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The Northern Army HQ has read the Navy's proposal for budget and policy.

We are satisfied that the navy acknowledges the need for upgrading.

The research into BB, CL, CV and CaG looks fine, but the absence of ASW and light AAA(from destroyers which counts on all ship) and basing worries us.

It is not the army's opinion that the Chinese are arming rapidly, especially not after they have gone to peace and they will be further handicapped by mobilizations and therefore does not see the need attack soon. Also our industrialization programs are moving along nicely where our spies don't report any building in China.
Further the landing of 3 Homengun at nearly the same time in southern China is vital to being able to overwhelm the local forces and stage an encirclement of the Hainan chinese forces in cooperation with the GuangXi.

It is on the other hand the opinion that Stalin will probe our defences and before that happens (first time) its too dangerous to attack China, see the recent event including the Soviets attempt to destabilize us by shooting our officers (and we don't ... suppose it was a naval officers who did it?!?).
 
To the Minister of Security from Army HQ north,

We strongly recent your advice to the Emperor to use spies on the UK as this has coursed our spy network in China to become dangerously weakened.
Should you repeat this feat you risk the chief of the army to resign from the cabinet which will lead to the cabinet to fall as a prime minister who can't present a full cabinet must resign.

signed
General Surt.

(ps. according to wikipedia this was the law at that time ... )
 
To all whom it may concern

Army HQ Norths view of the immediate future and the more uncertain further future.

In the last part of '38 we expect a Soviet probe of our defences in Manchuria, either near Korea or at the Mongolian border.
Should this escalate we must destroy a substantial part of the Soviet forces eastern forces during the first part of '39 and then seek peace hopefully gaining north Sakhalin and maybe Vladivostok before the winter '39.

Should the incident not escalate we should prepare for an attack on China in early or mid '39 depending on the alignment of the GuangXi, the date is very uncertain.
The campaign against the Nationalists should last from 6-12 months, the optimistic opinions of some generals that it will be over in 3 months is hopelessly optimistic.

It is our opinion that the European situation will escalate at some point now, the German annexation of Austria will not be the last as there are many Germanic people still in foreign countries, in Poland, Czechoslovakia, even in North Italy and Romania.
The situation will get out of hands between '39 and '41 and the Soviets will attack the weakened west at that point.

Late '40 to late '41 should see us build a reserve of Garrisons to cover a rapid expansion. An increase in Navy expansion must also happen here in case we get to war with UK or US.

At the time of the Soviet intervention in Europe we must attack them in the rear, hence we must make peace in '39 to be able to declare war again in '41.
Also the western powers will be distracted and we can "liberate" some of their colonies, the British-French allies would not start another war over the Netherlands East Indian colonies.

We would need around 10 Homengun for the 2nd attack on the Soviets, which leaves 3-4 for the Netherlands and other commitments which should be more than enough.

A defeat of the Soviets or Nationalists will cover our rare problems for a long time, the largest Soviet oil resources are far to the west but the Siberian resources should cover our needs for a long time.
 
*Technical note

We strongly recent your advice to the Emperor to use spies on the UK as this has coursed our spy network in China to become dangerously weakened.
Actually, it has only happened recently and this was not the case for most of the year. Keep in mind that the UK is set at the lowest priority. I think it has more to do with decreased espionage budget and possibly increased Chinese counter-espionage activity.

6. Accept the Emperors offer of cancelling supplies imports. So our negotiators can accept offers for our good and we can balance the budget.
This has already been done.

Underfunding the upgrades (...)
This was temporary, because of the supply situation (I'm shuffling the IC between production/upgrades/supplies). Also, as you probably noticed, the upgrade budget is no longer so high - that's because it was top priority for most of the year.

Increase reinforcement to 0.75 to keep up with attrition
I've been doing so for quite some time now. Don't worry, I read your plans ;)

6c. Navy is currently using 27IC on a BB and convoys.
And CAG. And marines. A BB and the convoys cost 15.8, not 27.

