The Reign of Shogun Ishida Hidetsugu (1761 - 1835)
Election:
Hidetaka's sudden death caused something of a constitutional crisis. Hidetaka's only son was practically a newborn at 11 months old, and Hidetaka had made no provision or will, let alone laid out a regency council like Hideyoshi had done. An emergency session of the Kizokuin was convened in order to determine who would rule Japan in young Hidetsugu's place for the next 15 years until he came of age.
In the spirit of the late Taiko's
Go Tairo, a regency council of five daimyo was to be appointed: one from Kyushu and Shikoku, two from Honshu and one from Hokkaido. To ensure legitimacy and prevent any jealous daimyo from getting ideas above their station, the regents would be elected by their peers, the Kizokuin.
The five electorates for the regency election.
The Kizokuin - like perhaps all similar legislatures - had started out as a body of independents who over time developed factions and groups with one another based on a shared political ideal or philosophy, the precursors to today's modern political parties. In the late 18th century, Japan's Kizokuin had three such factions.
The first and largest (and therefore most powerful) faction was also as old as the Kizokuin itself. The late Shogun Ishida Mitsunari knew that to ensure stability he would need a large body of supporters in the Kizokuin in order to keep the other daimyo in line. This faction grew over time, and developed delusions of grandeur and more than a touch of hubris, based on the perception that they were the Shogun's vanguard, a pillar of a shogunate which would collapse without them to hold it up. They called themselves (modestly enough) the Ishida Shogunate, and could be counted on to provide Hidetsugu with loyal support in the years to come. Their leader in the Kizokuin was typically the reigning Shogun himself, the current "acting" leader was Mouri Takakage.
To the left of the "Shogunites" were an ultra loyalist group of devout Catholics and free traders, known to the Kizokuin as the Pro-Rangaku[1] daimyo. The Rangaku faction was founded by Otomo Yoshinobu as a sort of Shogunite "ginger group" for the promotion of Catholicism, free trade and foreign trade and the "Westernisation" of Japan. The Pro-Rangaku were always a small faction in numbers terms, yet were able to successfully assert an influence disproportionate to their size, an example being their endorsement of pro-western Ishida Mitsushige for Shogun. Unlike the Shogunites who were blindly loyal to the Shogun and Shogunate, the Pro-Rangaku were loyal to the ideals of certain Shoguns (namely Mitsunari and Shigeru), believing these to be the "true essence" of the Ishida Shogunate. They remain fiercely loyal to the Shogunate and will "take the Shogunite whip" at times, but will not hesitate to turn on a "backwards-thinking" or isolationist Shogun. Their leader was typically the Otomo clan head, currently Otomo Yoshihiro.
On the opposite end of the Japanese political spectrum were the dreaded Pro-Imperial daimyo. Enough has been said about them and their reactionary policies in the past, suffice to say they like the Emperor and hate the Shogunate and most would probably want poor young Hidetsugu to be deposed. A minority, led by the "secret traitor" Uesugi Harunori[2], felt that the young Shogun could be "manipulated" into supporting a "pro-Imperial agenda" as Shigenori was.
Kizokuin Daimyo and their respective faction allegiances, circa 1761. The map remained constant for most of Hidetsugu's reign, such were the dyed-in-the-wool ways of Japan's aristocrats back in the 18th and early 19th centuries.
