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Can the Administration please comment on the estimated cost / time for two simulatneous runs of rocket test sites?
*Base cost is 20 IC and base build-time is 180 days (3600 ICdays). The completion of the construction of the current rocket test site will give us ~6 practical, so we should be able to construct new rocket test sties for a bit less than the base ICdays value.

Would this affect ship based AA as well?
*Proximity Fuse affects ship-based AA.

If we could do that, how much of an advantage would that give us against our enemies? May be the administration can tell us a bit about this? With all those US aircraft we encountered, we should have a good intelligence about their capabilities and recent devenlopments.
We have not encountered any jet aircraft, so the Americans are still using aircraft with piston engines, although we know that the Americans are more advanced in rocketry than we are. As far as the capabilities of the American aircraft are concerned, we believe that their aircraft are comparable with ours, although their CAGs seem to be more potent.
 
Cybvep said:
However, the fortress is harder to capture than we thought and the local commander believes that it is futile to attack it now. All previous attempts to take it failed.
And all further attempts will fail as long as the Republic of China still stands, tying most of our forces in China. It took three consequent attacks on Hong Kong to capture it and the city was guarded by a single division of troops.

Cybvep said:
The Administration feels that there is no need to inform any of the Generals individually about such actions, as they are covered in reports.
Last report didn't cover anything regarding North China, Communists or Forts. Latest strategic maps aren't even covering situation in North China, nor pointing out any activity there. Furthermore the Administration don't state clearly when it mentions the Communists and the Republicans (the Chinese is not clear enough as all factions are Chinese factions), which only adds to the misinformation. I can't give recommendations when I have no idea what's happening otherwise I'd point out the futility of attacking the Mao's regime as I did when General Surt and Admirals were willing to storm Communist's strongholds. Lucky the operation was aborted due to overall situation in China, otherwise our manpower loses would be enormous for little to no gains.
 
The latest report didn't describe the situation in North China in detail because nothing happened there. However, previous reports covered this front (this report, for example or an earlier one - here) and General Tojo indeed believed that General Surt and Admiral Yamamoto were right.

Both the communists and the nationalists are the Chinese and we also encounter troops of other warlords. Fortunately, there is no longer an alliance between the communists and the nationalists.

However, the Administration does not want to confuse the Generals, so the next report will be clearer in that regard. If you have any questions in regard to the latest report, the Administration should be able to answer them.
 
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Memorandum to Adm Yamamoto:

*Base cost is 20 IC and base build-time is 180 days (3600 ICdays). The completion of the construction of the current rocket test site will give us ~6 practical, so we should be able to construct new rocket test sties for a bit less than the base ICdays value.

Bearing this in mind, I do support ordering two or more Rocket test sites once the current run is finished.
 
OOC: I would like to have it does not equal I will have it. It's a sad but true lesson we all have to learn one day.
 
Adm. Yamamoto: Kuching

I do support ordering two or more Rocket test sites once the current run is finished.

I believe speaking to the construction teams working alongside the research teams, once the first complex is up and running, the cost of the 2a and 2b will be reduced to about 17.50IC or so each for, for a total bill of 35IC or so taking 160days, although their costs may differ to the final bill footed to the administration. (Additional complexes thereafter may be in the region of 15IC for 135days. I do not advocate this latter investment at this time)

It is my position if we are to follow this production strategy, that this be the full scope of the rocket programs. To develop next generation ordinance, and we scrap programs aimed at jet technologies. While it is possible that we can develop such technologies in good time, in the medium term it would mean little new military equipment entering service until then.

My major concern is the high cost of this strategy when at half measures our research teams only predict the following weapon systems will be of general use to us;

1. Infantry Rocket Launchers – Increases AT fire power
2. Rocket Interceptors – High Speed, small range aircraft somewhat useful for direct defence, but otherwise not strategically significant. Gives us access to high speed interception techniques.
3. Radar Guided Bombs – Increases air-to-sea attack greatly on CAG and NAV wings.
4. Radar Guided Missiles – Increases air-to-ground attack greatly on H-ftr wings.

The big question is can 5,500ICdays be better spent elsewhere in this time?

Considering that a Light Cruiser today costs us about 2,700ICd the investment spent here could buy us two extra cruisers. This is the scale of the investment we are considering. Indeed overall from this perspective one could argue there are definite returns within this coming year, and one might argue that small bonuses across the general armed forces may be worth more in the long run, than a couple of new ships. Still its a fairly tough call.

