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I understood the situation in China to be a mixed one. While the central front was driven back a bit, the northern and southern front both gained some ground. Am I correct?

Regarding the Aleutian Islands, I thought that we had requested them to be occupied in the past already, right after Hawaii? These ports were meant to be briefly taken to deny the enemy the element of surprise... Looks like we have to do it now.
 
We had some general plans for the conquest of the Aleutian Islands and Alaska once, but post-Christmas Island stalemate changed things a bit. It was deemed not prudent to overexpose ourselves, as every occupied island drains our resources a bit without giving anything in return.
 
Memorandum

A plan for luring the US Navy out so we can destroy them piecemeal would be nice.
With the reopening of the hostilities in the north we might have a opportunity to hand the US a defeat.

Looking at the latest naval actions it looks like when we try to stop an invasion we get a bloody nose, but when the US tries to stop our invasions they get handed a defeat. We should therefore try to attack the Aleutian's (which I have called for multiple times) to lure the enemy fleets out.
We have 4 chances to make a hit, last is at Dutch Harbour.

((this is much like OTL at Midway))
 
Gen Surt,
while such a plan would be great, I am afraid that the US will be very careful about sending out their fleets. After Saipan and the loss of Hawaii, another large scale loss would surely be a crippling moral blow for them. Their recent operation is most likely meant as a sign towards their own population instead of us. They wanted to show themselves that they can take the initiative, although they lost one of their naval infantry divisions in the process.
 
Memorandum regarding supplies.

It looks like there now are 2 distinct supply routes that are used to supply the south shown by the red hatched provinces.
A northern along the front through Changsha and another slightly south of it.
As we already work on the northern we might want to upgrade the southern to level 4 also to lessen the demand on the northern one, but we shouldn't use more than 10 total infrastructure project and the southern route is the least priority.
 
Plan of the navy:

Adm. Yamamoto: pending approval
Adm. Baltasar: approved



Pacific:
Take out the US ports, especially the Aleutians. All but 2nd and 5th fleet (which will remain at Hawaii) will be used in this. Once this is done, the fleets will return to Hawaii and await US moves. What ports we consider front line ports will need at least 3x Gar protection to hold out long enough for the fleet to show up.

China:
Army should persue offensives where feasible and retain a defensive stance where supply is insufficient. Infrastructure needs to be expanded accordingly. Airfields should be created near the front lines so the heavy fighters can lend their weight to the battle more often. Techs handling supplies need to be prioritized as well as doctrines reducing supply consumption.

Research:
No changes needed.

Production:
No changes needed.


@ Administration:
To which class do the new ships belong to?
Who sank the USN 5th, 8th and 19th Submarine divisions?
 
Admiral Baltazar,

That is the reason we have to do it, if they don't interfere they show their weakness to the world. If they chose to show up we have a chance to beat them while they haven't finished their fleet carriers.
But the navy must risk all on this as we need a great victory. A fleet of 5-6 BB should cover the invasion (at best where our H.Ftr can fly air superiority from one of our airports), while the CV fleet positions itself to the south east of the invasion but not directly on the route the US would take, then when we either win or withdraw with the BB the CV's take over.
To support this plan we might need to produce an emergency airport to be set up on one of the Islands to cover the rest.
 
Army Group Center:
Army Group Center is unable to perform any aggressive maneuvers and will probably by pushed out of Changde and nearby provinces. Commander of the Army Group Center should be given an order to retreat his exposed units. Pull back our forces behind the Han Shui river before they'll be cut off and destroyed by sheer number of well-supplied Chinese (set stance for the whole Army Group to withdraw. Changde itself and Changshashould be ordered to be defended at all cost (set defensive marker there).

Army Group North:
Army Group North should maintain its defensive positions, hold any preparations against the communists and provide support to units of Army Group Center. They shouldn't be allowed to attack, just to support own units so Army Group Center can be reinforced, resupplied to assist in offensive of our own. Time will work in our favor as we will construct supply routes and are now closer to already existing rail network, not backwater in the middle of nowhere. Main goal is to prevail until Mountain Infantry will arrive to relieve or back up regular units, depending on situation.

Army Group South:
Army Group South made very little progress, but their operation can disrupt enemy attack on Army Group Center and form basis for future operation against exposed Chinese troops. They should continue their advance up to the river Pearl.
 
To which class do the new ships belong to?
Who sank the USN 5th, 8th and 19th Submarine divisions?
New CLs are Tone-class cruisers. New BC is an Early-War Battlecruiser+, with firepower comparable to IJN Yamato, but lacking its heavy armour.

We know that 13 Kuchikusentai (a DD flotilla) sunk the 5th and 19th US submarine divisions, but we do not know exactly which ship sunk the 8th submarine division.
 
to imperial administration:

What is the status of our fleets? I noticed in one of the reports that there were more fleets than in our plan. Are there still ships damaged? How are the upgrades progressing?
 