6a. The current deployment looks fine except the forces on the north china border where one Homengun should join the north western Homengun and another one should be redeployed to the north eastern Korean port.
What do you mean by "north western"? The one stationed in northern Manchuria or the one stationed on the Mongolian border?

*
 
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The research into BB, CL, CV and CaG looks fine, but the absence of ASW and light AAA(from destroyers which counts on all ship) and basing worries us.

We assume that the current AAA employed on our ships is sufficient to keep enemy planes away. If we should put more effort into this, the army might need to share a few more factories with us since this would create a substantial re-armament program for the whole fleet. It might become more important if we should see major naval enemies on the horizon, but currently, these are far away and occupied with other problems, so we should really invest our short term resources into something that gives us short term benefits.

In the last part of '38 we expect a Soviet probe of our defences in Manchuria, either near Korea or at the Mongolian border.
Should this escalate we must destroy a substantial part of the Soviet forces eastern forces during the first part of '39 and then seek peace hopefully gaining north Sakhalin and maybe Vladivostok before the winter '39.

It is the opinion of the traditional navy that we should seek to eleminate as many Soviet formations as possible in either case. It would benefit us both in the long and in the short term.

Anyway, the first two Marine divisions will be ready by end of August / early September 1938. They then can spearhead attacks into enemy territory, regardless of who the enemy should be.
 
II. Diplomacy
1.a Continue to support our party in the Warlord cliques Yunnan in western China
Disagreed. It's a waste of time and effort and our leadership should be spent for more valuable targets (the Allies) or research.
1.b Lower the Warlord cliques Guangxi neutrality in western China
Disagreed, same reason
1.c Seek to, and repeatedly envoy Guangxi/Yunnan to sign a military alliance as they become threatened by the Kuomintang, and come to the axis corner if at “maybe” status.
Disagreed, same reason
2.Stop using spies on the UK as long as we are not on 10 spies in all our target.
Stop sending spies to the UK until we have 5 free spies at home
7. When our neutrality is no longer a problem support our unity.
We should support our party first
4. Underfunding the upgrades is deadly for the navy as the ships wont be able to stop air attacks and convoy attacks if AAA and ASW are not kept up to date. The army is calculating with spending 5IC on its upgrade as average over the year.
Not neccessary yet, since we do not expect major naval oppents before late '40.
7. Emergency war budget in case of war with china will change it little, only we need approximately 10xGarx2 extra to guard ports.
Will demand increased replacement investment plus increased supplies production. Will be balanced with consumer goods
IJA
The rapid expansion of the army has led to the diminishing officers ration of 112%, the navy's production of marines is as of yet not a serious drain but further expansion would be a problem.
It was the army's expectation that 2.25 leadership in officers should have been enough to secure a 130% rating at the end of '38 and that the 0.25 LS from spies (while all 4 targets are at 10 spies) should insure we had more, but we might want to increase that by another 0.25 LS.
The navy acknowledges this to be a serious problem. Even more reason to cut our intelligence investment
 
We should support our party first

After we lower our neutrality so that Guangxi is only limited by their own neutrality we can support something else.

Supporting our party is a reasonable request, once we have increase our unity. The assassination of our poor General has set our unity so low we are losing org from it (see the imperial clerks report).
Once that is remedied we could indeed support our party.
 
Most gracious Emperor.

*Technical note


Actually, it has only happened recently and this was not the case for most of the year. Keep in mind that the UK is set at the lowest priority. I think it has more to do with decreased espionage budget and possibly increased Chinese counter-espionage activity.
Just wanted to mention that the free spies was to fill up in cases of increased Chinese counter-espionage activity
This has already been done.
This was to say that we continue to support it!
This was temporary, because of the supply situation (I'm shuffling the IC between production/upgrades/supplies). Also, as you probably noticed, the upgrade budget is no longer so high - that's because it was top priority for most of the year.
I expect the upgrade to go up when/if the navy research some general upgradable tech, we should move a bit from the production to supplies to get it up.
I've been doing so for quite some time now. Don't worry, I read your plans ;)
Thanks, I saw that, Army HQ North would just say we continue to say we support this level until we start a war, where it should be set as needed.
And CAG. And marines. A BB and the convoys cost 15.8, not 27.
Eh half my calculation there fell off ... oops. I forgot to write the CaG and had forgotten the Marines ... so its 30+IC.
What do you mean by "north western"? The one stationed in northern Manchuria or the one stationed on the Mongolian border?
The one stationed in northwestern Manchuria, just north of Mongolia which is to link up with the Okhotsk(?) landing.

