into spending money on overseas trade.
 

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I'm with doktarr on this - outwards looking China is more free trade than historical China. Makes Chinese COTs more attractive to foreign provinces, makes COTs in colonies more likely to appear, more merchants. I think it's pretty clear cut that's the way it should go.

By the way doesn't this argument speak to broader issues than Zheng He and China?
 

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well, my position is that outward looking China that is outward looking in the way they were during Zheng He times is not necessarily more free trade than historical China. In fact not likely to be more free trade. those events that we have modified i would say is limited to represent China continuing to be outward looking in the way they were during Zheng He times.

so whether a more free trade china would make Chinese COTs more attractive to foreign provinces, COTs in colonies more likely to appear, more merchants is besides the point, the assertion that China would be more free trade is questionable in the first place.
 

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Originally posted by Sun_Zi_36
well, my position is that outward looking China that is outward looking in the way they were during Zheng He times is not necessarily more free trade than historical China. In fact not likely to be more free trade. those events that we have modified i would say is limited to represent China continuing to be outward looking in the way they were during Zheng He times.

so whether a more free trade china would make Chinese COTs more attractive to foreign provinces, COTs in colonies more likely to appear, more merchants is besides the point, the assertion that China would be more free trade is questionable in the first place.
And remember they still have a large land base to worry about, even if it is sparsely settled. Managing such a large country and an overseas empire isn't the easiest task as France found out, and france is hardly the size of china.

Plus the mentality of the Oriental governments at the time isn't nessarily condusive to free trade. Even the Japanese and others they traded with often had rituals and procedures designed to control who and what was traded. While a more expansive china might haveto adapt some of them and make them slightly less restictive in other areas, they would still want a high level of control.

Also encroachment of western nations, which would happen eventually would result intially with maybe a slight tilt toward free trade, but as they saw more and more of them the same result would happen, a tightening of market controls, not from the top down, but from local govenors and administators first then more higher up as the european presence became more prominat. Make excuses, but the agrressivness of European nations in trading, espially the English, would definatly result in closing of their markets.
 

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Like Issac, I think that this is open-and-shut in favor of free trade, but I'm not sure the four of us can come to any sort of agreement here.

Again, in game terms:

Mercantilism = trading mainly within your home borders.

Free trade = trade with other nations, getting a large share of trade from TPs and other areas outside your borders.

And remember they still have a large land base to worry about, even if it is sparsely settled. Managing such a large country and an overseas empire isn't the easiest task as France found out, and france is hardly the size of china.
These are great arguments for why China took the historical route, and why the "a" choices should increase mercantilism, but they do *not* suggest that a China that decides to keep its radical naval expansion would move toward mercantilism.
Plus the mentality of the Oriental governments at the time isn't nessarily condusive to free trade. Even the Japanese and others they traded with often had rituals and procedures designed to control who and what was traded. While a more expansive china might have to adapt some of them and make them slightly less restictive in other areas, they would still want a high level of control.
Absolutely. So the slider should move toward free trade, but not all the way to zero. No argument there.
Also encroachment of western nations, which would happen eventually would result intially with maybe a slight tilt toward free trade, but as they saw more and more of them the same result would happen, a tightening of market controls, not from the top down, but from local govenors and administators first then more higher up as the european presence became more prominat. Make excuses, but the agrressivness of European nations in trading, espially the English, would definatly result in closing of their markets.
That is the most likely outcome, but it should be modeled by subsequent historical events, much much later than 1436. "The closure of China" is one such event.
easier embargoes means you can protect your own CoTs easier and make it easier for you to trade in your own CoTs. by establishing formal systematic trading relations with foreign nations it is arguable that China was trying to achieve exactly that. with no free trade refusals, free trade only means that you lose control over your own CoT's, which is what naval China didn't want, it doesn't mean it is easier to trade in overseas CoTs.

with province tendencies, if it is true, then it depends on the risk of losing control of your own CoTs. Naval China would still make domestic CoTs its most important priority.
These arguments, at very best, seem to imply that naval China would be as mercantilistic as historical China. While domestic CoTs would surely be naval China's "most important" priority, they would be the only priority for land China.

I can't see a single argument here that says that naval China should be more mercantilistic than historical China - only that it would have some of the same concerns an inwardly-focussed China did. But Isaac and I have made a few distinct arguments (more colonists, more merchants, fewer trade refusals, and the province CoT tendencies) that argue strongly toward free trade.

I think given the somewhat contentions nature of this debate, it's nice to point out that we've come to an agreement on 95% of the reworking of the "strategic decision" event. So, that's nice. :)

2-2, anyone want to break the deadlock?
 

