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Victoria 3 - Dev Diary #71 - Autonomous Investment in 1.2

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Hello and welcome to another Victoria 3 dev diary! Today’s diary marks the start of dev diaries about Patch 1.2, which is the next major upcoming patch for Victoria 3 (release date to be announced). As with 1.1, 1.2 will contain a slate of bug fixes, UX improvements, AI improvements and so on, but also some more significant changes to game mechanics, which we’re going to go over in these dev diaries.

The particular changes we’ll be talking about today, as alluded to by the title, is Autonomous Investment, which is something we said we were going to look into for our post-release plans back in Dev Diary #64. What we said back then is that while we are never going to take construction out of the hands of the player entirely, we were open to the idea of non-government entities constructing buildings in a way not directly controlled by the country, and what we came up with is a system where the Investment Pool will be used by private entities to construct different types of buildings depending on your economic laws.

Before going over how all this works, I first want to mention that we recognize that the community is somewhat split on the issue of autonomous construction, and as such, we’ve opted to create a new Game Rule for Autonomous Investment. By default, Autonomous Investment is enabled, which puts the Investment Pool out of the hands of the player, but you can choose to disable it, which puts the Investment Pool back in the player’s hands and makes it work exactly as it does in the current 1.1.2 version of the game.

The Investment Pool Game Rule allows you to enable or disable autonomous construction with Investment Pool funds, depending on your personal preference
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Regardless of whether Autonomous Investment is enabled, the Investment Pool works pretty much the same as it did before: Certain Pop Types with ownership shares in buildings pay part of their dividends into the Investment Pool, the funds in which can then be drawn on for construction. There are, however, a few key differences in 1.2 compared to 1.1.

Firstly, the types of Pops that invest have been expanded from just Aristocrats and Capitalists to also include Farmers and Shopkeepers. Capitalists invest the highest percentage of their dividends (20%), followed by Aristocrats at 10%, with Farmers and Shopkeepers investing only 5% each. The rationale here is that it wasn’t only the wealthiest in society who invested in new businesses, and this also allows a small degree of investment under laws which strip ownership away from the Capitalists and Aristocrats (but more on that next week).

Secondly, the proportion of dividends that are paid into the Investment Pool varies in 1.1 based on your laws, which can have some pretty bizarre effects, such as switching to Laissez-Faire suddenly creating a bunch of Capitalist Radicals because they are now investing more money and thus end with a drop in their Wealth. The proportion of funds that are invested is now a fixed percentage based on pop type, which is then subjected to an efficiency bonus: Capitalists always invest 20% of their dividends, for example, but under Laissez-Faire, this investment is more efficient and ends up contributing more money to the Investment Pool.

There is also a general investment efficiency bonus for payments into the Investment Pool in small and mid-sized economies, and a penalty in very large ones, to ensure the Investment Pool is also relevant for mid-sized countries while not growing to such absurd proportions that it cannot possibly be spent in a 10 billion GDP country. These efficiency bonuses are meant to abstract a system of foreign investment, which is something we’ve also mentioned is on our radar in Dev Diary #64 but is a bigger rework that we are not tackling yet in patch 1.2.

Agrarianism gives a hefty bonus to the investments of your Farmers and Aristocrats, but reduces investments from Capitalists and greatly limits the types of buildings they can put their money into.
DD71_3.png

So how then, does the Investment Pool funds get turned into buildings when Autonomous Investment is enabled? Well, autonomously, of course! With Autonomous Investment, the Construction Queue is split into Private and Government Constructions, with Government Constructions being anything (regardless of whether it’s a Government building or not) ordered to be built or auto-expanded by the player or country-level AI, while a Private Construction is anything the Pops themselves are building. The Construction capacity of the country will be split between the Private and Government queues in a proportion based on your economic law, though if there isn’t enough constructions queued of one type to use its full allocation, the excess can be used by the other queue instead.

