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The Soviet Union would have started World War II no matter who was in charge. They wanted Poland back and they wanted to 'liberate' the German workers.

"The hour is not far when, at the summons of Karl Liebknecht, the German people will turn their weapons against the capitalist exploiters," Lenin, April 16th, 1917.

He said that right after getting back to Russia with the help of the Germans during World War One.
Don't put too much weight on individual statements from leaders. Lenin wasn't stupid but he said many things that look stupid in hindsight because he was caught up in the moment. Remember how Churchill wrote in his memoirs that the U-Boat scared him the most and they almost lost the war? Economic historians together with naval historians have now proved that there was never any risk of Great Britain succumbing against Dönitz's boats - despite the losses in shipping, tonnage kept growing and British industry grew during the war. So, while it's true that things looked bleak when looking only at numbers of ships lost, it actually had a very negligible effect on the war.

While I agree there is a clear through line from WW1 to WW2, a great many things could have been done to prevent WW2 as we know it happening and a great many events happened to turn out the 'wrong' way.

Off the top of my head Things that could have broken the link; the US stock market crash not turning into a depression as policy makers don't keep making it worse, Ferdinand Porsche being hit by a bus, Alexander I of Yugoslavia not being assassinated, Trotsky not Stalin winning the post-Lenin powerstruggle.

Or for a more directly related, but more controversial answer, making a consistent decision on implementing Versailles. Ideally accept that the French were correct and that the main problem was Germany not wanting to pay, if they had tried they could have managed it (taxes in Germany were lower than in UK or France, coal consumption per capita was also higher despite Berlin claiming it was 'impossible' for Germany to export any more coal). So just hold your nerve on that.

Failing that, follow through on the 'it was too harsh' analysis and stop fudging it with moratoriums and rescheduling. Bite the bullet and cancel large chunks of debt (including inter-Allied debts) and admit the Class C Bonds (which were well over half the notional total) will never be repaid. The entire Dawes plan (loan money to Germany so Germany can make reparations to France/UK, so they can pay back the Russian loans they guaranteed) idea was ridiculous. Just declare the cancellations, it comes to the same thing economically but stops it being a rallying cry for extremists in Germany.
While I agree that there are things that could have prevented WW2 or at least caused a very different war, my point was that without WW1, you cannot have WW2 because all the reasons for WW2 were seeded in WW1. But of course, that doesn't mean that the same goes the other way - WW1 doesn't make WW2 inevitable. I'm not saying that you're guilty of this logical fallacy, I'm pointing out that it's an extremely common logical fallacy among historians, both amateurs and professionals. Correlation isn't causality and all that jazz.

Thus, we have to separate these arguments in order to reduce the confusion:

WW1 and WW2 are a single continuum because you cannot have WW2 without WW1.
yet
WW1 and WW2 are separate events because WW1 does not mandate that WW2 must happen.

And for sure, there are many points where things could have gone better. Suppression of Nazis in Germany. Failure for Reds in the Russian Civil War. Success for the anti-war politicians in Japanese politics. Better economic policies across the developed world. And loads more.
 
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Time consuming scenario editing aside, the best one could probably do is let the game ‘autoplay’ through to the desired date as Bhutan or some such then tag over to the desired country. Maybe with a bit of save file editing at that point. It would be more random than a fully purpose designed scenario, but could be done.

My ‘Quick and Dirty’ French game has taken that approach with a post Victory in Europe situation modelled along a mix of the game’s outcome and some OTL analogues for 1944-45. With Japan still in the war and deep in the Soviet Far East. I’ll eventually play a Part 2 of the game from that situation, but as a different power. Just need to finish one of my current AAR games off!
The best start dates would be earlier bookmarks that would allow attempting to avoid WW2. Maybe a true end to the Great War and not a cease fire that leaves most unhappy. 1914, 1920, 1930, 1933 start dates?
 
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The best start dates would be earlier bookmarks that would allow attempting to avoid WW2. Maybe a true end to the Great War and not a cease fire that leaves most unhappy. 1914, 1920, 1930, 1933 start dates?
In my opinion Vicky and HoI needs to be one game that begins with the Vicky start date and ends when the Cold War ends.
 