ps.
how is the investigation into if it was the Navy or Soviet spies who shot General Yamamoto going?
 
how is the investigation into if it was the Navy or Soviet spies who shot General Yamamoto going?

General Surt,
suggesting that the nay had their hands in this foul act is an increadible insult. Either you provide proof for your accusiation or you have to answer us for soiling the honor of the navy.
 
Influence Levels

1. Industrial Capacity:

IJA - 45%

IJN - 55%


No changes here in terms of the influence level, but a major shift towards aircraft production happened in both cases.

2. Leadership

IJA - 50%

IJN - 50%


Again, no changes. Both factions are rapidly modernising their forces. Intelligence budget is now very small (0.4 LP), but the intelligence network is steady. Officer recruitment and training budget is now higher than ever.

3. Manpower

IJA - 70%

IJN - 30%


Japan is chewing its MP like crazy, but we are not at war yet. Fortunately, the airforce doesn't need much MP.

General Influence Levels - IJA 55% / IJN 45%

*Note that the General Influence Level doesn't mean much by itself. It's just there to show the average influence levels of both factions.
 
Chapter Two, Part Three: Gearing Up!
May 1938 - Apr 1939





On 12th of July 1938, the European powers signed the Treaty of Munich. Basically, it allowed the Germans to gain control over a strategically important region of Czechoslovakia with no opposition from the UK or France. Once again, the western democracies showed their weakness, while fascism is on the rise.





However, several months later, the Czechoslovakian government managed to convince the Allies to expand their alliance. How this will affect future developments in Europe remains to be seen, but most Japanese diplomats think that the main intention of this move is to scare the Germans, not to actually oppose them.





Progress is being made in all vital areas of technological development. Several of the newest projects include modern technologies and equipment like radar, new, heavier types of tanks, advanced amphibious warfare equipment and combat radios that are to be used on the battlefield. It is rumoured that the pace of technological advancement has impressed the Emperor Himself.





The Imperial Japanese Army has grown to an impressive force. Numbering more than 400 brigades, including 190 infantry ones, it is now clearly dominant in the region. Army modernisation was a top priority in the previous years and the results are now evident. Every nation which wants to achieve rapid expansion needs a sizeable modern force and finally, the IJA is living up to this description.

Japanese Special Naval Landing Forces consist of 12 marine brigades organised in one SNLF corps. Currently more marines are being trained, but the admirals are cautious about this experimental formation. Clearly, the marines will have to prove themselves in battle.







The Emperor approved the plans of airforce expansion with much enthusiasm and issued a special recommendation to the Imperial quartermasters and businessmen which described the assigned plans as a "matter of national security which should be given top priority". As a result, Japanese aircraft production sky-rocketed and it is expected that the airforce will be greatly expanded in a relatively short period of time.

The construction of an impressive battleship named Yamato will be finished in June 1940. This warship will be the most modern one of all Japanese capital ships - a fine example of the Empire's growing power. It will not be the end of the IJN's expansion, though. In fact, the shipyards are already asking for new construction orders.

As new industrial complexes are being established and new industrial expansion programs are being developed, the Japanese armament industry continues to prosper. The manufactured equipment is more and more modern and the industrial efficiency is at its highest. All this, however, is extremely demanding resource-wise and so it happens that this is the area which the Empire struggles with the most.






