Romanian Politics in 1908
Following the peaceful resolution of the wars of 1907, the Kingdom of Romania saw rapid shifts in its political situation in the lead up to the 1908 elections. Though many Romanians were quite pleased to have secured victory and liberated the Romanian minority in Southern Dobrudja, the costs of the war brought about many detractors of the National Liberal Party. Prime Minister Dimitrie Sturdza and Minister for Foreign Affairs Ion I. C. Brătianu had been leading voices in the National Liberal Party for closer ties to Germany, which had been entrenched in the recent war, but most of the party's rank and file remained Francophiles, and felt revulsion at the shift in foreign policy. The Conservatives were similarly split over the war's outcome, but for different reasons. Gheorghe Grigore Cantacuzino, the official head of the Conservative Party was critical of the war, citing that it had diplomatically isolated Romania, brought high cost to the Romanian people, and entrenched Ottoman rule over the Christian peoples of the Balkans. In sharp contrast, Cantacuzino's greatest rival in the Conservative Party, Petre P. Carp, was highly supportive of the war, always a firm Russophobe and Germanophile. His Juminist allies have been a prime source of bipartisan support for the National Liberal Party, compared to the more hard liner conservatives under Cantacuzino.
If the Twelve Month War divided Romanians, the post war climate in the Balkans cleaved through political lines. The Treaty of Bucharest and increasingly close ties to the Ottoman Empire attracted critics and proponents in droves. Proponents cited the treaty as vital with increasingly hostile relations with Bulgaria and Austria-Hungary, the former due to the war, and the latter due to the much reviled Danubian Dam. Critics said that the treaty didn't protect Romania at all, and shackled it to a powder keg at odds with half of Europe. Those who could remember the time when Romania was de jure an Ottoman vassal were also wary of forging new ties to the Ottomans as well. Even those who were supportive of the government for the Treaty of Bucharest, were concerned by the
Open Letter to the Aromanian People published by the Romanian envoy to the Ottoman Empire, Nicolae Mișu. Petre P. Carp was the most prominent of these, claiming that "Romanian foreign policy should not be driven by the interests of the Aromanians".
Economically the nation was less at odds, due to the highly successful reforms the National Liberal Party had undertaken, often with Juminist and sometimes general conservative support. These reforms hadn't even brought the nation into debt, so only the most hard liner conservatives publicly spoke against modernization and economic reforms. What division there was stemmed from the urban-based policy of the National Liberals compared to the more agricultural-based policy sought by the Conservatives. A few National Liberals and some Juminist Conservatives have made noise about social reforms, to break up feudalistic land ownership, but there is little support among the voter base for such measures. Electoral reform is also a non-issue to both parties.
Thus there are four major political movements in Romania in the prelude to the 1908 elections. The main National Liberals, headed by Prime Minister Sturdza and Foreign Minister Brătianu, seek a continuation of current foreign policy, tying Romania to Germany and the Ottoman Empire as foreign allies, and further economic reforms to industrialize and urbanize Romania. The Francophile National Liberals, effectively led by up and coming politician Nicolae Xenopol, are a wild card, potentially supportive of the main party due to inertia and economic alignment, potentially supportive of the Conservatives over foreign affairs, or they could try to create their own political party. The hardline Conservatives under Cantacuzino and the more moderate Take Ionescu, seek to disentangle Romania from the foreign alliances it has become involved in and seek rapprochement with its neighbors, while also redirecting economic focus to agriculture and rural development. Finally the Juminist Conservatives around Carp wish to maintain ties to Germany, while scaling back Romanian involvement in the Balkans, and seek economic development of both urban and rural interests.
Romania's direction for the next few years, and potentially its status as a power in Eastern Europe, will be determined in the upcoming election.