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1914, 1920, 1930, 1933 start dates?
A 1933 start date makes some sense since Hitler came to power that year and some form of WWII will still take place. The problem with earlier starts in my opinion is that no recognizable WWII would probably happen. It would be a cool experiment, but I think people would have to adjust their expectations to a pure sandbox that's WWII era themed.
 
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A 1933 start date makes some sense since Hitler came to power that year and some form of WWII will still take place. The problem with earlier starts in my opinion is that no recognizable WWII would probably happen. It would be a cool experiment, but I think people would have to adjust their expectations to a pure sandbox that's WWII era themed.
I'd prefer a great depression start date or rather a wall street crash start. Then so many things could change and such.
 
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I once changed the start date to 1933. Not that much of a difference. You can change the start and end date. I always change the end date.
 
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In my opinion Vicky and HoI needs to be one game that begins with the Vicky start date and ends when the Cold War ends.
That would be a great time frame. The problem with HoI is a good human player should beat the AI if willing to MinMax and SaveScum as needed. The Vicky start allows many sandboxy decisions to possibly avoid WW1 or make it climactic enough to prevent WW2. Some of the major issues to be resolved would be the shift from an agrarian to an industrial society, the formation of German and Italian nations, the rise of large companies, labor vs capital, the ending of slavery, colonization of Africa and Asia, shifting populations from rural to urban. The response to these issues by the player and the AI will lead to very unique games especially the AI response is randomized (even a 75% split instead of a 100% on decisions will change countries greatly). HoI is at its best as multi player. The wars of the new game would differ from game to game and be a side show instead of the main attraction.
 
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That would be a great time frame. The problem with HoI is a good human player should beat the AI if willing to MinMax and SaveScum as needed. The Vicky start allows many sandboxy decisions to possibly avoid WW1 or make it climactic enough to prevent WW2. Some of the major issues to be resolved would be the shift from an agrarian to an industrial society, the formation of German and Italian nations, the rise of large companies, labor vs capital, the ending of slavery, colonization of Africa and Asia, shifting populations from rural to urban. The response to these issues by the player and the AI will lead to very unique games especially the AI response is randomized (even a 75% split instead of a 100% on decisions will change countries greatly). HoI is at its best as multi player. The wars of the new game would differ from game to game and be a side show instead of the main attraction.
I think that's why none of the events etc should be tied to a specific country, but only to specific circumstances. Thus, there can be alt worlds with 3 WWs or only 1, or let's say between a Nazi France, a Communist Germany and a Monarchist Russia or any other crazy circumstance. Who wants a WW2 from our timeline of course can just select a 1930s start date and go on as usual.
 
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To even out the AI, have you ever considered playing one nation from each faction? Thank you for all that you do
I thought about it, but given the strength of the inefficiency of the HoI3 systems, I'm just not going to risk it.
 
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It seems that while the commentariat has become occupied with things like discussing historical antecedents or speculating about future mods, there is an update to be commented on even if the results have been rather one-sided as always. Thusly we shall endeavor.

With a suitable plan, the sortie of the Red Banner Fleet had begun.
The word "suitable" is a significant load-bearing component of this sentence.

The Kriegsmarine had dispatched all of their Marinefliegergeschwaders (MFG) to the Baltic, having long since become irrelevant in the Atlantic, these forces sighted and caused most of the damage to the Soviet fleet as it cruised in the Gulf of Riga.
Admittedly reasonable, at least on the German part as they are being reasonable in this ATL. Less reasonable is the lack of Soviet marine air support, while no one will claim that they were the greatest naval aviators of their time the naval aviation arm of the Red Navy was nothing if not sizable so I am surprised that they would not make an appearance, particularly as it seems the Soviets have made the unwise decision of concentrating all of their significant naval forces in the Baltic instead of splitting some heavy units out to the Black Sea Fleet as historically.

The surface group dispatched included three battlecruisers, Blucher, Tirpitz, and Pommern, escorted by three light cruisers Stuttgart, Nautilus, and Lubeck.
I think TBC has a GIF for this.

In what can only be a disastrous level of overconfidence, the trainee radar operators and gunners aboard Moltke were not quite ready for the engagement, and it showed: by the third salvo from the ancient dreadnought, Moltke was severely damaged, suffering the loss of her two after turrets and set afire.
The anti-propaganda push continues to be alive and well, with the single successful hit from the Soviet fleets being talked up as a major disaster rather than a 30% loss of hitpoints easily shrugged off. Certainly the effort to maintain the facade is appreciated.

