My understanding is that this is now known, officially, as the T-50.
Even taking into account Russian PR nonsence I think its fair to say that main gate R&D will reach full funding by 2018 for the PAK-DA. I think there is a fair chance that small numbers of early production variants could well be in service. TU-160 is on such a low rate production and has a number of problems that I would be surprised if production continued beyond 2018, I would expect the funding to be diverted to the PAK-DA.
The IL-78 is being retired in 2025 and being replaced from 2018, with Full production of the replacement aircraft beginning in 2020.
The risk level on this program is minimal so the probability of it hitting even a late delivery, as I have suggested above, are very high.
It won't be the U variant in 2030. There is a confirmed upgrade program that is due to start in the next 2-3 years and there will almost certainly another one by 2030.
Also expect about half of them to have been retired and replaced with the confirmed AAEW program. This program is expected to receive main gate R&D funding in the next 48 months.








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