In the construction screen, you’ll be able to see what the next planned Private Construction will be, along with its current funding level. The funding level is a calculated value based on both the total funds available in the Investment Pool as well as the weekly funds coming into it, and can fluctuate based on the Market price of Goods used in construction. Once a project is funded and ready, it’ll be added to the private Construction Queue the next tick. Private Constructions, unlike Government ones, cannot be reprioritized or canceled - they will always be built in the order they are queued up by the Pops.

Though the Government is currently building nothing in France, there are several private constructions in progress, and plans for the expansion of the Alsace-Lorraine iron mines. Note that this UI is highly WIP!
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Pop-ordered constructions use a variant of the standard construction AI which doesn’t take into account the country-level AI’s strategic objectives and prioritizes the creation of profitable buildings which will create lucrative jobs for the investing Pop types, but they will also take some more ‘strategic’ factors into account, such as building railroads in low-infrastructure states. Just as with the country-level AI, they also have access to the system of Spending Variables described in Dev Diary #59, which means that they do not operate on a snapshot of the current Market but understand factors such as the impact that already queued buildings (private and government-ordered both) will have on prices once completed and staffed.

Since Autonomous Investment does not only affect player countries, you might be wondering how well this system works together with the AI? The answer is that it actually works quite well! Together with a bunch of AI improvements and fixes in 1.2, this has resulted in more stable economic growth for AI countries and especially seems to have given Great Britain a boost, as the private sector doing its own thing means that the economy is usually growing even if the country’s treasury is having issues, at least as long as the Pops investing into private-sector growth are making healthy profits. There’s still some issues, particularly when AI runs out of available workforce late game, that we are hoping to tackle before 1.2 releases to further improve the AI’s economic growth.

Screenshot from a hands-off game taken in 1908. While there’s certainly still room for improvement and some countries like France and Prussia have underperformed due to wars and turmoil (and Austria continues to overperform compared to history), it’s definitely looking better than in 1.1.2.
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That’s it for today! Join us again next week as we go over more changes to the economy in 1.2, with a particular focus on Economic Laws and the introduction of Government Shares in buildings.
 
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agaabrieel

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I don't think this change is aimed solely at adressing the thematic dissonance between economic laws and actual gameplay: it introduces a new gameplay dynamic entirely, that being the conflict of economic interests between the 'landgeist, the eternal spirit of the nation' and groups of interest within said nation, which was a major part of the XIX century political history. I see this as an absolutely positive change.
 
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BrotherJonathan

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I really hope that's true. What gives you that impression?
It looks like they actually considered how to balance this properly instead of just adding an auto-build button or making it so laissez-faire can't manually construct buildings anymore and leaving it at that.
 
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It looks like they actually considered how to balance this properly instead of just adding an auto-build button or making it so laissez-faire can't manually construct buildings anymore and leaving it at that.
Fair point. I'm keeping my fingers crossed, but I can't shake the worry that it's simply a reaction to all the "I'm playing as the state and the state doesn't build everything under laissez-faire" thematic complaints.
 

WARenie

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Yep. Hoping this change is a step towards 1, 2, 4 & 5 - and not simply a response to the widespread complaints about the thematic dissonance which I assume is what's being alluded to in 3. My albeit anecdotal impression is that complaints about (3) have dominated discussion about this on the forums and yet would be the worst reason for this change.
So called "thematic dissonance" is simply encompassing all other points into a single one. It's been discussed in countless threads that
"I, the ineffable landgeist of my nation, tell my capitalists exactly what industries to invest in"
is inherently acting against points 1, 2, 4, 5. Response to this "thematic dissonance" or whatever you call it is a step toward all other points as well.
 
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So called "thematic dissonance" is simply encompassing all other points into a single one. It's been discussed in countless threads that

Nope. Complaints about thematic dissonance are distinct and separate complaints from wanting 1, 2, 4 & 5. You can see it in every thread about this. There's a large section for whom "I believe I'm playing as the state and the state shouldn't build the majority of buildings under a laissez-faire government" is their sole concern. That's why those threads always turn into arguments about whether the player is playing as the state or as a "spirit of the nation" - because the thematic dissonance is about who the player imagines themselves as in game.