Jet Aircraft and Current Allied Airpower:

It would be ones estimate from the recent battle reports we are outnumbered in air operations, and this is the main detriment along with not having the most up-to-date naval air doctrine which affects our organisation. Otherwise our CAGs are technically likely to be at the same level of parity as the Allies.

The trouble is that being outnumbered is a great issue in naval engagements beyond technical strength since more aircraft, mean more attempts at sinking our ships, and any small difference in technical ability doesn't strongly influence this basic mechanic of war. This is why we must strive to bring in land based airpower where we can to not let ourselves get greatly outnumbered in the air. We should aim to keep the ratio 2:3 at the very worst otherwise we aren't providing effective air cover for our SAGs.

Jet aircraft cost much in fuel, but their greater speed makes them perfect for getting out above the action from land bases, and their high speed also allows them to disengage from unfavourable combat more readily.

While single engined interceptors are currently better for supporting naval actions, due to their better air-to-air combat role. Heavy jet fighter 'destroyers' would be more effective for us if we were in a position to develop a next generation doctrine, because they have larger range and fly faster, even if in air-to-air combat they would actually be worse then our most modern propeller aircraft interceptors. However if we were in a position to develop 'jet destroyers' then we could also develop radar guided air-to-air missiles that would definitely tip the balance in our favour strongly.

Strategically they would seriously outmatch allied aircraft with a full technical program. However we would have to remain at the cutting edge of technology and research these specific technologies. We must also recognise that if allied R&D programs are at a similar level to our own then this difference will not be hugely marked. Still keeping up with next generation aircraft will insure that our air-force will not get outmatched by the Allies and we will be fighting with equal or somewhat better aircraft to the Allies for as far as we can foresee this war to go.

My final comment will be that jet engines I have been told are more fuel efficient meaning that in the distant future we could design bombers with the range to strike the US West Coast from our bases in Hawaii or similar. With such range, targets like Los Angeles, San Francisco and the Panama Canal Locks would be within strategic range of us and would give a bargaining point to us. Admittedly such attacks would be one way flights from bases in Hawaii, but a 15 tonne payload would certainly cripple any strategic targets here.


Shipbuilding:

Destroyer flotilla do cost us more than cruisers ~2,800ICd to ~2,700ICd and our techs and doctrine are somewhat better with respect to cruisers. This is why I do not advocate investment in destroyers. Cruisers may take longer to build, but our practicals are ever improving from the echelon build strategy forwards a while back.

I am strongly concerned that we won't have the naval assets in the future to deal with the Allies navies if we follow the low priority plan. Remember that we shall only be putting about 8 new hulls in the water in the next couple of years. Therefore this represents about the same number of losses we are allowed to keep parity. This means that we need to sink about 40 Allied vessels between now and then if we take such losses to keep within economical-attrition boundaries, and that assumes that the Allies keep a fairly low priority build program too.

The medium priority builds would lower the number to more like 20 Allied vessels between now and early '45. This is more achivable.


Summery:
With your acceptance high command, including the army generals. The navy has generally accepted to fund rocket research complexes 2a and 2b. Appropriating ~50% of the soon to be freed up budget. Since the rocketry program. Benefits both branches of the imperial armed forces. Then that leaves the remainder of the budget to be split into two blocks of 19IC each.

This just about allows us to squeeze in medium build priority plan A* assuming that we cut back on radar or aviation builds. Thus allowing to keep 5 radar sites under continued production, at the expense of another CAG wing.

The Army has its block of 19IC left that the navy suggests is spent on infrastructure, a mechanised unit/brigades, infantry or air unit. This admiral doesn't like the idea of building medium armour. He would much prefer the army use mechanised units since the only armour we shall ever see is on the border of Manchuria, and armoured tanks will perform poorly in rough terrain. Our mechanised doctrine favours motor and mechanised units in rough terrain.




*Note: Given the timings, this puts us in a place to consider the '44 phase once the Strategic Rocket and Aerospace Administration (SRAA) complex has been set up wherever it is on Shikoku Island.

If the full air plan was to go ahead at this time it would cost 45IC or about 7 cruisers off the list that would not be completed for '45.

We need to make a ruling here, there is little point developing a '43 light cruiser pattern, unless we are going to follow the medium priority build. It is my suggestion that we do develop this pattern and enact the build.

Note: If the administration needs a exact list as clarification just enquire.


