I've seen the mamaluks win a couple times against the Ottomans. Rare but not super rare. Savoy Ireland is neat though! I've seen Helvetia take Spanish territory, normally just Franche Comte though. Kleves taking 3 or 4 provinces in the Low Countries did make me laugh but the revolts ended that fast. Those revolts are god awful, I think 37 or 39% revolt risk!