I'm not disputing that there are people who want the change because they believe it will make mechanics and gameplay more interesting and challenging. But there's another group - in my reading of the forums, the larger group - for whom this is entirely or mainly about thematic dissonance.
 
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WARenie

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Nope. Complaints about thematic dissonance are distinct and separate complaints from wanting 1, 2, 4 & 5. You can see it in every thread about this. There's a large section for whom "I believe I'm playing as the state and the state shouldn't build the majority of buildings under a laissez-faire government" is their sole concern. That's why those threads always turn into arguments about whether the player is playing as the state or as a "spirit of the nation" - because the thematic dissonance is about who the player imagines themselves as in game.

I'm not disputing that there are people who want the change because they believe it will make mechanics and gameplay more interesting and challenging. But there's another group - in my reading of the forums, the larger group - for whom this is entirely or mainly about thematic dissonance.
They are not distinct and this separate larger group does not exist. If some person has a concern "I believe I'm playing at the state and the state shouldn't build the majority of buildings under a laissez-faire government," this person has his own reasons why he cares so much about it. This ad hoc "thematic dissonance" simply does not exist in isolation to these reasons.
 
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The auto building in Victoria 2 was beyond atrocious. Now you want to make it worse by allowing it to disrupt your actual building queue assuming your GDP is high enough you're gaining millions a week... Unless the actual purpose is to gimp players who use this rule to keep them in line with the AI I can't fathom why anyone would be excited. Queueing up hundreds of buildings is extremely easy and not time consuming if you use the shift key when you have a large economy.
 
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MatthewP

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Tbh, I'm pretty worried about this. Splitting one of the main core-loop actions of the game (building things) between the player and the AI feels like it's going to be pretty janky.

The dev diary doesn't really explain what the gameplay reason for the change is - which makes me more worried that it's a change brought on by pressure from some sections of the community rather than a change designed to improve gameplay.

Hopefully it's about reducing the time spent building stuff - creating space to be filled by other systems that are in development. Fingers crossed.
Yeah, I share the concern. It would be nice if the devs had said something like "We want the economic gameplay to shift from building an economy directly to reacting to and managing an organic economy; we think from testing that the experience of setting up conditions to indirectly push the AI into good choices is going to be an equally or more engaging gameplay loop without the scaling issues that plague the current one."

I also haven't seen anything to this effect. But I have my fingers crossed that they're thinking about it.
 
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Something that is worth noting here is that the AI for this only has to consider which buildings make sense to build for profit and supplying needed goods for the market, which it actually has pretty solid tools for doing. Many of the issues that result in poor AI economic performance is actually things like the AI razing their ports or ending up in too many civil wars. With that said, we are also making a general concerted effort to improve the AI across the board in 1.2, including building selections.
At least if it uses the same profit numbers you show players it seems to ignore throughput bonuses and assume that the current PM you are using is the one the new building will use (problematic when you have 0 buildings and are using the earliest set of PMs).
 
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@Wizzington Might it be possible to bias AI calculations on where to invest to expand the logic from capitalist/aristocratic industries to do some version of prioritising investments in incorporated states/national-culture homeland states/national-culture majority states/states which have cultures represented in the cultures of the investment pool to help create more disparity between primary and non-primary ethnic/cultural groups and stop colonies becoming as rich as the metropole?
There is a thread going on now about how to make a colony poorer than the metropole - https://forum.paradoxplaza.com/forum/threads/colonial-exploitation-is-it-exploitation.1566331/.

The biggest issue seems to be that the colony is tax free in the current game. That makes all pops in colonies much richer than pops in the metropole given similar jobs and income. Even discriminated pops with lower income still end up with higher SoL due to the tax advantage. I proposed taxing PoPs in colonies (even if most/all of it disappears rather than going to the government coffers).
 
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At the moment there is no private construction industries, it's something we're looking into but it's fairly tricky to implement (would likely require turning construction into an actual good and subjecting it to market forces, which is a *major* revamp with severe implications) and so isn't coming for 1.2 at least.

Yes in both cases, if there's unused capacity on one type the other gets to use it.
This needs to be a thing. Construction is an actual good!
 
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