Research:
Given our production strategy research needs to be focused to support it. Generally we need to keep up our retraining in naval doctrine since it is only about half done, plus there is the question of updating our air wing, just because we didn't redesign for gound attack roles, doesn't mean lessons have not been learnt to generally upgrade our aircraft wings. This is of some limited priority in order to stay cutting edge

This Adm. would like the Army to comment on a unified mechanisation program that can fit both the industrial budget and our current technological strengths before we place any armour in the production or research budgets. The navy has come to understand what it will be able to acheive in the forseeable future, and the army needs to do so too so we don't waste limited resources.

Technically we are now in our 'Great War';


Air Research:
- Scrapped CAG Ground Attack Roll '40
- In Research Central Air Command Structure '38
- Completed Small Air Search Radar '40
- In Research Maritime Attack Ordinance
- Completed Interception Tactics
- In Research Fighter Pilot Training
- Scrapped CAG Naval Attack Roll
- CAG Pilot Training '40
- Small Air Search Radar '41
- Fighter Ground Crew Training '42

- Aero Engine '43
- Single Engine Aircraft Armament '43
- Small Fuel Tank '43
- Light Bomb '43
- Single Engine Airframe '43


Naval Research:
- In research Naval Air Control Doctrine '42
- In research Naval Air Command Structure '40--->modern
- Completed Capital Ship AA Armament
- In research Carrier Taskforce Doctrine '41 (??)
- Completed Fire Control System Training '41
- Completed Radar Training '41

- In research Night Fighting Training '42 (Navy ships)
- In research ASW Tactics 39'
- Completed Commander Decision Making '41
- Carrier Escort Role '37
- Cruiser Crew Training '43
- Capital Crew Training '43
- Carrier Crew Training '43
- Battleship Taskforce Doctrine '43
- Crusier Escort Doctrine '43
- Fire Control System Training '43
- Comander Decision Making '43
- Capital Ship Crew Training '43


Industrial & Technological:
-In research Coal Processing Technology '43
-Completed Radar
-Completed Steel Production

-In Research Base Operations 39'
-In Research Coal to Oil '40
-In Research Mechanical Computing machine '43
-In Research Rocket Science! '33 ---> Modern (might as well until complexes are done)
-In Research Combat Radios '42

Army:
-Completed Artillery Carriage and Sights
-In Research Assault Weapons '42
-In Research Mountain Warfare Equipment '37 ---> Modern (again if got 'em, make 'em good)
-In Research Artillery Training '42
-Officer Training '42
-Armoured Car Gun '42

* Bold = new

Tactical Considerations:
-Will follow-

(Not too dissimilar from Adm. Baltersars plans; we shall seek a Singapore Blockade, but with a little more caution)
 
Jet Aircraft and Current Allied Airpower:
It would be ones estimate from the recent battle reports we are outnumbered in air operations, and this is the main detriment along with not having the most up-to-date naval air doctrine which affects our organisation. Otherwise our CAGs are technically likely to be at the same level of parity as the Allies.

The trouble is that being outnumbered is a great issue in naval engagements beyond technical strength since more aircraft, mean more attempts at sinking our ships, and any small difference in technical ability doesn't strongly influence this basic mechanic of war. This is why we must strive to bring in land based airpower where we can to not let ourselves get greatly outnumbered in the air. We should aim to keep the ratio 2:3 at the very worst otherwise we aren't providing effective air cover for our SAGs.

Jet aircraft cost much in fuel, but their greater speed makes them perfect for getting out above the action from land bases, and their high speed also allows them to disengage from unfavourable combat more readily.

While single engined interceptors are currently better for supporting naval actions, due to their better air-to-air combat role. Heavy jet fighter 'destroyers' would be more effective for us if we were in a position to develop a next generation doctrine, because they have larger range and fly faster, even if in air-to-air combat they would actually be worse then our most modern propeller aircraft interceptors. However if we were in a position to develop 'jet destroyers' then we could also develop radar guided air-to-air missiles that would definitely tip the balance in our favour strongly.

Strategically they would seriously outmatch allied aircraft with a full technical program. However we would have to remain at the cutting edge of technology and research these specific technologies. We must also recognise that if allied R&D programs are at a similar level to our own then this difference will not be hugely marked. Still keeping up with next generation aircraft will insure that our air-force will not get outmatched by the Allies and we will be fighting with equal or somewhat better aircraft to the Allies for as far as we can foresee this war to go.