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Originally posted by doktarr
Like Issac, I think that this is open-and-shut in favor of free trade, but I'm not sure the four of us can come to any sort of agreement here.

Again, in game terms:

Mercantilism = trading mainly within your home borders.

Free trade = trade with other nations, getting a large share of trade from TPs and other areas outside your borders.
i already said why this is not necesssarily the case.

for mercantilism it is true that easier embargoes means you can protect your own CoTs easier and make it easier for you to trade in your own CoTs. but for free trade, no free trade refusals only means that you lose control over your own CoT's, it doesn't mean it is easier to trade in overseas CoTs. with province tendencies, if it is true, then it depends on the risk of losing control of your own CoTs. in fact the increased % cost for free trade has the effect of disfavouring sending merchants overseas compared with sending merchants to domestic CoTs. The increased number of merchants can be sent either to domestic or overseas CoTs.
Originally posted by doktarr
I can't see a single argument here that says that naval China should be more mercantilistic than historical China - only that it would have some of the same concerns an inwardly-focussed China did. But Isaac and I have made a few distinct arguments (more colonists, more merchants, fewer trade refusals, and the province CoT tendencies) that argue strongly toward free trade.
perhaps it is because of your presumption which i have already dealt with above, but if i have not been clear enough, the argument towards more mercantilism was simply that part of the reason Zheng He was sent out was to increase China's control of domestic CoTs. The 'distinct arguments' i already explained why they don't equate to free trade.
Originally posted by doktarr
I think given the somewhat contentions nature of this debate, it's nice to point out that we've come to an agreement on 95% of the reworking of the "strategic decision" event. So, that's nice. :)

2-2, anyone want to break the deadlock?
of course, this is the only issue left with those events.:) more participation from outside is appreciated.
 

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Originally posted by Sun_Zi_36

for mercantilism it is true that easier embargoes means you can protect your own CoTs easier and make it easier for you to trade in your own CoTs. but for free trade, no free trade refusals only means that you lose control over your own CoT's, it doesn't mean it is easier to trade in overseas CoTs. with province tendencies, if it is true, then it depends on the risk of losing control of your own CoTs. in fact the increased % cost for free trade has the effect of disfavouring sending merchants overseas compared with sending merchants to domestic CoTs. The increased number of merchants can be sent either to domestic or overseas CoTs.
I disagree with most of this. The fact that Chinese provinces are more likely to trade in Chinese COTs if China is mercantalistic, and that overseas provinces are more likely to trade in Chinese COTs if the Chinese are free trade is the crux of the matter reagrdless of how difficult it is to keep merchants in your COTs. But I'd expect exactly this to be the outcome of an outward looking China, more Chinese merchants overseas, more foreign merchants at home. And surely a goal of Zheng He would have been to have more of SE Asia trade therough China, i.e., increasing the scale of Chinese COTs.

And I also disagree with your argument about free trade favouring keeping merchants at home. It obviously depends on your situation, but until the Europeans show up China wil invariably have the best trade tech in the region. In this case trade is very profitable, and all merchants that can be sent should be sent. Unless China is losing lots of merchants at home, the increased number of merchants will mean more merchants are sent overseas. I think your case is more applicable for a country that is weak in trade, but in that case neither the free trader nor the mercantilist will be sending many merchants overseas.

And on a fundamental level I just don't see how a closed China can be more free trade than an open China. At the very least this will be pretty confusing to people seeing the event for the first time.

None of this is to say that any version of China should be free trade. Rather that the open China should be less mercantilistic than the closed China. Both are, without a doubt, very mercantilistic.
 

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The problem is, for those who favor closer to free trade, that china sent its expeditions out to specifically tighten its control over the markets and later after the english arrived mostly, they tightened them in response to agressive behavior. So either way, it was for more control over merchant practices.

Now other events for a more naval might push slightly toward free trade, but not the governmental policies based on Zheng He's voyages or Closure of China.

Also on another point, about colonist, a naval-looking china did not colonize in the sense the europeans did, though incentives or forced (except maybe interally) and the only places they colonized with general populace was the eastern coast of SEA, the rest were just trade post level establishments. And even the colonies in SEA weren't government sponsored, but were spurred mostly by Zheng He's voyages. While that in theory may support your claim, there's no proof that is was a general emigration because of the chinese polocies as opposed to simply the stories of an exotic beyond that Zheng He brought back. The first wave was during his 1st set of voyages and exceeded the second wave by more than double. Exact numbers are hard to pin down. The second wave came right after his second voyage, but was far less compared to the previous wave both in numbers (even in ratio based on number/lenght of time) and in the length it lasted. That is not to say emigration didn't stop or only occured during that time, but those were the 2 major time periods until modern times.
 