A few weeks later on 28 February, the Marat was sunk by the Marinefliegergeschwaders, and the last major fleet unit, Krazni Kavkaz, was similarly sent to the bottom on 4 March, ending the threat of any major Red Fleet units.
Again, the wisdom of concentrating all major fleet units in the Baltic is questionable at best, and as we have seen here the Red Navy is certainly not "at best".

A daring plan was concocted: the lighter Gebirgsjäger-divisionen would be loaded aboard the available sealift capacity to conduct an amphibious landing in Murmansk to deny the Soviets their main port, and then, supported by the Fallschirmjager-divisionen, follow-on operations could be conducted. Dubbed “Operation Northern Lights,” it took advantage of the limited Soviet naval forces in the area and the accompanying lack of reconnaissance to detect the movements.
The lack of a Severnyy Flot is disappointing yet all too expected from the AI...

In the end, though, Oberkommando Ost believed that holding the port city was a “city too far” removed from the support of the base at Murmansk, and withdrew the paratroopers on 27 June 1943, leaving the Soviets to reoccupy the city on 8 July 1943.
I would like to hear why Oberkommando Ost even bothered in the first place, then...

numerous rabble-rousers said:
Alt-historical rambling
I won't comment too much on this, save to note that one significant thing not being discussed is the more global picture, particularly but not exclusively events in Japan and China. While at least in OTL these areas of the world were admittedly secondary in instigating what we consider WWII (the Chinese would beg to differ of course) they were not unimportant and certainly contributed to the expansion of a European war into a global one.

To give one intriguing example, with some combination of events leading to Japan either remaining in the Anglo-Japanese Alliance or signing the London Naval Treaty (or both), Hitler faces tremendously more problems (not that this stopped him in OTL), as he lacks a perceived reliable ally against the Soviets in the Far East (China being not so reliable for this purpose) and has to deal with the increased ability of the British to focus on European affairs with a friendlier Japan not proving to be so much of a distraction in the Pacific - not only is the RN available to thwart any Axis naval designs but the reduced Japanese threat means colonial and/or ANZAC forces are more readily available in the event of a European war. Does this alone change the calculus? It is of course impossible to say, but certainly it is an intriguing line of thought.

AS @nuclearslurpee mentioned, this kind of thing is common in games where the AI is either non-existent or very rudimentary and/or mechanics and gameplay are even more complex. He mentioned Aurora and that's a game where quite a number of stories have been told by a player who simultaneously runs multiple factions/nations in the game. I'll toot my own horn and link my own: http://aurora2.pentarch.org/index.php?board=252.0 -reading order is indicated by the numbers in parenthesis in the title of the threads.
Always good to see cross-pollination between two fine forums! I would say "and games", but calling HoI3 a fine game is a controversial statement around these parts. :p

where's my update?!
Always a relevant and important question.

In my opinion Vicky and HoI needs to be one game that begins with the Vicky start date and ends when the Cold War ends.
The only problem with this is that Vicky doesn't really support the war mechanics necessary for HoI-style wargaming, and trying to cram HoI-style wars into Vicky would be detrimental to the latter in many ways (granted, not that the war mechanics in V2 are particularly stellar either). Otherwise this would be an amazing game, certainly I think a future HoI5 which returns to correct and wholesome principles instead of the crud that is HoI4 could take much inspiration from Vicky especially with some of the new mechanics V3 will introduce.
 
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The only problem with this is that Vicky doesn't really support the war mechanics necessary for HoI-style wargaming, and trying to cram HoI-style wars into Vicky would be detrimental to the latter in many ways
I agree that the nice part of HOI is carrying out maneuvers in detailed provinces, but Vic 2 would be painful to play with HOI3's number of provinces.

I think a future HoI5 which returns to correct and wholesome principles instead of the crud that is HoI4 could take much inspiration from Vicky especially with some of the new mechanics V3 will introduce.
A lot of the diplomacy changes look really interesting, and they could really help flesh out that part of a HOI game.
 
