Adm. Yamamoto: Guam
Great job men, you have achieved everything that could be asked for. We have crippled a large enough part of the US pacific fleet that they will be unable to conduct naval landings against us. During the engagements we first sank 10, then 13 of the US troopships. This leaves the Americans on Saipan completely cut off and as our marines are preparing for the counter invasion they shall have no chance of retreat.
This is a mixed blessing, as the caged rat fights the hardest, but with victory 28,000 American soldiers will either be dead or in our custody. We need to prepare one of the smaller islands off the Japanese coast as a prison camp for POWs. American soldiers should be treated respectfully since we need to counter their home propaganda to gain their trust and confidence. Furthermore, captured prisoners who saw us with dignity on their return at the end of this war will know that it was their leaders who lied to them, and that we are not a future enemy to the peoples of America.
Not only have we isolated a large part of the American marine corps, we have sunk another 2 American battleships, the USS Tenassee and USS Maryland and the American carrier the USS Enterprise. With the USS Colorado, USS Nevada, USS Oklahoma and USS Pennsylania and USS Lexington, that brings us to 6 Battleships, and 2 Carriers Sank.
I would estimate that this is approximately 1/3rd of the operational USN.
Now that we've given the US a good beating, we should follow this up with a measured offensive campaign. Initially I called for us to make quick attacks, and I still call for this, although now that we have fought several good battles we have got our nose blooded as well, so we need to be careful not to get caught unawares.
For the moment, we shall concentrate on Saipan, to retake it and then deliver an ultimatum to the US that
Asia will defend her rightful territories to the last man, and last drop of blood.
With the Philippines liberated from American imperialism we shall need to show the populace that we mean business at improving their quality of life. I might suggest that we let local leaders still administer the islands and respect their lives, and only open up conscription to Filipinos via voluntarism, and not exploit the islands to the hilt [words only this].
Our Carrier Air Groups are suffering because we do not have an adiquate set of doctrine to follow, both Naval Air Control and Naval Air Command Doctrines need to be set up to give our squadron leaders and carrier support staff the necessary training to deal with combat situations, given we are now well experienced having had our baptism of fire this shouldn't be too difficult to put into place. Once the strategists have worked out how to cut communications lines on land better, and the battlefleet taskforce researchers are finished, these Naval Air doctrines should take precedence to keep our CAGs in the action. At the moment the heavy cruisers of the fleet are getting all the kills after the torpedo bombers have crippled them!
Out of the CAGs we do have only two wings could really be considered for limited operations, this means that for any immediate operations the carrier fleet shall be limited to a single CV. As the new CAG wing becomes operational I'd like to see it assigned to one of the CVLs. However given we have 9 CAG wings, but only 5 are shown do I presume that teh IJN Ryujo, Hosho and Zuiho have wings associated with them? Or does the IJN Kaga have some on it?
Either way the dispositions of our fleets are as follows;
In Repair/Refit:
Yamashiro BB 39%
Mogami CA 70%
Suzuya CA 76%
Ibuki BC 33%
Haruna BC 68%
Furutaka CA 40%
Kaga CV 72%
Takao CA
Kitikarama CL
Oii CL
Naka CL
Active:
Mutsu BB
Mikura CA
Tama CL
Kinu CL
Abukuma CL
Akagi CV - 2 CAGs?
Soryu CV - 1 CAG?
Kumano CL
Hirado CL
Aoba CA
Yamato BB
Nagato BB
Fuso BB
Ryujo CVL - CAGs lacking?
Hosho CVL - CAGs lacking?
Zuiho CVL - CAGs lacking?
Kiso CL
Maya CA
Zsuz CL
Yubari CL
Yura CL
Jintsu CL
4 Battleships, 1 Carrier (the IJN Soryu with 3rd and 6th Naval Air Wing), 3 Heavy Cruisers, 10 Light Cruisers, many assorted destroyers. With such a limited fleet it will be dangerous to put to sea when we return to Saipan to begin the counter attack. Pending a full accounting of the missing CAG wings, my suggestion for provisional fleet composition is as follows;
Battlefleet 1
Yamato BB
Mutsu BB
Mikura CA
Kumano CL
Hirado CL
Yubari CL
Kinu CL
Battlefleet 2
Nagato BB
Fuso BB
Maya CA
Zsuz CL
Yura CL
Jintsu CL
Kiso CL
Carrier Support Fleet
Soryu CV - 2 CAGs
Kumano CL
Tama CL
-3 Current Destroyers
I am not a huge fan of merging destroyers into the main battlefleets, since that might reduce overall combat effectivity, but at least we have a large enough pool of destroyers that if our light cruisers take any more battering we'll easily be able to draw up fleets with destroyer, rather than cruiser escort.