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And around and around we go, arguing how many mercantilists can dance on the head of a pin while most of the events are already hammered out...

The problem is, for those who favor closer to free trade, that china sent its expeditions out to specifically tighten its control over the markets
Well, the main mechanism for controlling foreign markets in the game is sending merchants, which has little to do with mercantilism vs. free trade. The only other ways foreign trade can be controlled are through expanding the coverage of your CoTs, which free trade does.
and later after the english arrived mostly, they tightened them in response to agressive behavior.
Again, this is a later event and doesn't belong in this discussion (although I agree with you).
Now other events for a more naval might push slightly toward free trade, but not the governmental policies based on Zheng He's voyages or Closure of China.
So, the 1436 and 1525 events can drop mercantilism in your opinion?
Also on another point, about colonist, a naval-looking china did not colonize in the sense the europeans did, though incentives or forced (except maybe interally) and the only places they colonized with general populace was the eastern coast of SEA, the rest were just trade post level establishments.
So, the Chinaexplore AI should be set to mostly put down TP's, I suppose.
And even the colonies in SEA weren't government sponsored, but were spurred mostly by Zheng He's voyages. While that in theory may support your claim, there's no proof that is was a general emigration because of the chinese polocies as opposed to simply the stories of an exotic beyond that Zheng He brought back.
Well OK, but one way or another more colonists make sense. During the Zheng He period we have a wave of colonists (which, admittedly, could just be modeled by the existing colonist bonuses in events). Afterwards, a naval China would tend to put down more TPs.

Again, neither Isaac nor I are arguing that mercantilism should drop to zero. Just that taking the ahistoric choices should bring mercantilism slightly down, not significantly up.

OK, so Sun Zi's response is next, then it's Isaac's turn, right? :rolleyes:
 

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Originally posted by doktarr
So, the 1436 and 1525 events can drop mercantilism in your opinion?
No, i meant that events out of the control of the central government should shift it to more free trade. However, if a human player never touches mercantilism/free trade slider it should never drop below 6 under any circumstance.
So, the Chinaexplore AI should be set to mostly put down TP's, I suppose.
Yes its at 95 right now and so it shouldn't be dropped below that.
Well OK, but one way or another more colonists make sense. During the Zheng He period we have a wave of colonists (which, admittedly, could just be modeled by the existing colonist bonuses in events). Afterwards, a naval China would tend to put down more TPs.

Again, neither Isaac nor I are arguing that mercantilism should drop to zero. Just that taking the ahistoric choices should bring mercantilism slightly down, not significantly up.
IMO deoending on certain factors outside direct player control it should be lowered, otherwise the 1436 and to a lesser extent 1525 event should raise it. the 1424 event shouldn't do either as the benifits china gained in trade deals was quickly eroded.
OK, so Sun Zi's response is next, then it's Isaac's turn, right? :rolleyes
Sorry, i went out of order ;)
 

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Still out of order :)

Jinnai, my concern is that 'outward' China be less mercantilistic than 'inward' China. If you want to use other events to accomplish that goal while the Zheng He events themselves make China more mercantilistic I don't have any issue with that approach.

However, 1525 is much too late to accomplish that goal. The point is that before Europeans arrive the effects of an outward looking China would be less mercantilistic than a China that had 'turned inward'.
 

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Mongol Invasion events?

OK, lots of good discussion on the mercantilism point, now to move a little ahead in history...

How about those Mongol invasions? I just read the whole AGC thread on them for the first time. Some thoughts:

1) Yeah, you definitely need a Mongol nation. I think this is basically beyond debate if you actually want the Mongols to be a major threat as oppose to a consistent annoyance. Having them as a nation is more important in my mind than having more than one Chinese revolter. I'm not sure how low on tags we are, but I'm just making the point that I'd give the Mongols priority.

I would suggest putting them in revolt.txt with revolt=no, pagan religion, exotic tech, and cores on China's 8 northern border provinces.

Revolt=no because we want to make sure they only pop up due to invasion events.

Pagan so that they can be annexed (i.e. driven back into the PTI) in one war.

Exotic tech because... well they would probably be uninterested in advancing in technology. They could be China tech I suppose. Note that since I'd be having them revolt from China each time they appear, their troops will always be on par with the Chinese ones. This is a bit unfair if China really zips ahead in technology, but in that case they can use cheap infantry with fire phases to counter the primarily cavalry Mongols.