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XVII: Operation Charax: Italy in the Soviet War January - August 1943
AUmjVM3.jpg

War in the East
XVII: Operation Charax: Italy in the Soviet War
January - August 1943

For as long as the Germans had identified their main continental enemy as the Soviet Union, they expected the support of their stalwart ally, Italy, in its dismemberment. Mussolini, for his part, long dreamed of the resurgent Roman Empire; as part of this hope, included much of the Black Sea as part of the territory. Italy had for years conducted low-level talks with the Turks to bring them on-side, but by-and-large, the Turks did not seem to wish to join as a junior appendage of Mussolini’s efforts and certainly did not wish to hitch their trailer to that of Germany, regardless of the Great War-vintage German battlecruiser flying the Turkish flag. Ankara did, however, understand their predicament in the rising tensions as the Axis and Soviet Union came closer to exchanging blows. With the Allies thoroughly bludgeoned, the Turks had no support to call upon: the Soviets would be just as bad as the Italians or Germans in their turns. Thus, when the Italian Ambassador Raffaele Guariglia called upon the Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Fethi Okyar, the Turks begrudgingly permitted the Italians virtually unlimited passage through the Bosphorus and Dardanelles, in direct contradiction of the Treaty of Montreux. This was counterbalanced by the Soviets repeatedly forcing submarines through the straits, often in the company of merchant marine vessels to “cover” them.

Italian plans for the Black Sea were nebulous. No planning discussions between the two major European Axis powers occurred, with the attendant issues in providing mutual support. Bulgaria had offered a launching pad for the Italians to vault into Soviet territory, and the Japanese had transferred eight flotillas of transport ships for the operation, as the Italian merchant marine was overwhelmed by the level of sealift that the Comando Supremo expected to require to bring forces into theater. It was this lack of planning that left the Italian invasion’s foundation on so much sand. Overall, the Regio Esercito wanted to gain the Crimea to use as a defensible springboard from which further attacks could be launched. On the other side of the Black Sea, the objective would be Batumi and the ports there to strike into the Caucasus. This was largely agreeable to the Regia Marina, who were dealing with a significant Soviet submarine threat, and wanted to target all of the harbors as soon as possible to deny them to the enemy.

The first target was Crimea. Capturing a deep water port which would form the foundation (and defensible redoubt) for further expansion along the Black Sea coast. The sudden declaration of war from Moscow moved the timeline forward rapidly, but it still took the Italians nearly a month to stage their forces. German intelligence indicated that the peninsula was only held by a single low-quality garrison division; from the first landings on the isthmus of Krasnoperekop, until the peninsula was secured, occupied two infantry divisions and cost over 160 Italian soldiers their lives. German intelligence was also relied upon regarding the second port of Odessa: this was tasked to the Italian 1AB, staging out of Varna, Bulgaria, and was taken by coup de main given that no official Soviet forces were available in the region, this was rapidly followed up by the introduction of the IX Corps and its constituent divisions soon afterwards. A corps-level push from VII Corps–later earning their sobriquet, “Kerch’s Stalwarts” or “The Abandoned Corps” for reasons that will become clear later--attempted to force the Kerch strait, but the Soviet 22nd Tank Division appeared and the crossing was abandoned with the loss of 70 troops in mere hours.

Another landing to secure a port turned into the most disastrous loss suffered by the Regio Esercito to date in the war. VIII Corps had been tasked with securing Mariupol, and conducted their landing there virtually unopposed on 20 March. The Soviets had significant forces already in the area and rushed more to seal off the city. After a few days organizing, the Soviets initiated the assault to drive the invaders out. Over the course of eleven days, VIII Corps, originally consisting of the 20th, 27th and 28th Infantry Divisions and eventually reinforced by the 23rd Infantry and 1st Airborne Divisions fought against seven Soviet divisions including the 24th, 74th, 99th, 38th, 60th Mountain, 1st Mechanized and 3rd Garrison Divisions. When the Soviets called their assaults off, over 25,000 Italians and Russians lay dead on the field–fourteen thousand of them caused by the efforts of the Regia Aeronautica–three Italian infantry divisions had surrendered and the Italian corps commander, Berti, had shot himself on a “suggestion” from Mussolini.

409i2DM.png

Freezing Italian troops manning a machine gun near Mariupol, which acquired the name
“Graveyard of the Army” (Cimitero dell'esercito) for the thousands who died there from both
combat and non-combat related maladies.