The regency election commenced the day after Hidetsugu's 1st birthday, 26 days after Hidetaka's death. Daimyo were only allowed to vote for one candidate, and only within their own region. The Results for the 1761 regency election were as follows:
Kyushu Electorate: (13 constituencies)
Lord Otomo Yoshihiro of Hizen (Pro-Rangaku) 11/13 Votes
Lord Shimazu Shigehide of Satsuma (Pro-Rangaku) 2/13 Votes
Chugoku Electorate: (16 constituencies)
Lord Mouri Takakage of Aki (Ishida Shogunate) 11/16 Votes
Lord Ukita Nagaie of Bizen (Ishida Shogunate) 4/16 Votes
Lord Chosokabe Nobuchika of Tosa (Pro-Rangaku) 1/16 Votes
Central Honshu Electorate: (20 constituencies)
Lord Maeda Toshiro of Kaga (Ishida Shogunate) 11/20 Votes
Lord Otani Yoshiyuki of Owari (Ishida Shogunate) 9/20 Votes
Kanto and East Honshu Electorate (17 constituencies)
Lord Uesugi Harunori of Echigo (Pro-Imperial) 7/17 Votes
Lord Konishi Yukio of Edo (Pro-Rangaku) 6/17 Votes
Lord Sanada Masamura of Shinano (Ishida Shogunate) 4/17 Votes
Hokkaido and North Honshu Electorate: (5 constituencies)
Lord Date Murakata of Mutsu (Pro-Imperial) 4/5 Votes
Lord Matsumae Takara of Ezochi (Pro-Rangaku) 1/5 Votes
The results were mostly a foregone conclusion with the exception of Kanto and East Honshu. Lord Konishi Yukio was popular, intelligent and well respected, and although his principal opponent Uesugi Harunori was also, his "reactionary ideological leanings'' were considered a liability, swinging the vote in Yukio's favour. In a most petty and foolish act, Sanada Masamura -who had no chance of winning - announced his candidacy for the regency. Masamura and his two vassals successfully split the anti-Uesugi vote, allowing Harunori to sneak in and take the regency by a margin of only one vote. Worryingly, this gave the Pro-Imperial Daimyo two regents on the council.
Reaction:
Ruling the country was only half of a regents job, more importantly they were to act as a mentor to the soon-to-be Shogun and to help shape his education. Harunori and Mitsukata took this part of the job very seriously, taking young Hidetsugu out hunting and fishing in order to earn his trust. As one might expect, the Pro-Rangaku daimyo were none too pleased by Harunori and Murakata's overtures, and Yoshihiro tried his best to wean the young Hidetsugu away from them and their backward views. Yoshihiro wanted to bring up Hidetsugu a good Catholic, and arranged for him to have a strict religious education. This did nothing to endear young Hidetsugu to Catholicism or Yoshihiro, quite the opposite in fact.
Hidetsugu grew to resent Yoshihiro's meddling, and gravitated more and more towards his "uncle" Harunori and his "unfortunate" political leanings. A close bond grew between the two men which lasted throughout Harunori's life, Hidetsugu's first act as Shogun was to appoint Harunori as his chief advisor. Hidetsugu never fully adopted Harunori's political views, let alone those of the Pro-Imperial Daimyo, yet Harunori made enough of an impression on him to keep him politically conservative and a follower of the Buddhist religion, he would be the last Shogun to do so.
Portrait of Uesugi Harunori (1721 - 1802), by far the most influential person in Japan during Hidetsugu's reign apart from the Shogun himself.
Revolution:
If there is any lesson to be learned from the 18th century, it is that absolute monarchies should never support republican revolutions in other lands, lest those dangerous ideologies seep into their own lands. Unfortunately for the Bourbon Kings of France and Spain, they had to learn this the hard way.
Britain - and England before it - had been a thorn in the side of the Spanish for centuries, and the French for several centuries before that. As they say, "Britain's difficulty is France's opportunity", and the American revolution was a chance to drive the British out of North America for good, a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity indeed.
Hidetsugu wasn't particularly interested in the American revolution, and Japan remained thoroughly neutral and uninterested throughout the whole affair. Japan had no financial interests in the region at all. The geographic distance between Japan and the Thirteen Colonies alone made trade thoroughly impractical, these being the days before the Panama Canal.
The French and Spanish supported the Americans wholeheartedly, sending troops and ships in support. It wasn't long before these troops became exposed to republican ideals and started to get ideas above their station about how they could start a revolution in their own countries. France was the first in 1789, followed quickly by Spain in 1791. These two revolutions would alter the political landscape of the world forever.
