As an aside, I like the little of what I've seen so far out of happycats, capage, and to a lesser extent wagon so far.
This vote irks me a bit - yes it's day 1, but I hate players admitting that they put no thought into their voting. Still would like to see aedan in thread, but consider yourself on my watch list.
Day 1 Wombat says he gets goodie vibes from Capage, Wagon, and me. One was the JL spokesperson, one was the sorcerer, and one was little old me. He also needles aedan for not being in the thread and voting yet.
Lief's deadline is weird b/c of time zones so I'd hold off on voting him for now, as he's actually pretty likely to show before deadline.
Not sure if the same is true of Caillean or Jackson.
Unvote aedan777
Vote Caillean
Aedan shows up and Wombat hops off of him and onto Caillean. He also makes a note of Jackson here.
Caillean showed, still hoping liefwarrior will. Jackson's been hit or miss.
Unvote Caillean
Vote Jacksonian Missionary
Caillean shows and he moves off of her onto the Jackson wagon.
I swore I quoted it but now I don't see it and I'm not going back. The other day 1 of note was that he was willing to suggest Grimlock and lief once Jackson went up way too easily. It's worth noting that on Day 1 Wombat was voted up and in the big tie with Dedonus, alxeu, and I all voting him. I would interpret a lot of his actions on Day 1 as self-protective and think that he really didn't mind which of the inactives ate it instead. However, if you want to interpret these interactions as potentially trying to save someone else as well, I'd be remiss to point out that the others in the tie when he started moving to other candidates were Sleepy, lief, and me. While he did throw lief's name out there, it's worth noting that he didn't vote for any of us.
@Sleepyhead Don't think it's a council. From the ruleset...
Mondstadt Wine Guild (Village Council Member):
members of Mondstadt Society focused around the appreciation and selling of Mondstadt's most famous product, wine. The Council will consist of several members- each member will know the names of the rest. The Council may have several finite miscellaneous powers it can use, maximum one per night. For it to work, an absolute majority of all those who voted must vote for the same target. If the council goes below two players, the unused powers are rendered null and void.
Also,
@Wagonlitz, Dedonus apparently got his shot off.
Dedonus the Darknight Hero and Member of the Mondstadt Wine Guild (Van Helsing and Member of the Village Council) was hunted.
EUROO7, the wealthy bartender Fatui Agent of the Fatui Pack (plotter alderman Werewolf) was slain by Dedonus.
I find this one interesting. He seems confused for a moment about the Mondstadt wine guild being a guild. Brain fart? Intentional misdirection? A sign that the Fatui pack doesn't have a player on the council?
Incredibly lazy votes (especially since I was the numbskull who suggested Grimlock (villager) and liefwarrior (unknown) as potential voteswitch targets in the first place).
Happycats and wagon are both reading likely villager to me. Randy tends to play much more sensibly as a villager than wolf, so...
Vote Randakar
Again he sticks his neck out to protect Wagon and me. Also puts a vote on randy here which slightly lowers his chance of being with the Fatui.
Congratulations!
Wagon seems like a silly choice for today. He is often a scapegoat lynch for ridiculous reasons, and today appears to be no exception. If anything, a goodie wagon is usually more active and more of a stickler for arcane rules, not less of one.
Not a fan of the Witch Agatha case either. We know Grimlock flipped villager, so at absolute worst the case against her seems to be that she tried to direct a lynch at deadline off a baddie to an unknown? If liefwarrior flips baddie, that makes WitchAgatha a much more likely goodie.
Randy has activated (with varying quality of analysis), so I'm unvoting him for now.
Unvote Randakar
Vote aedan777
One of the ringleaders of the wagonlitz voting.
He steps out and defends Wagon again. Also talks about the Agatha case. He then moves on to aedan for going against Wagon. This is the second time Wombat has voted aedan, both times without much threat. The first was a day one random vote which, as I noted on Day 1, was unlikely to gain steam. This was a vote with 24 minutes to deadline with a case of little note that many wouldn't follow.
Unvote aedan
Vote sleepyhead
And he swings on and joins the sleepy votes now. A solid point here, Sleepy was only at 2 votes before this vote, this pushed him up to three and into a tie with Agatha and 2 behind Wagon. In other words this is a fairly dangerous vote. I think this decreases the chance that Sleepy is a Fatui pack member by a decent margin.
Good stuff from happycats. My priority wolf/baddie pool is as follows:
Arky - has not contributed much, and the vote on wagon is just silly.
aedan777 - Put a bad vote on probable villager wagon day 2.
Cailllean - Really don't like the tie on wagon/Agatha day 2
the_hdk - has done nothing of substance all game.
Culann - More of a gut read, but he feels off this game. Lot of activity though.
liefwarrior - Relatively absent all game, contributions have not been particularly helpful either.
sleepyhead - You'd expect some explanation after a cloak, but he doesn't seem willing to provide one. Likely baddie, likely being taken care of.
Jacksonian Missionary - total cipher.
Capage is apparently double cleared. A lot of others feel villagery to me - happycats, wagon, MAW, randy, and alxeu. Double-cleared capage vouched for chefjones early - wonder if that still holds.
This is interesting. I would say that typically a wolf would put at least one of their mates in their baddie pool typically with a decent enough reason but not one anyone would follow up on. Nothing really jumps out at me in the moment though.
Lot of potential baddies to vote in the running. Tie goes to Caillean for a silly vote on wagonlitz. Would be fine with any of the top 6 choices aside from Wagonlitz.
Vote Caillean
I want to make the point here that at this point the_hdk was at three votes and we had five other people at 2. There was really no reason to go after Caillean if they were mates. My guess is this. The snipe he made at deadline was him plainly hoping to cause some chaos. I believe that Caillean is not in Wombat's pack. Instead, his hope is that we'll waste a day running up Caillean.
Another interesting tidbit I pulled from going through Wombat's post history is this: He defended Wagon. He defended Wagon HARD. I'm torn here. If they were in contact, it'd be very easy if Wagon flipped Sorc for him to point out that Wagon probably wasn't in contact with any other baddies and that he couldn't have known that Wagon was a baddie and he honestly read his play as good, which would make it safe for even a baddie in contact with Wagon to defend him as much as Wombat did. However, you typically don't defend someone else you know is bad that hard. I bring this up because of Wagon was in contact with other baddies, it opens his posts to a lot of additional analysis. If he wasn't, his posts are pretty worthless from an analysis standpoint as he knew nothing more than we did.