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BSG Season 14 - The Human Rebirth

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30 shots with 6 galactica damage tokens in the game and only two tokens remaining on pegasus .. this may get nasty.
With that number of shots I'd expect 3-4 hits on average ..

Glasszon may want to preload where the damage goes. :p
 
randakar said:
30 shots with 6 galactica damage tokens in the game and only two tokens remaining on pegasus .. this may get nasty.
With that number of shots I'd expect 3-4 hits on average ..

Glasszon may want to preload where the damage goes. :p
Click to expand...

Slightly over 50% chance of at least 4 hits, and 74% chance of 3+. Of course, there was something like an 86% chance of one hit last time...
 
The thing with randomness though is that it could easily go the other way.

Throwing 30d8 into http://www.wizards.com/dnd/dice/dice.htm gets me:
2,7,1,6,1,4,6,1,8,7,4,8,1,7,1,1,1,6,5,8,8,8,6,4,7,6,7,8,4,6

on the first try for instance ..
(That's 6 hits, for those who can't bother to count that :p)

edit:
Further rolls -

Roll(30d8)+0:
3,3,1,8,6,1,3,5,8,2,6,4,1,1,5,8,6,8,7,4,1,3,3,4,6,7,3,8,5,7,+0
Total:137

Roll(30d8)+0:
3,8,5,2,8,8,6,6,1,6,1,4,2,5,1,3,5,7,3,1,8,4,3,3,4,6,2,7,8,7,+0
Total:137

Roll(30d8)+0:
4,3,3,7,1,1,4,8,7,1,7,4,8,8,6,4,8,4,5,2,5,6,7,1,3,6,1,1,7,6,+0
Total:138

Roll(30d8)+0:
1,1,4,1,4,7,1,6,5,2,2,2,1,1,1,8,8,7,8,7,8,5,4,8,6,4,6,3,4,1,+0
Total:126
 
randakar said:
The thing with randomness though is that it could easily go the other way.

Throwing 30d8 into http://www.wizards.com/dnd/dice/dice.htm gets me:
2,7,1,6,1,4,6,1,8,7,4,8,1,7,1,1,1,6,5,8,8,8,6,4,7,6,7,8,4,6

on the first try for instance ..
(That's 6 hits, for those who can't bother to count that :p)
Click to expand...

And that's why it's called "random" :D

The main problem is we have to take it in two blocks of 15. 2 or 3 hits in the first round is good, but do we try blowing Galactica up or finish off Pegasus first? Will we also get 2-3 hits in the second block or 0?
 
Capt. Kiwi said:
The main problem is we have to take it in two blocks of 15. 2 or 3 hits in the first round is good, but do we try blowing Galactica up or finish off Pegasus first? Will we also get 2-3 hits in the second block or 0?
Click to expand...

In the actual boardgame you'd probably be allowed to roll the dice one at a time and choose a token pile at every hit.
In a forum game the turnaround time on that would be prohibitive though.
And with 30 shots I'd be tempted to just break out the giant bag of d&d dice and just roll the entire thing openly on the table..

Frankly though, in your case I'd just go for galactica all the way. There are three humans holed up in there. Putting all of those in sickbay and taking out FTL simultaneously would already be worth it just for that.
(I shouldn't give advice but .. I'm sure you would have thought of this already :p)
 
randakar said:
In the actual boardgame you'd probably be allowed to roll the dice one at a time and choose a token pile at every hit.
Though with 30 shots I'd be tempted to just break out the giant bag of d&d dice and just roll the entire thing openly on the table..
In a forum game the turnaround time on that would be prohibitive though.

Frankly though, in your case I'd just go for galactica all the way. There are three humans holed up in there. Putting all of those in sickbay and taking out FTL simultaneously would already be worth it just for that.
(I shouldn't give advice but .. I'm sure you would have thought of this already :p)
Click to expand...

No comment. But I really like your dice, can we use them? ;)
 
Preload all damage to Galactica
If Galactica blow up :)rofl:), just send the remaining damage to Pegasus to see how much overkill we have.

Just the fact that it can hit FTL and might send Jopi to sickbay is worth it.