Much has been said about Napoleon and the French Revolution elsewhere that needs not repeating here, however the lesser known Spanish revolution is perhaps worth further discussion. Unlike their northern brothers, the Spanish revolutionaries were fanatics, true believers in radical republicanism with a missionary's zeal to boot. The
Directorio wanted to spread the republican message to as many countries as possible, starting with it's own colonies.
Admirers of the American revolution, the Directorio felt that the new world could be a shining example of their ideals, "one, two, many republics across America!" was their warcry. The Directorio envisioned a South and Central America consisting of several independent republics, each specifically designed to balance each other out, after all a series of wars between republics wouldn't be a good advertisement for Spanish republicanism would it? The Conference of Sevilla (1792) laid about a bold vision for redrawing the map of Spanish Latin America by the end of the century, as shown below.
Latin America during the 1800's. The viceroyalty formally known as New Spain was the first to be granted independence (in 1793), taking on the name of the Republic of Mexico. Next came the United Provinces of Central America (known as the USCA in English) six months later, which was meant to serve as a buffer state between Mexico and the Republic of Gran Colombia (a federation comprising the modern republics of Colombia, Venezuela and Ecuador) which was granted its independence along with the Republic of Peru in 1795. The Viceroyalty of the Río de la Plata was deemed to powerful to be granted independence, so it was split up into three separate republics: The Republic of Central South America (today's Bolivia), The United Provinces of Argentina and the Republic of Paraguay, a small buffer state designed to stop the UPA or the RCSA from invading one another through the flatlands (the Argentinian-RCSA border was purposely drawn on mountainous terrain). These three states, plus the Republic of Chile to Argentina's west, were granted independence in 1797. Cuba, Puerto Rico and Spanish Colonies outside of South America were offered independence but turned it down, they were too dependent on Spain economically and militarily to survive as independent states at this point in time.
Republican Spain wasn't content to spread republicanism in just it's own lands though, just as with the Spanish inquisition some centuries earlier, their Iberian brothers had to "benefit" from Spain's "innovations" too. By now Napoleon had been crowned Emperor and was wreaking havoc in Western Europe while Britain - the main disincentive to declaring war on Portugal due to the alliance between the two countries - was busy trying to contain France in The Netherlands. The time was ripe for a Spanish invasion of Portugal.
back in japan Shogun Hidetsugu was outraged; first the French had invaded Japan's friend and trading partner the Dutch, and now their allies had invaded his other friend and trading partner! His lack of interest in foreign affairs, coupled with a desire to avoid antagonising Japan's new trading partners in the New World had kept japan neutral in the Napoleonic Wars so far, but this was considered too much for Japan to tolerate. A punitive expedition was launched, comprising of 36'000 of Japan's most elite troops and led by the Shogun's own son, Ishida Hideki. The target was The Spanish Philippines, and seeking to emulate the victory their forefathers had won over Spain a century ago, the men and their commanders were confident of victory.
It was not to be. Japan's armed forces were relatively unchanged since the days of Mitsunari and Ieyasu, armed with yari spears and yumi bows, katanas and kunitomo arquebuses, all the while dressed to the nines in traditional samurai armour which wouldn't have looked out of place in the Heian period. The Spanish on the other hand, had muskets and modern artillery, grapeshot and all. In scenes reminiscent of the Great War, Japanese troops foolhardily charged the Spanish artillery positions only to be mowed down by grapeshot, their armour made them easy targets and offered no protection against musket balls. On the first day, a mere 4'000 Spaniards managed to inflict 12'000 Japanese casualties, a third of their total expedition force. Amongst the casualties was Ishida Hideki, who as a true samurai general would, led from the front. When word reached home the Shogun was more than distraught, he was in a state of mental anguish. He and his countrymen had expected a quick and easy victory and instead were treated to a catastrophic defeat, Japan had been shaken out of it's complacency forever, the time for reform was at hand.