In what some would call a “typically Italian” move, a corps headquarters, designated IX Corps and not to be confused with the other IX Corps holding Odessa, along with its attendant divisions (25th, 26th, 29th, 31st and 32nd Infantry Divisions) were landed in Mykolaiv around 22 March. With much of the Soviet forces available for the Ukrainian theater deposed in assaulting Mariupol and rushing more to the defense of the Caucasus, only two Soviet Rifle and a lone Cavalry division were available to contest this latest invasion. This battle lasted nearly three days, cost 1400 lives amongst the Italian and Russian soldiers and brought such anxiety into the Commando Supremo as to order the rapid launch of II Corps’ “mushroom attack” or breakout from Krasnoperekop. Each of the five divisions (3rd to 7th Infantry) were given their own objectives to solidify the Italian hold on southern Ukraine. The first phase of the assault opened before dawn on 27 March as the corps moved out of their assault positions against three Soviet garrison divisions holding in Chaplynka. The Soviet defenses rapidly crumbled under the onslaught, despite no available heavy artillery being available to the Italian forces. The next day saw the four divisions of the second IX Corps launch out of their own revetments into Nova Odesa and Dobre to widen the bridgehead between the Pivdennyi Buh (the Southern Bug) and Dnipro Rivers.

As the forces continued their assaults, the real IX Corps–still holding in Odessa and not subjected to any attacks–was awaiting relief from the Heer: III Panzerkorps was making rapid progress in driving down the Pivdenni Buh river. By the end of March, leading elements from 14 Panzer-division would make contact with the left flank of the second IX Corps, which trapped three Rifle divisions against Odessa; it was only through the inertia of the IX Corps’ commander that they did not take advantage of this situation and simply allowed the Germans to take that territory. This did not stop a breakout from forces on the shoulders of the German advance, but that release was temporary: bridges became ideal territory over the Pivdennyi Buh. As Germany continued to reduce the Soviet forces south of the Pivdennyi Buh and around Odessa, Italian forces continued to pursue rapid gains throughout Ukraine. One of II Corps’ prongs was directed to attempt to relieve VIII Corps by land, reaching Melitopol before a Soviet unit managed to cut off their line around Ivanivka. As confused orders and directives continued to emanate from Sevastopol, April began with an attempt by the Italian’s “Task Force Crimea” to occupy as much territory between the Buh and Dnipro rivers. In this, their strategic eyes were far larger than their stomachs: by late January 1944, much of the territory secured by Italy had been turned over to German control, aside from the Crimea, in exchange for the Germans’ assistance when the reemergence of the Allies brought the threat of the Little Entente to the fore in Rome.

6tVs6QT.png

German troops from III Panzerkorps share a photo with the troops of the IX Corps in Odessa.

Until then, a grand “left hook” maneuver was planned by IX Corps in early-to-mid April: striking out with its five divisions, the Italians would assume the northern portion of the line with an ending objective of Dnipro. At first, good progress was made against the Soviet defenders, despite grievous losses. After thirteen days of assaults, a multi-pronged Soviet counterattack caught the Italians by surprise. A local corps-sized attack in Polohy, led II Corps to desperately order attacks from both the Regia Aeronautica and the divisions in Mariupol and Zaporizhzhia to attempt to spoil the Soviet advance; meanwhile, a brave Soviet 107. Rifle Division managed to cross the Dniepr and cut off the logistics tail of II Corps in Vesele (the Italians having bypassed Ivanivka). The Italian 5th and 7th Infantry Divisions went into the attack, but the river crossing hampered their efforts. A Soviet Cavalry division, supported by a Mountain Infantry division had managed to force the Italian’s 31st Infantry Division back out of Dolynska, and then turned the Italian 32nd Infantry Division’s flank as they attempted to assault into Oleksandriia. This assault was joined by the Soviet 8th Guards Rifle division in Oleksandrivka. With so much of the Regia Esercito spread across the Ukrainian steppe, the German X Armeecorps came to the relief of the Italians again, the sheer weight of the German force driving the Soviets into flight. As the Soviet counterattack turned back some of the Italian gains, it was the Germans efforts which turned the tide for the “left hook.” Hitler, infuriated with the Italian’s unannounced efforts into Ukraine, ordered the Heer to ensure that the Italians realized no further gains; indeed, Hitler was downright apoplectic when on 19 May the Soviets conducted an air assault with their 1st Airborne Division into an unoccupied Odessa.

gteic9j.png

Italian Alpini conducting a review prior to deployment into the Caucasus. The fact that–despite nearly
three years of warfare–this was the first use of these premier troops by the Italians shows just how inarticulate
the Comando Supremo was at war.