My final comment will be that jet engines I have been told are more fuel efficient meaning that in the distant future we could design bombers with the range to strike the US West Coast from our bases in Hawaii or similar. With such range, targets like Los Angeles, San Francisco and the Panama Canal Locks would be within strategic range of us and would give a bargaining point to us. Admittedly such attacks would be one way flights from bases in Hawaii, but a 15 tonne payload would certainly cripple any strategic targets here.
The Administration strongly disagrees with this analysis. Firstly, it should be pointed our that overstacking aircraft is not the most efficient of using them and huge air battles are usually much less decisive than one might think because of coordination problems. Secondly, it has been emphasised several times that we lag behind in rocketry and other experimental technologies, including jet engines. According to our spies, the USA were conducting jet engine tests and civilian nuclear research in April 1942, as can be seen in one of the older reports (screenshot here). We do not know what are the results (if there are any) of these projects, but since they are not listed in the latest report of the intelligence (here), it is possible that the Americans are preparing to enter more advanced stages in the development of these experimental projects. Naturally, they might have changed their priorities, but the Administration believes that we cannot take that chance.

*BTW the new deadline is Thursday, i.e. 21st of June.
 
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To Admiral Yamamoto,
Any reason why you haven't included Small Navigation Radar in our research? This would help our planes locate ships while on patrol.
Also why haven't you added Night Mission Training? It's +15-30% on night combat for our planes, especially for our H-Ftr its +30%, for CAG's +20%. (Sadly the lack of naval air research has been part of our problems so its good they get a special attention).
Any reason why small warship ASW is not researched?

Due to worries about our manpower we should start a single research of first aid when Combat medicines is finished.
Our AC (and therefore our Mechs) would also need an upgraded armour, while the truck engine should not be needed.
Decryption and encryption is also important.
We will also need Tank Crew training as we got around 35 brigades that will benefit.

Doctrines - I'm afraid we took a wrong choice here if we don't produce any real Armour
Manoeuvre focus doctrine is important as they increase our attack once we have some Mechs in addition to our 4 mots and 5 Marines.
Sadly Kampfgruppen and Breakthrough Exploit are only useful with Arm and or Mechs.

I don't think we can afford to build 2 rockets site in parallel, we will have to more more slowly. But as we at least agree on needing level 3 we should start it serial to level 3. But I think we need Jet fighters around the end of '44 if we want to be able to oppose the enemy units. We wont build any rocket intercepters though, they are simply too expensive at an estimated 30 IC each ...
 
Memo to Adm Yamamoto

This admiral disagrees with your proposed research plan details, see my own suggestion for that.

This admiral also disagrees with your assumption about jet engines. With the limited forces we can muster in face of the enemy, these forces must be superior to the enemy in order to stop them. Thus we have to have the ability to interfere with enemy operations any place and any time. Jet engines would seem to be the obvious choice as they would enable our pilots to outrun their opponents if neccessary and engage them too fast for them to react. Moreover, they could rebase a lot faster thanks to the higher travel speed. If that means we have two light cruisers less, I'm ready to do without them. We'll be greatly outnumbered anyway, two light cruisers won't change a thing here.

This in turn means that I do strongly suggest to get those Rocket Test Sites up and running ASAP. The army will greatly profit from any research done in this field as well, giving them more and better tools to deal with any enemy, so I expect them to share the burden of construction here. The navy doesn't intend to take much of the soon-to-be-available IC anyways, so in reality it's not too much of a burden for them.
 
Memorandum regarding the continuation of the war

While Admiral Yamamoto seems to prefer to a very defensive posture, Admiral Baltasar seems to prefer an only slightly more offensive posture, General Holy favours that we don't make an major attacks and the administration with General Tojo seems to see more problems than opportunities we need to discuss the grand strategy. This doesn't just include some small research plan that Yamamoto seems to favour but a greater look at our situation.

Is it the other members of the Imperial General Headquarters opinion that we have gone from rough superiority to rough inferiority in just 6 months and that we therefore should look more to a defence strategy? Do we have no plan to defeat any of our enemies? If that is so we better start building a huge bunker in Tokyo.

Let me just take out my crystal ball and prophetize the future if we do nothing.
First half of '43
Spain gets overrun by 40 UK and 40 US divisions breaking into France
The allies will not respect any claims of neutrality from the German puppet in Vichy(?) and will go to war with them too thereby widening the front.
North Africa is overrun by allied troops attacking from both east and west.
The Soviets will press on against the weak Rumanian units and threaten Ploiesti while barely holding the Germans away from any real gains in the north.
The US will invade at least one Island that we currently control, most likely one that is reachable from the north namely the Aleutians which can be invaded from Dutch Harbour or Anchorage. If we try to stop them we will run into most of their fleet and most likely suffer a devastating defeat. If we don't stop them we will have to take the island back or the next invasion might be in Sapparo! if we then move against them with a counter invasion we will again encounter most of their fleet but this time we will have a slightly better chance as they come in dripples, fastest and most dangerous first. Lets say we avoid this too and let them keep the island as the Admirals doesn't seem to favour a major confrontation.
Singapore and NEI falls to Japan. (this is the not too pessimistic version)
China-Japan trade blows.

