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Thread: The Obligatory CK2 Strange Screenshot Thread

  1. #561
    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Drye View Post
    Nope, one in sixteen. Getting five sons in a row would be "flipping tails five times in a row" too, so 2 in 32 i.e., 1 in 16.
    Why 2 out of 32? It's definitely 1 / (2^5) = 1/32. Let's do it the "stupid way" by writing out all possibilities:

    Code:
    1  FFFFF
    2  FFFFS
    3  FFFSF
    4  FFFSS
    5  FFSFF
    6  FFSFS
    7  FFSSF
    8  FFSSS
    9  FSFFF
    10 FSFFS
    11 FSFSF
    12 FSFSS
    13 FSSFF
    14 FSSFS
    15 FSSSF
    16 FSSSS
    17 SFFFF
    18 SFFFS
    19 SFFSF
    20 SFFSS
    21 SFSFF
    22 SFSFS
    23 SFSSF
    24 SFSSS
    25 SSFFF
    26 SSFFS
    27 SSFSF
    28 SSFSS
    29 SSSFF
    30 SSSFS
    31 SSSSF
    32 SSSSS
    1 Officer
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    Ideology: Socialist
    Issues: Secularism/Full Citizenship
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    Consciousness: 9 (+0)

  2. #562
    Star Swirl the Bearded Baneslave's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Drye View Post
    Nope, one in sixteen. Getting five sons in a row would be "flipping tails five times in a row" too, so 2 in 32 i.e., 1 in 16.
    This would be odds for all children having same gender. (There is slight difference.)

    Edit, wait, he is right, I am being stupid here.
    Last edited by Baneslave; 18-03-2012 at 18:01.

  3. #563
    Major Paul Drye's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Minchandre View Post
    Why 2 out of 32? It's definitely 1 / (2^5) = 1/32. Let's do it the "stupid way" by writing out all possibilities:
    Um, yes, that's exactly what I mean. There's thirty-two permutations. Permutation one has five daughters. Permutation two has five sons. Two permutations out of thirty-two have the kids all the same. 2/32 = 1/16.
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  4. #564
    Benevolent Imperialist flame7926's Avatar
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    But no ones talking about having all kids the same, just having 5 daughters. So 1/32
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  5. #565
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    Quote Originally Posted by flame7926 View Post
    But no ones talking about having all kids the same, just having 5 daughters. So 1/32
    No-one's talking about having five daughters -- the OP question was "what are the odds of flipping tails five times in a row", which I answered. If it were "What are the odds of the first five flips of a coin being tails", it's 1 in 32, which is what the others are mistakenly answering. If it's just "five times in a row", you get the first one for free, so to speak, since the run starts with a tail by definition and has a 100% chance, not 50% like people often assume.
    'Into the belly of a dead camel shall he go, be sewn up like a cat's liver in a pudding, and cast into the Nile before God gives tomorrow a sun." -- Donovan Pasha by Gilbert Parker

  6. #566

  7. #567
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    Back to screenshots sounds like the best thing to do.

  8. #568
    Yeah, uhm...where can sue for custody?


    Click image for larger version

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ID:	50512

  9. #569
    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Drye View Post
    No-one's talking about having five daughters -- the OP question was "what are the odds of flipping tails five times in a row", which I answered. If it were "What are the odds of the first five flips of a coin being tails", it's 1 in 32, which is what the others are mistakenly answering. If it's just "five times in a row", you get the first one for free, so to speak, since the run starts with a tail by definition and has a 100% chance, not 50% like people often assume.
    Yeah, good point. You gotta flip a daughter first for the chance of a second probability of the same.
    If you flipped a boy first then it would be the same (doh) but is the question different if we say "same gender" starting with 0 children?

  10. #570
    Turns out King Arthur wasn't just a legend. He doesn't look how I'd except though...

  11. #571
    Second Lieutenant JackTheRipper21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by xnao View Post
    What makes this more hilarious is before him there was a pope Hilarius I

  12. #572
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    Quote Originally Posted by JackTheRipper21 View Post
    What makes this more hilarious is before him there was a pope Hilarius I
    Yeah, he looks like a barrel of laughs. No doubt he'll be succeeded by a few guys named Simplicius with a DIP rating of 5 so your bishops pay you lots of gold.

  13. #573
    There are FOUR LIGHTS! AllThat4Nothing's Avatar
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  14. #574
    Please help me with this. I am playing as Duke of Holland and occupied half of Ireland, Wales and some east europian counties.
    Duke is Dutch and his wife is Bohemian. Why the hell is the heir irish? Please can somebody explain this?

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  15. #575
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    Quote Originally Posted by wuwu View Post
    Please help me with this. I am playing as Duke of Holland and occupied half of Ireland, Wales and some east europian counties.
    Duke is Dutch and his wife is Bohemian. Why the hell is the heir irish? Please can somebody explain this?

    Attachment 50525
    You let your heir be educated by an Irishman/women. There's a chance that your child will adopt the culture of the educator.

  16. #576
    noooo I was so careless. Never thought about that...

  17. #577
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  18. #578
    Lt. General xcrissxcrossx's Avatar
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    Never seen this before.


    He only owns a small bishopric in Blois.

  19. #579
    Not as strange as some other screens on here, but I definitely enjoyed this particular Duke-turned-King.



    I would like to know how he managed to 'Misplace' the food of his army. Must have been a feat to pull off.



    Like create the Kingdom of Portugal. Only a madman would do such a thing!



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  20. #580
    Modding Paladin RedRooster81's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by xcrissxcrossx View Post
    Never seen this before.


    He only owns a small bishopric in Blois.
    A couple of possibilities: first, archbishops do get the in this case "Desires the Kingdom of France" malus with their liege. Second, the son of a king does get a claim on the kingdom, though I don't usually see landed clerics pressing their claims. Maybe if things get really bad, and France in your game looks pretty messed up.

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