If the Italians thought their eyes were too wide for their stomachs, they absolutely had a pie-in-the-sky opinion about the prospects for the invasion of the Caucasus. The first landings led by the five divisions of the I Corps (which consisted of all of the Alpini divisions), fittingly organized to execute on 1 March, landed in the territory around Batumi, to no initial opposition. These divisions rapidly fanned out across the Georgian landscape. I Corps was soon joined by IV Corps (1st, 2nd, and 14th Infantry Divisions) and VI Corps (12th, 18th, 19th, 21st, and 22nd Infantry Divisions). Only four heavy artillery brigades were in support; no other supporting arms aside from those intrinsic to the infantry, Alpini and mountain regiments were available. The heady drive out into the Caucasus, punctuated only briefly with battles against the few Soviet divisions rushed into the area, faltered when the logistics tail of the Caucasus task force could not keep up with the forces in the area. By June, losses from Soviet attacks over the mountains into the Georgian SSR had intensified, which combined with the inability to properly supply the forces at the front led the Regio Esercito to order what they called il Caucaso retrogrado, or the “Caucasian Retrograde.” While a bald-faced attempt to preserve what little dignity the Esercito had remaining, the forces began to collapse back to Batumi. Originally planned to simply minimize the defensive perimeter and to provide a springboard back into relevance, events elsewhere overtook the Italians, forcing a complete withdrawal, which fully ended on 30 August when the Soviet Army rolled into Batumi.

zJY3abd.png

A group of Italian generals seemingly confused by the map handed to them.

As the rise of the threat in the West dawned on the Axis powers, the Italians desperately attempted to move forces back into the mainland. This led to several issues of oversight. The Regio Esercito, not wishing to give up entirely on the Eastern front, attached an Army Group command to the Heer’s forces in the Soviet Union. This deprecated force, while claiming to lead the Italian Army in Russia, held only VIII Corps–with a mere two infantry divisions in Kerch–which was active on the front. What the Esercito had failed to notice was that their premier Alpini corps (I Corps) was still receiving orders through Army Group Russia, a situation which due to the inefficiencies of the Commando Supremo required nearly a month an a half to “return” the forces to their appropriate Italian command despite being in the Po valley.

In the six months during which the Italians were officially involved in the East, they suffered 77,344 killed, captured or missing while inflicting 132,574 killed, captured and missing on the Red Army. These figures do not reflect the losses suffered by the Regia Aeronautica or Regia Marina, or those inflicted upon the VVS or the Red Banner Baltic Fleet.

*****
 
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Great to have the AAR returned!
VIII Corps had been tasked with securing Mariupol
Haunting how the game can imitate current events sometimes. :(
When the Soviets called their assaults off, over 25,000 Italians and Russians lay dead on the field
Ditto.
Hitler was downright apoplectic
His usual state of affairs (in Downfall mode 24/7 :D)
events elsewhere overtook the Italians, forcing a complete withdrawal, which fully ended on 30 August when the Soviet Army rolled into Batumi.
How Italian/Mussolini.
 
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I see it is that time of the year when Wraith updates his AAR:

the Turks did not seem to wish to join as a junior appendage of Mussolini’s efforts and certainly did not wish to hitch their trailer to that of Germany,
Vur ha, indeed.

Thus, when the Italian Ambassador Raffaele Guariglia called upon the Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Fethi Okyar, the Turks begrudgingly permitted the Italians virtually unlimited passage through the Bosphorus and Dardanelles, in direct contradiction of the Treaty of Montreux. This was counterbalanced by the Soviets repeatedly forcing submarines through the straits, often in the company of merchant marine vessels to “cover” them.
I suppose it is as good of an explanation for kludgy and half-finished game mechanics as any I've yet seen.

A corps-level push from VII Corps–later earning their sobriquet, “Kerch’s Stalwarts” or “The Abandoned Corps” for reasons that will become clear later
Oh, good, a promise of drama and intrigue.