Second half of '43
The Spanish Gambit pays off big time for the allies as they advance to Paris driving the axis troops in front of them, 50 UK and 100 US divisions will face 50 German and 50 Italian divisions temporarily holding them at the Loire and the Alps.
Some of the Italian and French islands in the Mediterranean are invaded.
The German front in Russia becomes more thin as troops are withdrawn to the west allowing the Soviets to advance in the middle and south.
Romania folds toward the end of the year opening a bleeding wound in the south.
The US liberates 4-5 more islands against no opposition.
UK/Aus starts invading islands left and right.
Italy and Germany runs out of fuel.
China-Japan trade blows.

First half of '44
Not much progress for the western allies as they slowly advance through France. UK has around 60 division and the US around 150 in Europe.
The Soviets cuts off AG North in Courland/Leningrad pocket with an attack at the middle of the front, eliminating another 50 division over time.
In the Balkans all opposition is pushed back or defeated only a small holdout in Greece might be held.
The Soviet line will go from Croatia to Budapest, Slovakia, central Poland to end outside Danzig and will contain around 250 divisions in addition to the 100 along their Asian borders.
Germany runs our of rares, but it doesn't matter as they have no manpower left and most of what little fuel they got until now is lost with Romania.
Allies invaded mainland Italy.
Philippines, Borneo or NEI is invaded and liberated, several other islands fall.
China-Japan trade blows.

Second half of '44
Italy collapses toward the start of the year due to allied armies invading the mainland.
Germany now only controls what can now be defended by a interceptor placed in Kassel.
The Allied and Soviet armies pressure the Germans who spectacularly collapses toward the end of the year with the Soviets taking the bigger share of Europe.
All of our island possessions are now under siege.
An invasion in Sapparo and/or Susaki is the beginning of the end, the fleet makes a final sortie and gets ripped to pieces by a fleet double our size.
China pushes Japan marginally back as more troops are transferred to the homeland.

*** note an allied - soviet war here would save us even in this scenario ***

First half of '45
Superior allied armour units freed up by the collapse of Germany smashes our troops in any plains province, most of the main Japanese homeland still holds out.
An Soviet army group arrives in Siberia bringing the number of divisions facing us up to over 100 as they can't supply more, a DOW follows shortly, Sakhalin is overrun.
The battle hardened Soviet armour routes the weak border guards of our puppet and our 2nd line untried troops stationed there.

Second half of '45
The Soviets overrun all of north China enabling the Chinese to liberate the south.
Soviet marines land in the middle west of the main land.
Fighting with sticks and bows as, no resources are left, the admiralty is finally defeated as the last Japanese holdout in the ruins of Tokyo.

...

I would like to as what we want to do to avoid this vision to become reality, mind you saving Germany will be extremely difficult as the Spanish front will doom them if the Soviets don't do it before. And the only way to help them will be to defeat the allied fleets, leap frog to Suez to supply them with raw materials and attack the Soviets while the fleet protects Italy and if you think that is possible right now you have drunk too much sake.

So what I propose for the navy is to try to defeat in detail the enemy fleets by attacking easy targets, much as Baltasar but I would go more aggressive at it, a ship that isn't in repair hasn't been fighting enough.
First problem is to locate the enemy, our subs finds them once and then sink, as they don't have good enough sonar detection so we run out of those soon.
Our radars haven't been much help up to now, I'm a disappointed by their performance.
A 3rd option is air recon which is the method we should use, station 3 H-Ftr in Truck, Kuching (once we got the whole island) and Wake and let them patrol at maximum range, at some point they will make contact with an enemy fleet and if it is weak our main fleets will all jump it.

Now Admiral Yamamoto thinks they will just build another better fleet if we succeed, I don't disagree but they will do so anyhow, once the US has 150 divisions there is no reason to build more as they can't use them anywhere. So at some point after Paris is liberated both the US and UK will change to shipbuilding, they wont even need to build more planes as they can't station all they already got anywhere near us.