Adm. Yamamoto: Manila


Plan of the navy:

Adm. Yamamoto: pending approval
Adm. Baltasar: approved



Pacific:
Take out the US ports, especially the Aleutians. All but 2nd and 5th fleet (which will remain at Hawaii) will be used in this. Once this is done, the fleets will return to Hawaii and await US moves. What ports we consider front line ports will need at least 3x Gar protection to hold out long enough for the fleet to show up.

China:
Army should pursue offensives where feasible and retain a defensive stance where supply is insufficient. Infrastructure needs to be expanded accordingly. Airfields should be created near the front lines so the heavy fighters can lend their weight to the battle more often. Techs handling supplies need to be prioritized as well as doctrines reducing supply consumption.

Research:
No changes needed.

Production:
No changes needed.

I do not approve of this plan in principle. Critically, our northern garrison was not able to hold out under the US Marine attacks until the navy arrived, and as such we lost our soldiers as their rifles and guns were thrown into the sea when they surrendered. Producing ever more garrisons, to garrison even more strategic liabilities in the pacific is not a good course of action for us.

While I would support an Aleutian campaign, I suggest that we neither garrison nor leave our marines in these ports long. Our mission being less of occupation, but rather to show the Americans that we can continue the fight anywhere. However I would advise caution, the Americans may be using this northern route in an attempt to lure us out, or to attempt a retake at Hawaii. Therefore I would propose a small fleet sent to the north, and we take a 'slow' route in taking the islands. By this I mean I support the selected fleets, but we should not aim to garrison the islands and instead maintain a 'mobile defence' in the North, only countering American landings with our own retake missions. We shall let the American invasion fleets 'play goose' while we engage while our fleets operate in the area.

There are other good reasons for this, namely is the Russians. The Aleutians were once Russian territory and we would not like to see another 'incident' with them, particularly seeing the army is stretched as they are. I might suggest some relatively private cables to Stalin that there are no Japanese interests in the Aleutians, and that after the US has given up their pointless war, they will be given up.

Indeed, we may wish to impress to the Soviets, that if they would back us as a third party in talks with the Americans when the American public becomes tired with this war, we might exchange the Aleutians back to Russia, in exchange for the northern half of Sakhalin Island. Rather than return the Aleutians back to the US. At the same time, it might be worth making a preliminary 'apology' for 'miscommunications with our border commanders' about the previous incidents.

Another one is supply, the American shipyards are far out producing ours, and we are seeing how bad the Americans can bite on our supply lines beyond the pacific defence perimeter* I would not like to see our merchant fleet being whittled down even faster when they are bound to have to supply garrisons in the Aleutians. Indeed that might even be the Americans strategy to try and sink our merchant fleet by giving us even more 'protectorates'.


Furthermore the Americans could use a Japanese occupation of the Aleutians for propaganda purposes, suggesting that Alaska is next, and then homeland America. If we embark on an Aleutian campaign, we need to impress, that this is a 'reprisal' for further American aggressions against Asia and Japan. Internationally, we need to remind the world that it was the Americans who started this 'unjust war', and that Asia is only rightfully asserting herself against American imperialism; A nations right to 'self determination', just like the Americans preached after WWI, and when they wouldn't sign the race equality act. Asia must be allowed her right to self determination, and this war is showing that the Asian peoples are equal to the western powers.

*Can the Administration confirm that most of the convoy sinking are on our south American trade routes at the moment (or if not, where our convoys are being sank?)


Airfield Production:
The closer airfields are to the front, the greater supply draw near the front lines. Our heavy fighters already have drop tanks this I think gives them a range of 800km** which for the most part shouldn't be causing them issues of range.

Research:
I am going to suggest that in the general stream of research, after supplies production we invest in 'Base Operations' research, as we haven't looked into improving our supply throughput via the ports in a while, and if we can push more supplies via our ports, then more is available to spread across the entire supply grid.

Air Research:
-Top Priority CAG Ground Attack Roll <--This is top priority and this training should have been done ages ago!
-Central Air Command Structure '38
-Small Air Search Radar '40

- Completed Battleship Engine
- In research Naval Air Control Doctrine '38--->modern
- In research Naval Air Command Structure '38--->modern
- Completed Cruiser Engine '42 (higher priority for future ships)
- In research Cruiser AA Armament '42
- In research Small Warship Radar '42
- In research Carrier Taskforce Doctrine '41
- Completed Cruiser Escort Doctrine '41
- In research Fire Control System Training '41
- In research Radar Training '41
- Night Fighting Training '42 (Navy ships)
- Scrapped for Now Cruiser Crew Training ('43 ? because '42 is completed)
- ASW Tactics 39'
- Base Operations 39'
- Commander Decision Making '41

Bold = New Added, (as techs are completed)

**Can the administration confirm?

Production:
Approved. No changes required for the moment, the army make keep its allotted industry until our next set of decision making. Although Adm. Baltersar, we need that new BB laid soon! I would hate to think that we wasted the research initives spent on new BB design over the years if we do not lay the new hulls. Afterall those ships designs are amazing.