The Soviet defenses rapidly crumbled under the onslaught, despite no available heavy artillery being available to the Italian forces.
In true Italian fashion, a great mass of unavailable heavy artillery was made available, and a reasonable detachment of available artillery was made unavailable in the general confusion. :D

indeed, Hitler was downright apoplectic when on 19 May the Soviets conducted an air assault with their 1st Airborne Division into an unoccupied Odessa.
I admire the commitment to Italian roleplay on the part of the authAAR.

Italian Alpini conducting a review prior to deployment into the Caucasus. The fact that–despite nearly
three years of warfare–this was the first use of these premier troops by the Italians shows just how inarticulate
the Comando Supremo was at war.
I always respect an authAAR who can take potshots at himself, even if and in fact particularly if for the sake of traditional heaping upon the Italian generalship.

A group of Italian generals seemingly confused by the map handed to them.
I too am confused, why is the word "seemingly" used here? There can be no question about it.

A good update, summarizing some rare Axis struggles even though there is a foreboding hint of German competence in the background. It is just not an Axis AAR without the Italians somehow being Germany's worst enemy, after Hitler himself of course. I look forward to seeing next year's edition! ;)
 
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Another great update, and you've done a really good job roleplaying Mussolini with a poorly planned invasion. It's too bad the Italians already needed Germany to save them, but there are some things that will never change!
 
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Interesting to have such a big role for Italy in the invasion of the Soviet Black Sea ports, and for the result to be rather in character...

il Caucaso retrogrado
This sounds like they're shifting down a gear in order to push back out more effectively. (like you would in a car or on a bike before overtaking) Of course, the tactical withdrawal turned into a humiliating retreat which no amount of clever euphemisms can disguise. Considering how important the supply of oil is for modern fighting, Batumi was not just a tactical target but very much a strategic one.

Now I'm curious exactly what forced the Italians to pull troops back out of the theatre.

Great to see this continue.
 
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A new chapter and bringing with it a stunning return to form for Italy, for too long have they been basically competent but at last their true colours are shining through. Marvellous stuff.

Operation Charax:
A very unusual word. I presume it is Latin for "Incompetent bumbling that ruins the main effort"?
Italian corps commander, Berti, had shot himself on a “suggestion” from Mussolini.
Ohh that's harsh and a worrying sign of Germanic influence. I was under the impression Il Duce was much more a 'resign in disgrace' type for generals who failed him. Is this a sign he is under severe pressure and so stopping to Hitlerian measures?
Italian Alpini conducting a review prior to deployment into the Caucasus
Looking at those uniforms perhaps it was shame that kept them out of the war for so long? Would you want to go to war looking like that? Really?
These figures do not reflect the losses suffered by the Regia Aeronautica or Regia Marina, or those inflicted upon the VVS or the Red Banner Baltic Fleet.
Surely the Regia Aeronautica has racked up great figures against the VVS, I mean everyone else did. Slovakia managed to have a couple of 25+ kill aces against the Soviets and they weren't even aware of the concept of manned flight. Surely the Italians can do at least as well. Surely? Probably. Maybe. Perhaps.
I always respect an authAAR who can take potshots at himself, even if and in fact particularly if for the sake of traditional heaping upon the Italian generalship.
Don't we all?
I look forward to seeing next year's edition
This seemed harsh, so I turned to statistics.

In 2020 Wraith managed 11 updates
In 2021 Wraith managed 5 updated
Thus far this year it has been 1.
Extrapolating this trend Wraith will produce approximately 0.5 of an update in 2023, then 0.25 in 2024 and so on. It get's a bit Zeno's Paradox but theoretically Wraith will get closer and closer to having the next update ready but never post it. So on that basis you were in fact being generous.

Looking at in terms of gap since last update, going back we see this pattern;
The 1st January 2021 update was a mere 5 days after the last update in 2020. But then it was a 29 day gap, then 46, then 71, then 112 and most recently 258 days passed between chapters. Plotting that data, generating a best fit curve formula and then extrapolating forward I suggest it will be approximately 606 days until Wraith updates again should that pattern hold, so once again you were being generously optimistic.

I hope this vital statistical update has been of value to someone, not least anyone who was thinking of holding their breath till the next update which is looking to be incredibly ill advised.
 
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