Offers of peace were made to Spain and France almost immediately, fortunately neither had any desire to prolong the war with Japan so they were accepted. Japan may have been defeated, but France's Emperor - who was said to be an admirer of Japan and it's warrior spirit - offered some words of consolation:
"When Japan moves, it will move the whole world"
Napoleon would ultimately fail in his quest for European domination, Waterloo sealing his fate, and his Spanish allies too would fail in their dreams for peace in South America. Within a generation of Sevilla, Peru would go to war with the UCSA, Gran Columbia would split in three over which side to support* and Uruguay would with their independence from Argentina, with more than a little help from Chile and Paraguay. Republicanism in Europe ultimately failed too; Napoleon crowned himself emperor while a Bourbon was placed back on the thrones of France and Spain after the war. Napoleon may have been wrong in thinking he could defeat the Russians, Prussians, Austrians and the British, but little did he know he would be right about Japan.
Reform:
The death of his son Hideki changed Hidetsugu's personality dramatically, he began to suffer severe bouts of depression and loneliness at the expense of his work. Hidetsugu delegated more and more of his work to his ministers and bureaucrats while he took to women and drink. The upside of this was that Hidetsugu soon had a new heir, Ishida Hidetoshi, who was born in 1820. The downside, for the reactionaries at least, was that most of the ministers and bureaucrats were non-isolationist, if not outright Pro-Rangaku supporters. Hidetsugu wasn't big on parenting so it was these men (pro-Rangaku Kizokuin leader Otomo Takeshi first and foremost amongst them) to whom Hidetoshi would regard as his chief mentor and ally, much as his father had done with Uesugi Harunori. Hidetoshi was a bright and intelligent young boy, with a keen interest in all things foreign. Takeshi fueled these interests, arranging to have him raised as a Catholic and taught foreign languages, namely English, Portuguese and Dutch. Such was Hidetoshi's intelligence he became fluent in all three, plus French and Spanish which he pursued on his own initiative. Hidetoshi became fascinated with the campaigns of Napoleon Bonaparte, and studied his tactics intensely. He became such an expert in fact, that he was invited to instruct prospective officers in Napoleonic tactics at the Military Academy in Osaka, at the tender age of thirteen.
Japan's military reformation had been moving at a snail's pace; it took a generation for muskets to become standard issue, a move which the reactionaries fought every step of the way. The navy fared little better, it received it's first modern man o' war, the Dutch-built Kanko Maru, as late as 1831[3]. As Hidetsugu became more and more isolated from his own court (on account of his psychological problems), the power of the Pro-Imperial daimyo waned and that of Hidetoshi and the reformers waxed. By the last years of his father's life, Hidetoshi acted as a
de facto regent, making important policy decisions on his fathers behalf, most aimed at making Japan more and more "western" (or "contemporary" as Hidetoshi put it), much to the chagrin of the reactionaries. Unlike his predecessors, Hidetoshi wasn't content with just military or economic reform, he wanted to change the very fabric of Japanese society, and with his father dying in late 1835 he now had a mandate to do just that, to tear Japanese society by it's foundations and usher in a new age of glory and progress...
...But to do so would not be easy, Japan would have to enter 1836 through a gate of fire...
Notes:
* Venezuela sided with the UCSA mostly due to Bolivar's intervention. The state would be renamed Bolivia in his honour a year after his death.
[1] Rangaku literally means Dutch learning, or Dutch Knowledge, etc. As the Dutch were the only western nation allowed to trade with the Japanese in our timeline, Japan associated western advantages with the Dutch and so the term became a byword for technological advances from the west. In this timeline, The Netherlands is still Japan's best trading partner, so one would assume most foreign advances were Dutch (such as Shigeru's financial reforms).
[2] In real life Uesugu Harunori was born in 1751, which would make him 10 years old at this time. For the purposes of this AAR I've had him born about 30 years earlier than historically, making him about 41 at the start of Hidetsugu's reign.
[3] The real Kanko Maru was a steam powered Dutch warship Japan purchased in 1855.