For China I propose we try to push them back while building the infrastructure close to the front.
At the moment the only place we have supply problems is furthest from Shanghai in the mountains of south China even though we are close to a lot of good harbours we will find it more and more difficult to get supplies to these troops if they advance, but not impossible. The supply is drawn along the front toward Shanghai only helped by the new supplies transported in through Hongkong and Zhanjiang.
But if we don't advance we can't see where we need to improve our supply lines so it will be 3 steps forward and one back while we build the next piece of the net. Then at some point we might succeed, but if we don't try we can't succeed and by trying we can't really lose anything, and yes I know a lot of our troops will die but more will die if we don't soon stop this conflict.

Alternatively we can garrison everything and start building a lot of AAA, coastal and land forts!!! And hope the allies don't invent a weapon that will make all others pale.
 
So what I propose for the navy is to try to defeat in detail the enemy fleets by attacking easy targets, much as Baltasar but I would go more aggressive at it, a ship that isn't in repair hasn't been fighting enough.
If we were to realize this, we would need a dramatic increase of strong garrison and landing forces to cover an advance by the fleet. We do not have that force available unless China has been pacified.

For China I propose we try to push them back while building the infrastructure close to the front.
I seem to recall that I've argued for this approach over and over already.

Anyway, I miss a detailed plan by the army herself. Army research, army construction suggestions, army war plan for China and / or other theatres...
 
Open Letter Regarding Comments Made.

To Admiral Yamamoto,
Any reason why you haven't included Small Navigation Radar ... Night Mission Training? ... small warship ASW ?

Sadly Kampfgruppen and Breakthrough Exploit are only useful with Arm and or Mechs.

I don't think we can afford to build 2 rockets site in parallel, ... we at least agree on needing level 3 we should start it serial to level 3. But I think we need Jet fighters around the end of '44 if we want to be able to oppose the enemy units.


The research budget is not limitless. I weight up what research teams will have completed their projects in the next period (13), then assign what I believe will be the most needed, soonest. Simpler projects should always get priority so they are completed faster to maximise the competitive time with respect to any relative advantage gained. More complicated projects should be left till later to maximise the competitive time advantage. This is the basic principle of optimising research priorities ¬.¬ Those are still in my priority list, but we won't have enough projects completed soon to add them this quarter (See below).

Does not the German 'Kamfpgruppen' doctrine improve tank destroyers nominally? Since we have not large numbers of armour it is unlikely any further armour doctrines will aid us before this war is over. Hence there is little priority in armoured doctrine, but in infantry doctrine there is still a medium-low priority here. I do not make comment here other than the statement.


Strategic Rocket and Aerospace Administration
We have to build sites 2a and 2b now, otherwise there is no point in any further investment, we won't even get to next generation ordinance within a reasonable space of time! As can be predicted from the construction teams, for all complexes to be built in series it would take until next year 1944 to have the required technical teams on site. Then it may take 3-4 months at the least to research these weapons, then another 1-3 months to upgrade our units with them. Meaning that we only get these weapons by mid '44.

Furthermore, if we then wanted to go on to research Jet Aircraft, we would only have the test sites ready by about feb 1945. Given the time required to then research and produce jet aircraft, this may be too late to take part in the war in any serious manner. Whereas if we follow a binary, then trinity plan we could have such aircraft ready by 1945.


If we do not allocate the funds build both complexes 2a and 2b this quarter. Then I'm afraid I must change my stance from pro-rocket program to scrapping the entire rocket program, it wouldn't be worth it because the returns would be delayed too long in my opinion.

This is serious, having crunched the numbers, unless we build both sites now, then there is no point continuing the program forward. You can refer to by production outlay previous for details.

--------------------------------------------------------

I believe that you are mistaken Adm.Baltasar on my production outlays. We can afford to lay another two cruisers along with the binary construction of the rocket test complex. It's tight, and we sacrifice a new CAG wing for it, but in the grand scheme of things given our recent losses, given that ships must be built before they are needed, rather than as they are needed, it makes better use of the last of the freed up budget, and we can continue radar production.

If you read between the lines, the production strategy I outlined, actually defers a decision on the final details of ships and modernisation schemes to next quarter. We can discuss then the 1944 plan.


Research Budget:
Indeed you might not agree with it, but here are my reasons for why some of the items you suggested are not on it. Otherwise the vast bulk of the list is exactly the same as yours hence you should agree with that.

Central Air Command Structure is not under research, nor does it take precedence over
the naval one which is more needed for our CAGs. Hence why you would have us drop this and change priority doesn't make a lot of sense, unless that is just a typo from one of your aids.

Again Carrier Task force doctrine, you would have it scrapped while under research? We might as well keep the team working on it since they have started and are likely to research it again in the future.