Memorandum to the Administration:
I too would like an update on naval repairs.
 
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What is the status of our fleets? I noticed in one of the reports that there were more fleets than in our plan. Are there still ships damaged? How are the upgrades progressing?
Most of our ships have been repaired, with the exception of IJN Yamato, which took some damage during its encounter with one of the US submarines and is now at ~80% combat readiness. Upgrades are progressing steadily, but new technological breakthroughs happen several times in a year, which means that it's always a gradual process. Some of our capital ships still lack modern AA guns and many of our destroyers have not been equipped with the modern radars yet.

New ships were hastily integrated into the fleets and were supposed to fight the USN near Paramushiro, but as we know, it never happened.

*Can the Administration confirm that most of the convoy sinking are on our south American trade routes at the moment (or if not, where our convoys are being sank?)
The Americans are changing the areas of operations of their submarines often. While most of the convoys are indeed attacked near the Mexican coastline, our enemies are so bold that they even managed to make some attacks on our convoys near Tokyo! We believe that they used the Aleutian bases for this purpose and that they have some long-ranged submarines at their disposal. The Administration is of the opinion that the USA will produce many more submarines in the following years.

The closer airfields are to the front, the greater supply draw near the front lines. Our heavy fighters already have drop tanks this I think gives them a range of 800km** which for the most part shouldn't be causing them issues of range.
Our HFTRs have a range of 900 km now. However, their speed is not that great, which means that the HFTRs used on Air Intercept missions should be stationed closer to the frontline.

Top Priority CAG Ground Attack Roll <--This is top priority and this training should have been done ages ago!
It was rejected on the grounds that it would decrease the efficiency of our CAGs in naval battles.

Approved. No changes required for the moment, the army make keep its allotted industry until our next set of decision making. Although Adm. Baltersar, we need that new BB laid soon! I would hate to think that we wasted the research initives spent on new BB design over the years if we do not lay the new hulls. Afterall those ships designs are amazing.
Both General Tojo and the Administration believed that investing in our first rocket test site was more important than starting the construction of new capital ships. However, soon our last planned CAG will be formed, so it is possible that a new order for a battleship may be given in October.

In regard to the capital ships, the Administration is worried that the Admirals do not plan to design better AA guns for our carriers. It should be noted that this may cripple the performance of our carriers in the long-term.
 
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I do not approve of this plan in principle. Critically, our northern garrison was not able to hold out under the US Marine attacks until the navy arrived, and as such we lost our soldiers as their rifles and guns were thrown into the sea when they surrendered. Producing ever more garrisons, to garrison even more strategic liabilities in the pacific is not a good course of action for us.

While I would support an Aleutian campaign, I suggest that we neither garrison nor leave our marines in these ports long. Our mission being less of occupation, but rather to show the Americans that we can continue the fight anywhere. However I would advise caution, the Americans may be using this northern route in an attempt to lure us out, or to attempt a retake at Hawaii. Therefore I would propose a small fleet sent to the north, and we take a 'slow' route in taking the islands. By this I mean I support the selected fleets, but we should not aim to garrison the islands and instead maintain a 'mobile defence' in the North, only countering American landings with our own retake missions. We shall let the American invasion fleets 'play goose' while we engage while our fleets operate in the area.

The point of garrisons is to stop the enemy long enough for our fleets to engage. Hence I propsed to strengthen our garrisons. I do not want to let the US navy roam freely round our norther sphere, I want to engage and sink them. We do need more naval victories to a) stop them from gaining a vastly larger navy than ours and b) to show them that their idea of fighting us is not good at all for them.
That said, we can not hope to engage the enemy if we do not put out a bait in form of garrisons. We might draw from garrisons further within our realm, where we think the US can't strike at. As a matter of fact, I'd rather use regular infantry or marines and put two of these divisions in every port, but we do not have the numbers to do it this way. We have to do with garrisons.

The Americans are changing the areas of operations of their submarines often. While most of the convoys are indeed attacked near the Mexican coastline, our enemies are so bold that they even managed to make some attacks on our convoys near Tokyo! We believe that they used the Aleutian bases for this purpose and that they have some long-ranged submarines at their disposal. The Administration is of the opinion that the USA will produce many more submarines in the following years.

We should start to deploy ASW groups in our rear areas then. I'm sure the administration can send these out without us making explicit requests?

