Off-topic:
Will she ever grace this sausagefest with her presence again?
Not any time soon, I think. Having two children is time consuming, and time we do not have in abundance.
Now, let's see ..
Day 1.
VOTE RICE
me bedrunk an be puke.
That pushes reis into a tie for the lead right from the word "go".
Votes self: Check.
3rd voter: Check.
Insinuates that he absolutely cannot be trusted: Check.
Good enough.
Vote Suirantes.
That pushes suirantes into the lead, past reis, leading to the next count:
Count with 7 hours to go:
3 - Suirantes: suirantes, randakar, najs
2 - madtemplar: tamius, enkhuush
2 - esemesas: randap, snoopdogg
2 - reis: cakravarti, drxav
1 - tornadoli: yakman
1 - tamius: esemesas
1 - snoopdogg: reis
1 - najs: boris
NOT VOTED: madtemplar, tornadoli, split
unvote Suirantes
vote Tornadoli.
Ties are very bad.
Funny. And also logical, given that that gives the village 5 people to choose from, only one of which is suirantes himself.
However ..
Unvote tamius
Vote Suirantes
Do we really want to kill madtemplar, instead of the tie maker?
.. it doesn't quite work out as intended.
(I'll skip the rest of these shenanigans. While it does give useful information, I want to focus on just reis91 right now)
So far, I'd say drxav and cakravarti are not terribly likely wolves. Early votes aren't usually cast on packmates. Why should you, if you have so many other choices?
Day 2:
What a great day for analysis... except that you can't all be wolves, so the to-kill list is way large. I'll start with snoopdogg, who failed to gain any traction, and because he is snoopdogg.
vote snoopdogg (placeholder)
Early in the day. I follow him, followed by:
Thanks for support packmates.
Vote snoopdogg
What does he mean with that? Hmm.
More importantly, would a packmate follow reis blindly onto someone, knowing that run up would look suspicious?
(wait .. that enkhuush is dead. Right. Silly subs.)
And it doesn't go unnoticed:
Vote enkhuush
I do not demand that you avoid piling on someone but when we have three people in a row casting their vote on the same player I get suspicious. Reis can be forgiven for being first, randy wanted to go for snoop yesterday but enkhuush... Just no.
However .. that is the wrong target.
So we have a snoop wagon and a counter-wagon...
To be honest, I doubt either of them are wolves. In my opinion, reis is a good candidate - random day one vote on snoop and then a placeholder on him again today.
Vote reis
.. but that is.
I'll add esemesas to the 'unlikely wolves' list based on this. Why point out a packmate when the village is quite happily busy running up villagers on it's own?
Case in point:
Count with 2 hours and 10 minutes to go:
5 - ENKHUUSH: najs, cakravarti, suirantes, snoopdogg, drxav
3 - SNOOPDOGG: reis, randakar, enkhuush
1 - NAJS: yakman
1 - REIS: esemesas
1 - SUIRANTES: tamius
VERY VERY CLOSE TO ROYALLY PISSING ME OFF: boris, rendap
That leads me to say:
As usual, the village is flailing wildly on days when there is zero info on the wolves. Not much to be done about that, really. And I really don't have enough information one way or another to just shift my vote away. Reis gets strung up early enough as-is.
You will not do this to me! I don't want your delicately-concealed pity... just kill me and be done with it.
(anyone else getting wolf vibes from randy in this game, btw?)
My apologies.
In fact - this is also a potential explanation for the odd hunt. Reis killing himself out of sheer frustration
Note how reis tries to make me look suspect. Nice try, reis.
Unlikely wolves so far: drxav, cakravarti, esemesas
Day 3:
Starts with an almost out-of-control bandwagon on snoop, including reis voting him (again).
Why are we voting Snoop again?
Because I would have to hit myself if I allowed Snoopwolf to keep playing with the village like this on his way to a win. It would be too much to bear...
Of course he wouldn't like nothing more than see the village waste another day attempting to kill snoopdogg, I reckon.
Then the counterwagon starts, with this vote:
If snoopdogg is a wolf, that is.
Let's, for the humor of it, consider other candidates, shall we?
Vote reis91
For example.
.. or maybe
Unvote reis91
Vote Najs
Basing myself on the theory that yakman was hunted right after voting Najs.
I'll forgive that temporary brain failure, but in space, it may cost lives and jeopardize the mission...
Oh, really?
Unvote najs
Vote reis91
Please explain
Think of all the games where the village has lynched reis and therefore sealed their gruesome destiny, executed by the wolves? Of course, it can happen that you are not a villager, and thus it would be in your interest to get the village to lynch reis.
Think of all the times I've refrained from voting you, including a time or two where it really didn't make sense to do so? When I start voting you, it tends to be because you actually start to look like a decent suspect
Anyway, that doesn't quite start a counter move on reis - this does:
VOTE RICE.
One cannot be wrong with voting Rice.
This is totally not an attempt at saving our packmate snoopdogg by runing a Rice counter-wagon.
I agree, wolves cannot be wrong with voting Rice.
unvote snoopdogg
vote drxav
Add a notch to the "drxav isn't a terribly likely wolf" bar.
Unless they're doing it on purpose
Of course it isn't.
Unvote reis91
Vote drxav
So yeah, I was a bit lacking in the sanity department yesterday.
Meh.
Unvote snoopdogg. Vote Rice.
Noone should ever turn down the possibility of killing Rice.
Oh, fine. Hold on to your panties already.
Unvote esemesas
Vote reis
But that's just because that makes it a tie, mind.
Now we get to the actually interesting bit:
VOTE Snoop
Of Snoop and Reis, I think that Snoop is the more likely wolf at the moment. Whether it is correct or not, we'll know in an hour.
Vote Rendap
3rd party switch, anyone?
Hmm.
Either rendap is a wolf, or boris is a wolf. But not both.
Trying to save a packmate Admiral?
Quite.
This is followed by an abortive attempt to lynch Rendap, instead, of course
3 - SNOOPDOGG: tamius, suirantes, najs, Rendap
2 - REIS: drxav, randakar
2 - RENDAP : Boris, snoopdogg
1 - DRXAV: reis
1 - RANDAKAR: esemesas
But finally, snoops' doom is sealed:
I think it's time to weed out the crazy.
Unvote randakar
Vote snoopdogg
Unlikely wolves so far: drxav, cakravarti, esemesas
rendap OR boris
I would suggest eliminating the chaff today though, starting with Tamius and splitsnoop.