Any light cruisers that are going to be laid in the near future (read this quarter or next quarter due to the production budget being already allocated) will not be done so before a new design of ship class is ready. Therefore it is low priority, and should be undertaken next quarter to be ready for the 1944 ship construction as per shipbuilding outlays I produced earlier.

Radar training would be nice, but the research budget should accommodate other research projects before this. There is a backlog in general crew training before we look at the radar officers. Hence my priority at listing them first (although we could swap this in, when the current general rocket scientist team is finished?).

Base operations increases supply throughput and I believe our ship repair rate too. It is a critical tech well beyond encryption/decryption machines! Similarly the army would do better with better communication links between its regimental fire support and the officers directing the fighting. Again, priority suggests that combat radios will have a more immediate pay off.

We have many able bodied men waiting to join the armed forces, it is not like we need to increase the numbers of troops available. Indeed I believe that we haven't even called in the reserves or advertised the soldiering profession yet and are still only counting men coming forward on their own fervour!

There is no need to worry about manpower reserves. (I do not suggest we call in our manpower reserves until the trickle of volunteers is getting particularly low to keep war wiriness to a minimum)

Hence first aid, agriculture are not priority matters for us.


As you can appreciate much thought has gone into producing that budget report and I read both your and Gen.Surts suggestions as well as incorporated it with proposed production schedules, relative competitiveness and political considerations. It should, with no alterations, bar maybe the general rocket science team, be the best way we can organise our budget for our most pressing concerns.


On the Global Conflicts:
I do not forsee quite as gloomy a picture as Gen.Holy Death, but my estimation is not too dissimilar on the turning points, just timeframes.

As far as I can see, we cannot aid the European axis alliance from an inevitable defeat. Even without Suez or India, the Allies have got their 'foot in the door' and can press the momentum. The question for us is not if the Axis will be defeated, but when. I believe any operations outside of our immediate theatre would be counter productive as they may only change this outcome but a number of months, and could cost us dearly.

Therefore as ever, my policy is to put us in a position to weather the proverbial storm. Part of this means having to plan for the time when we are alone against the Allies and they only have us to focus on. This is partly why I am quite concerned at the lack of ships, in our budget because although I don't have my rough estimate of numbers to hand, we are rather outnumbered, and later may be out gunned as well.

Hence a conservation of strength right to the end of this war is a necessity.

What others may have failed to grasp is while we can go on fighting in China for 10 years and a day! The actual 'war' is with the Allies. They or the Soviets are the only ones who could defeat us in detail. Therefore the war will be won by whoever s navy is sunk first, and until that time neither us or the Allies can force each other into submission. This is a key point.

It doesn't matter how much the Allies out-build our ships, so long as we still have ships to disrupt and cut off any invasion they make against our home assets, and that is all that matters. We don't have to sink the Allied navies to 'win' we just have to deny them the ability to go on the offensive against us. At which point we have the Naval equivalent of the great war, where neither side can make any lasting gains.

Remember that while Imperial Germany's 1918 spring offensive went far to almost being a war winning offensive, in the end it bled them out of men and material, meaning they had to capitulate. If the Kaiser after Verdun had sat on the defensive, he would have bled out the French and English much more than his own armies.

The Allies might have more ships, but if they crash on our 'rocks of the pacific' every time then it isn't doing them much good.


….So the 'war' will be 'won' by the Navy so long as they Allies can't win it themselves, and the Army eventually will have the glory of bringing the Chinese peoples into our Co-prosperity Sphere.


The key question is not to let Japan have a Lusitania. That for us would be having Stalin brought in against us, while we are still at war with the Chinese. Therefore everything possible must be done to prevent their entry, and I would also urge the army generals to conduct a feasibility strategy on containing or dealing with that unfortunate event should it arise....
 
To Admiral Yamamoto,

The war in China could go on for years with no consequence either way, but I think your mistaken in that they will crash against our rocks (unless massively build up with fortresses and men) as they will always meet up with an overwhelming fleet, and the longer it goes on the worse it will be. You will not get a deterred effect from our fleet as it gets more and more outnumbered.

The only way forward is engage the lesser enemy fleets and thereby weakening the enemy.
 
The Administration is perplexed. If the Generals and Admirals believe that war in China may last years longer, then we may just as well adopt a defensive posture in this Theatre and focus on expansion in the Pacific, where 2-3 additional corps could greatly aid our efforts. The Army keeps asking for more troops, but if defeatism is spreading within its ranks, then nothing will help us. This lack of strategic coherence can result in a disaster.

