Why 2 out of 32? It's definitely 1 / (2^5) = 1/32. Let's do it the "stupid way" by writing out all possibilities:Originally Posted by Paul Drye
Code:1 FFFFF 2 FFFFS 3 FFFSF 4 FFFSS 5 FFSFF 6 FFSFS 7 FFSSF 8 FFSSS 9 FSFFF 10 FSFFS 11 FSFSF 12 FSFSS 13 FSSFF 14 FSSFS 15 FSSSF 16 FSSSS 17 SFFFF 18 SFFFS 19 SFFSF 20 SFFSS 21 SFSFF 22 SFSFS 23 SFSSF 24 SFSSS 25 SSFFF 26 SSFFS 27 SSFSF 28 SSFSS 29 SSSFF 30 SSSFS 31 SSSSF 32 SSSSS
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This would be odds for all children having same gender. (There is slight difference.)
Edit, wait, he is right, I am being stupid here.
Last edited by Baneslave; 18-03-2012 at 18:01.
Um, yes, that's exactly what I mean. There's thirty-two permutations. Permutation one has five daughters. Permutation two has five sons. Two permutations out of thirty-two have the kids all the same. 2/32 = 1/16.
'Into the belly of a dead camel shall he go, be sewn up like a cat's liver in a pudding, and cast into the Nile before God gives tomorrow a sun." -- Donovan Pasha by Gilbert Parker
But no ones talking about having all kids the same, just having 5 daughters. So 1/32
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No-one's talking about having five daughters -- the OP question was "what are the odds of flipping tails five times in a row", which I answered. If it were "What are the odds of the first five flips of a coin being tails", it's 1 in 32, which is what the others are mistakenly answering. If it's just "five times in a row", you get the first one for free, so to speak, since the run starts with a tail by definition and has a 100% chance, not 50% like people often assume.
'Into the belly of a dead camel shall he go, be sewn up like a cat's liver in a pudding, and cast into the Nile before God gives tomorrow a sun." -- Donovan Pasha by Gilbert Parker
3.125%
Back to screenshots sounds like the best thing to do.
Yeah, uhm...where can sue for custody?
Yeah, good point. You gotta flip a daughter first for the chance of a second probability of the same.
If you flipped a boy first then it would be the same (doh) but is the question different if we say "same gender" starting with 0 children?
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Turns out King Arthur wasn't just a legend. He doesn't look how I'd except though...
What makes this more hilarious is before him there was a pope Hilarius I
Yeah, he looks like a barrel of laughs. No doubt he'll be succeeded by a few guys named Simplicius with a DIP rating of 5 so your bishops pay you lots of gold.
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Please help me with this. I am playing as Duke of Holland and occupied half of Ireland, Wales and some east europian counties.
Duke is Dutch and his wife is Bohemian. Why the hell is the heir irish? Please can somebody explain this?
You let your heir be educated by an Irishman/women. There's a chance that your child will adopt the culture of the educator.
nooooI was so careless. Never thought about that...
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Never seen this before.
He only owns a small bishopric in Blois.
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Not as strange as some other screens on here, but I definitely enjoyed this particular Duke-turned-King.
I would like to know how he managed to 'Misplace' the food of his army. Must have been a feat to pull off.
Like create the Kingdom of Portugal. Only a madman would do such a thing!
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A couple of possibilities: first, archbishops do get the in this case "Desires the Kingdom of France" malus with their liege. Second, the son of a king does get a claim on the kingdom, though I don't usually see landed clerics pressing their claims. Maybe if things get really bad, and France in your game looks pretty messed up.Never seen this before.
He only owns a small bishopric in Blois.
Works in Progress for CK2:
The Matter of Britain, an Arthurian overhaul for Crusader Kings II.
Expansion #1: Lord of the Manor - Manage Your Demesne ("The Republic" DLC required)
Expansion #2: Courts and Titles - Knighthood, Chivalry, and All That (A "Legacy of Rome" add-on)
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