2) Sun Zi, have you written a whole set of events for the standard invasions yet? I like the ideas of the four options you give, but I have some different ideas on implementation.

3) I like the idea of a "once and for all" event, but couldn't this just be modeled by choosing the fourth option? I don't see why being able to choose that option should be related to whether you've conquered Tibet or SE Asia.
 

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Re: Mongol Invasion events?

Originally posted by doktarr
1) Yeah, you definitely need a Mongol nation....

[snip]

I would suggest putting them in revolt.txt with revolt=no, pagan religion, exotic tech, and cores on China's 8 northern border provinces.
Hmmmm.....Well that makes them able and wanting to conquer those 8 territories easily, but what about the rest of China.Surely an unstopped horde wouldn't have been content with China's most backward area.
Revolt=no because we want to make sure they only pop up due to invasion events.
They can still release them as a vassal....
Pagan so that they can be annexed (i.e. driven back into the PTI) in one war.
That's not too far fetched...
Exotic tech because... well they would probably be uninterested in advancing in technology. They could be China tech I suppose. Note that since I'd be having them revolt from China each time they appear, their troops will always be on par with the Chinese ones. This is a bit unfair if China really zips ahead in technology, but in that case they can use cheap infantry with fire phases to counter the primarily cavalry Mongols.
Well as far a warfare goes, in the area they were fighting they'd be quite advanced and much easier to adapt than china, but as far as trade and infrastructure go....I would go with China tech, but have evets that fire to give troops increase land investment say about 200.
3) I like the idea of a "once and for all" event, but couldn't this just be modeled by choosing the fourth option? I don't see why being able to choose that option should be related to whether you've conquered Tibet or SE Asia.
Can you post those events here? Its hard to wade through multiple threads on a 56k...and phonelines built during the Eisenhower adminstratiom.
 

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Re: Re: Mongol Invasion events?

Hmmmm.....Well that makes them able and wanting to conquer those 8 territories easily, but what about the rest of China.Surely an unstopped horde wouldn't have been content with China's most backward area.
True... but they'll never get all eight of those as long as China moved their capital. You could make a special event (in case China left their capital in Shanghai) that gives the Mongols cores on most of China if they get the northern eight. But this is mostly fantasy, not a big gameplay concern. The only time I see this being an issue is if a human player re-loads as the Mongols.
They can still release them as a vassal....
Yes, but if a Chinese player is willing to cede their entire northern border to the Mongols just to eliminate the invasions, I don't see this as much of an exploit. The way I imagined the events working, you would still get some Mongol invasion events as long as you owned any of the northern border provinces. I was thinking that the invasions could be province-triggered (and possibly random).

But on the other hand, I've had some second thoughts on the "revolt=no" idea. I'd probably have to ask an expert about this, but does anybody know if you can put more sophisticated triggers in revolt.txt? I was specifically thinking of allowing the Mongols to revolt only when a "mongol invasion" flag is active for China.
Well as far a warfare goes, in the area they were fighting they'd be quite advanced and much easier to adapt than china, but as far as trade and infrastructure go....I would go with China tech, but have evets that fire to give troops increase land investment say about 200.
Well, I don't have any problem with making such an event, but I don't think it would be necessary, since I don't expect the Mongols to be a persistent nation. I see mongol invasions being modeled by large revolts, and any time the revolts are successful, the Mongol nation springs up and China now has to deal with a greater threat. As long as China manages to periodically annex the Mongols, each successive Mongol invasion will have tech-parity with China.

This brings up another question for the "experts": can a random event be triggered? It would be nice to be able to make a generic "Mongol reinfocement" event that gave the Mongols a bunch of medium-sized cavalry armies and sent them to war with the Chinese.
Can you post those events here? Its hard to wade through multiple threads on a 56k...and phonelines built during the Eisenhower adminstratiom.
I could, but I'd rather wait for Sun Zi to tell us what he's actually written already, so I know what's worth relating and what isn't.

Thumbnail sketch - periodic events asking China to either build up their defense, try to bribe the Mongols, or attack the Mongols. Depending on their choices, they get more or less Mongol attacks in the next time period. Peter Ebbesen contributed a "once and for all" event that allowed China to have a big "war" with the Mongols (modeled by rebels), where victory in the "war" would mean no more Mongol threat.
 
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Re: Re: Re: Mongol Invasion events?

Originally posted by doktarr

This brings up another question for the "experts": can a random event be triggered?

No. You could stuff the file with randome events that are triggered on a flag and veto other events with that flag I suppose.