General Tojo will not be happy about it and the Administration will make sure that he will know every comment that was made here. Perhaps the Kempeitai should aid the Generals in restoring order and keeping morale high?
 
Central Air Command Structure is not under research, nor does it take precedence over
the naval one which is more needed for our CAGs. Hence why you would have us drop this and change priority doesn't make a lot of sense, unless that is just a typo from one of your aids.
The reasoning is that, per your own strategy, we should rely heavily on land based fighter cover. I just put it in so your needs would be fulfilled as well and it didn't seem to take awfully long to do.



Again Carrier Task force doctrine, you would have it scrapped while under research? We might as well keep the team working on it since they have started and are likely to research it again in the future.
Aparently, my aid left that one out. I prefer to delegate review of non-essential research proposals to my aide. Add it if you want to.

Any light cruisers that are going to be laid in the near future (read this quarter or next quarter due to the production budget being already allocated) will not be done so before a new design of ship class is ready. Therefore it is low priority, and should be undertaken next quarter to be ready for the 1944 ship construction as per shipbuilding outlays I produced earlier.
That's why it's pretty much at the end of the list already. However, we could move those doctrines further up the line so Light Cruiser design principle would be done last.

Radar training would be nice, but the research budget should accommodate other research projects before this. There is a backlog in general crew training before we look at the radar officers. Hence my priority at listing them first (although we could swap this in, when the current general rocket scientist team is finished?).
My reasoning was that we need every advantage we can get in as short a time as possible. Having our men read their radars better would greatly increase their combat prowess in my eyes, hence I'd prefer it to be done earlier than per your suggestion.

Base operations increases supply throughput and I believe our ship repair rate too. It is a critical tech well beyond encryption/decryption machines!
From my point of view, the navy does not need better supply throughput, though faster repairs are always welcome, though not essential. Encryption and Decryption direcly affects our ability to know about the enemy intentions and to hide ours from them. Secrecy is of utmost importance. I can not start to imagine the perils would be in if the enemy could read our codes!

Similarly the army would do better with better communication links between its regimental fire support and the officers directing the fighting. Again, priority suggests that combat radios will have a more immediate pay off.
That'd be an army project and I did't make a suggestion to their research specialists. I firmly believe it'd their decision and I won't interfere in general.

We have many able bodied men waiting to join the armed forces, it is not like we need to increase the numbers of troops available. Indeed I believe that we haven't even called in the reserves or advertised the soldiering profession yet and are still only counting men coming forward on their own fervour!
Point being that nobody likes to see his comrade die in vain because the medicine isn't there or isn't good enough to stop him dying. Once the pacification in China is over, we'll still need million of men to keep it pacified and to deter other powers from attempting to attack what is ours. We also do need more troops if we were to engage in more offensive actions and we currently do not have a reserve to safeguard Japan. All this means that we still have a great need for able bodied men and I don't see when that need will end.


Regarding your global strategy, I have to disagree on some aspects. I disagree in particular on your assumption that we could somehow be able to withstand the combined Allied forces once the European Axis have been defeated. Unless another thread arises to the Allies, they'll be able to ship everything and the kitchen sink towards Asia. They already outnumber us greatly at sea and this will not change as we know their industrial abilities enable them to churn out ships faster than we can reasonably assume to sink them. Thus the goal can not be to wait and see what happens. We have to show them that we can and will attack them if they attack us. We must decrease the number of thier ships to such a point that they'll consider it not worth the cost to continue their war with us.

I firmly believe that this is our single best chance to win this. It may be or only chance. The US elections of '44 will go a long way to tell us what kind of winds we are facing.

Our ships will not be worth anything if the enemy manages to roll through our lines in several places at once. We could easily end up the same way the Imperial German navy did in the Great War and that's neither honorable nor will it save us from the disgrace of a defeat. Thus we can only use our assets and concentrate on one spot at a time, overwhelming the enemy in single battles, to decrease his numbers, to demoralise his seamen and to twart their plans of invasion of any of our assets.

The Chinese pacification must be finished by the time the Axis are defeated. At the very latest. From that point on, we could very easily face the Russian hordes in the north as another danger to our empire. This must not happen and thus we must do what it takes to end that affair in China.
 
Memo to administration:

What can our remaining agents in the USA tell us about their political situation? Is there already political friction because of the elections next year? What does the administratial political intelligence suggest would help us the most to get them to terms?

Do we have sufficient commanders for our divisions?
 
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