Production:
Approved. No changes required for the moment, the army make keep its allotted industry until our next set of decision making. Although Adm. Baltersar, we need that new BB laid soon! I would hate to think that we wasted the research initives spent on new BB design over the years if we do not lay the new hulls. Afterall those ships designs are amazing.

If we had the resources, I would agree and even ask for two of them. However, I do not see this possibility. With China still not taken and supplies being the main issue, it seems to me that it'd be more important to improve infrastructure and airfields in China on a large scale. We'll need them later on anyway if we have to fight either the Soviets or the Allies or both.

I'll let the army have a word in here. If the Generals think they do not need the additional resources, I'll request another BB being layed down.
 
We should start to deploy ASW groups in our rear areas then. I'm sure the administration can send these out without us making explicit requests?
Of course, but the previous orders stated that no ASW groups were to be formed. Should we only use destroyers in these fleets?

Also, in regard to our submarines... Should we use them on patrol duty closer to our main fleets? The Americans are getting better at finding and damaging/sinking the submarines that are patrolling the US West Coast.
 
*I've been testing various scenarios, such as war with the SU, Japan in the Axis, USA in the Allies etc. What I've found out is that the AI has HUGE problems with two things - movement in Africa and supporting the Chinese against Japan. In the first case the AI has a tendency to shuffle units 6000 km away because it thinks that it needs to boost its frontline on the other side of Africa and it doesn't realise that it's best to use TPs to move units around. The problem exists in Asia, too, but in that case it's not such a big issue, because there are always enough units around thanks to the existance of various puppets, especially India and infra tends to be a bit better, too. I fixed the problem with Africa by removing the land connection between western and eastern parts of the continent in Central Africa. It was just a one-province entry with 2 infra, now the province has 1 infra. This should help the AI greatly.

I fixed the second problem by changing infra in provinces on Burmese-Chinese and Indian-Chinese borders to 1. Therefore, in case China joins the Allies, the AI will not be able to move its whole army to China, overload the supply network there and destroy all the fun for all of us. It will only be able to attack us by moving through Siam/Indochina or using amphibious invasions, which should give much more realistic results. It should be noted that IRL Chiang didn't want to allow the Allied land units to participate in battles in China and the Chinese-Allied cooperation on land was limited to the Burma Campaign. Since HOI3 doesn't represent Chiang's reluctance at all and the AI is too stupid to take the supply situation into account when transferring units to different theatres, I think that changing infra is the only way of preventing the AI from breaking the game. If/when we conquer China, I will restore the infra in these places to previous levels. If other problems appear, I will fix them by save-game editing.
 
To General Tojo,

The Emperors godly power to change the infrastructure is most welcome, both are problems that have shown up in many war games played out by HQ North.
 
To General Tojo,

The Emperors godly power to change the infrastructure is most welcome, both are problems that have shown up in many war games played out by HQ North.
*Note that the Gods in this AAR believe only in limited intervention. It's sth which will be done only as a last resort, when we encounter problems that can potentially break the game. I won't use it simply to boast our chances of winning or sth. A good example is the fact that I keep Shanghai's depot at a reasonable level, because of a well-known HOI3 SF bug.
 
To the admiralty,

Most exercis es have shown that all allied subs migrates to the most used seazones, which is usually just outside Nagasaki or just outside Tokyo.

Any subs that attack us east of Hawaii should be attacked by a group of destroyers and maybe joined by a CVL group when getting closer to the coast of Japan. These groups could use the Sortie mission whereby they hunt the subs where they go.

Secondly the Admiralty should decide if they want to engage the US navy or not.
If you decide to wait any later encounter potentially sees huge fleet encounters again, but this preserves the fleet for later.
If on the other hand you should seek a confrontation you should engineer it fast before the US Navy recovers more from its defeats, this risks us losing the fleet early but could mean we stem the tide a year more.
 
Of course, but the previous orders stated that no ASW groups were to be formed. Should we only use destroyers in these fleets?

Packs of two to three destroyer groups should suffice for rearguard ASW duties, although a CL might add somewhat more ASW power. I'll leave it to the administration to decide.

Also, in regard to our submarines... Should we use them on patrol duty closer to our main fleets? The Americans are getting better at finding and damaging/sinking the submarines that are patrolling the US West Coast.

We're not sinking any numbers of US vessels anyway, so we should use them for scouting only from now on. Having them move ahead and around our main fleets, they'll be the watchful eyes around our main units. If we do not need all of them for this, we can still park them in front of their ports and monitor their movements.
 
If on the other hand you should seek a confrontation you should engineer it fast before the US Navy recovers more from its defeats, this risks us losing the fleet early but could mean we stem the tide a year more.

We'll deal with this once the Aleutian campaign is over.
 
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