The subfleet didn't appear to be that effective, but ironically they did destroy a couple of destroyers, so their application in this event was worthwhile.
The Counter Invasion of Saipan:
It is of my opinion that without a full solid backbone in the fleet at the moment, a full out attack will be dangerous with our limited transport fleets guarded such as they are. The Americans would need to be engaged again to be sure that they can't sneak out and sink the invasion fleet before we can really think of beginning another round of battle. However we do have a minor advantage, it has almost been a month since the Americans invaded, and we have sent the vast bulk of their supplies and support equipment to the bottom of the pacific. On the downside, convoy ships can dock at Saipan to resupply them quite easily.
Therefore it may be prudent to use one our older Battlefleet with the IJN Fuso to sink incoming convoys into the island, while the Battlefleet with the IJN Yamato, and supporting carrier(s) engage the American fleet if it puts to sea from Saipan again. Eitherway, delaying a week or two to insure that our garrison can regroup on Tinian, and that our marines are properly prepped for combat would be prudent. It is unfortunate that even though a new CAG wing and new light bombs will be finished in the next few days it will take weeks to get them into active service, delaying that long might be dangerous, since we need to make the message clear to the Americans that we can attack, and keep attacking.
Attacking the port directly with airpower was shown to be deadly to our aircraft so this should be avoided if possible. If we could get some tactical bombers into Guam however we could definably do with their bombing runs as a screen to the Marines as they land, along with the shells of the fleet.
Thus my provisionary plan would be to regroup the fleets, and put them to sea once again to tempt the Americans out. Out of their docked fleet it looks like they only have the following vessels operationally ready; 1BB, 1CV, 5DD 8CA, 5CL, but they have quite a few more damaged. Of particular worry is those 8 heavy cruisers as they aren't particularly damaged, but they rival us in numbers. Plus there is still a carrier, the USS Saratoga at port.
Hence we need to cycle our damaged ground based aircraft back from Guam, and simply replaced them with others from China, since the fuel stocks and armaments are already on Guam this rebasing should just be an exchange of aircraft really. We need to fly air superiority such that our CAGs can concentrate on naval attacks, and that our battleships are not attacked from the air either.
The Guangxi Plan:
Li Zongren makes his case fairly clear, he is clearly stating he doesn't believe that we can administrate China effectively if he wants 'bits of china back'. I would rather give him Sichuan, Yunnan and Guizhou;
Because these have been the hotseats of rebellion for the Chinese Warlords, Guangdong was hardly part of that anyhow and it was only fought for in 1921. Still, it might be prudent to placate him, we shall loose some factories but overall with Germany stalling in Europe they are hardly a power on the ascendant any more and it is better to have allies closer to home anyhow.
We need to make it clear to Zongren that his ambitions for Ha Noi in Viet Nam will need to wait, but we shall give him complete assistance in such a campaign.
Might I suggest that once China is pacified, we give over a couple of Homogun to Zongren as expeditionary forces (force him to take them) and then let him takeover the conquest of Viet Nam wholesale if he wants it. While we'll let him take Viet Nam, we should make it clear that for the duration of the war and the next 15 years the port at Ho Chi Minh city (Saigon) should be under Japanese administration as a naval base, since Guangxi doesn't have a suitable navy, and a port in the region would be fairly important to having an ongoing deterrent policy in the South China seas.
There is good reason for letting him take this conquest. A) It is a show of support for the Asian Co-prosperity Sphere from him. B) The rest of the world will see that it is movement greater than just Japanese Imperialism, C) It makes the Viet-Gungxi Clique much more powerful, and having a solid ally in the region at the end of our supply lines is worth having. D) The entire area is an ethic hotchpotch that is just bound to fall into Civil war. I'd rather Zongren have that on his plate, rather than us having problems there and in China;
Incidentally what does Thailand think of us? Diplomatically is there anyway we could subtly threaten them into joining the alliance? It's unlikely us being at war with America will allow that, still if we make the offer of friendship as part of a grand scheme for Asia now, they will look upon us favourably after China, and once the US gets tired of fighting us.