EDIT: If the skill check fails, please also send that damage to Galactica as well
 
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draw 2 LEA please

And yes, this will hurt. Although there should be a brig damage counter just to spite you... ;)
 
Capt. Kiwi said:
No comment. But I really like your dice, can we use them? ;)
Click to expand...

Well ...

Roll(30d8)+0:
7,4,2,4,5,3,2,6,8,2,8,8,3,5,4,4,7,4,8,8,1,5,8,4,6,3,7,8,4,6,+0
Total:154

Roll(30d8)+0:
4,3,8,6,1,5,5,3,6,5,5,3,6,1,2,8,1,8,7,8,4,4,1,5,8,5,4,4,3,2,+0
Total:135

Roll(30d8)+0:
1,5,4,7,3,2,6,5,2,7,1,6,1,1,1,8,4,1,2,3,2,5,8,5,4,4,5,7,2,2,+0
Total:114

Roll(30d8)+0:
4,3,1,6,5,1,1,2,7,4,5,8,8,2,7,6,6,6,5,7,6,4,4,4,6,5,6,8,8,5,+0
Total:150

So yeah. It definitely feels like 'just' 2 hits is rather unlikely. And a game-ending 6 hit killer streak is definitely not impossible.


glasszon said:
Preload all damage to Galactica
If Galactica blow up :)rofl:), just send the remaining damage to Pegasus to see how much overkill we have.

Just the fact that it can hit FTL and might send Jopi to sickbay is worth it.

EDIT: If the skill check fails, please also send that damage to Galactica as well
Click to expand...

.. and you have a lot of cards, don't you?
Right. I sincerely hope for team human they have a calculations card somewhere to cancel out at least one hit..
 
randakar said:
Right. I sincerely hope for team human they have a calculations card somewhere to cancel out at least one hit..
Click to expand...

I can't draw outside my skill set with support of the people, can I?

If yes, I'd go with 2 ENG instead.
 
randakar said:
Well ...

Roll(30d8)+0:
7,4,2,4,5,3,2,6,8,2,8,8,3,5,4,4,7,4,8,8,1,5,8,4,6,3,7,8,4,6,+0
Total:154

Roll(30d8)+0:
4,3,8,6,1,5,5,3,6,5,5,3,6,1,2,8,1,8,7,8,4,4,1,5,8,5,4,4,3,2,+0
Total:135

Roll(30d8)+0:
1,5,4,7,3,2,6,5,2,7,1,6,1,1,1,8,4,1,2,3,2,5,8,5,4,4,5,7,2,2,+0
Total:114

Roll(30d8)+0:
4,3,1,6,5,1,1,2,7,4,5,8,8,2,7,6,6,6,5,7,6,4,4,4,6,5,6,8,8,5,+0
Total:150

So yeah. It definitely feels like 'just' 2 hits is rather unlikely. And a game-ending 6 hit killer streak is definitely not impossible.




.. and you have a lot of cards, don't you?
Right. I sincerely hope for team human they have a calculations card somewhere to cancel out at least one hit..
Click to expand...

We only need 5 hits from raiders, since you're likely to fail the check. Less if we don't hit the non-damage tokens.
 
Capt. Kiwi said:
We only need 5 hits from raiders, since you're likely to fail the check. Less if we don't hit the non-damage tokens.
Click to expand...

I know that, but if you get less than 6 hits you'd still need a little bit of chance to be on your side. With 6, it's game over no matter what. (Well, excepting calculations plays .. )
 
randakar said:
I know that, but if you get less than 6 hits you'd still need a little bit of chance to be on your side. With 6, it's game over no matter what. (Well, excepting calculations plays .. )
Click to expand...

I will remind people with Calculations that you do need to preload their play if you are thinking about having them used.
 
glasszon said:
Btw, there is 15 raiders out there, EL renamed one of those raiders after it refuses to miss.
Click to expand...

A little side note here, give it was the last raider to activate, I decided to roll to see how many EM the humans need to get it to miss. 14 rerolls later and I knew that there was no way that it was not blowing up a viper that turn, as there is not that many EM in the whole game! A scary large number of those was also 8s as well.
 
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