After receiving confirmation that isolationism in the Guangxi Clique is fading and after taking the grave state of Japanese strategic stockpile of rare materials (and, to a lesser extent, metals) into consideration, the Emperor decided to authorise the use of force in China as soon as our new alliance with the Guangxi Clique is secured. Countless Chinese provocations and the passive stance of the western powers have convinced the Emperor that war is inevitable and that further delays no longer suit the Empire's best interest. The Kwantung Army have orders to respond to any future Chinese provocation (which will no doubt happen) with force. Japanese-Soviet border is to be secured and the army groups stationed there have to adopt a defensive posture, unless the Soviet leadership decides to start a conflict on a grand scale.

All Japanese generals and admirals have been ordered to prepare for war. The Imperial logisticans and quartermasters have to make sure that sufficiently high supply and fuel stockpiles are secured before the outbreak of hostilities. The Emperor requests information about the time required for army mobilisation.

For the duration of war, a common High Command consisting of the officers of the Army and the Navy will be established. The IJA will have a final say in the matters of war strategy, but the IJN have full control of its assets (including aircraft) and will aid the IJA with its advise and experience. The only person authorised to overrule the decision of the High Command will be the Emperor Himself.

In addition to documents, the chief officers of the Army and the Navy received personal notes from the Emperor. While the exact content varied from note to note, the meaning was exactly the same in all cases.

Give Me resources.
 
Your Highness,
the events in Europe clearly show that the western powers will not oppose any agressive actions when they catch them offguard. Hence we should act as along as they are occupied with Germany. It'll be interesting to see what Germany will do next.

Research
We do not suggest any changes in the research plans we suggested earlier. We do suggest the army to have a look at first aid, combat medicine and agricultural technologies. We do not have an unlimited pool of men.

Production
The navy does not yet need new ships. Instead, we suggest to invest more in air wings. Two parallel runs, three seriell runs of heavy fighters would be optimal, pending army army approval. If the emperor approves, we would also humbly request another marine division for our corps, to form our operational reserve. New ships will be ordered soon, but not just yet.

War plans
Have been provided earlier. If there are questions left, we will be happy to adress them.
 
Your Highness,
the events in Europe clearly show that the western powers will not oppose any agressive actions when they catch them offguard. Hence we should act as along as they are occupied with Germany. It'll be interesting to see what Germany will do next.
Wonders what happens if Germany demands the rest of the Czech holdings, if they want to go in any direction they must clear one direction, either east or west before going to the other.
Research
We do not suggest any changes in the research plans we suggested earlier. We do suggest the army to have a look at first aid, combat medicine and agricultural technologies. We do not have an unlimited pool of men.
We should add them to the imperial techs, its clearly an oversight we hadn't done so earlier.
Production
The navy does not yet need new ships. Instead, we suggest to invest more in air wings. Two parallel runs, three seriell runs of heavy fighters would be optimal, pending army army approval. If the emperor approves, we would also humbly request another marine division for our corps, to form our operational reserve. New ships will be ordered soon, but not just yet.
The army stands perplexed at this, why does the navy not want to build any new ships but instead build an army of marines and planes? while the army will build 1 heavy fighter repeatedly and the navy should build some more cags, the navy would need to build lots of new ships, both capital and escorts. If you don't want to build any capital ships right now, build some CL, trs or convoys so we don't need them later.

If the navy thinks we need more ground forces the army will build them, we will among other order 10xgarx2 for China in addition to the continual builds.
Also the army is considering more mots and tank destroyers.

Also why do you think we need so much air? please note your reasons.
War plans
Have been provided earlier. If there are questions left, we will be happy to adress them.

The army will review its deployment as we got more troops than anticipated. Any change will only be added to the current axis of attack, no new fronts are considered.
 
With Czechoslovakia in the Allies, I foresee a war breaking out soon.

*War Plan China*
Once we secure an alliance with Guangxi, I advise that we move a corp of Mountaineer units down there, or if we can't, a corp of Infantry.

We must invade all of China's ports in order to strangle them, and we must take Nanjing.

Also, why the focus on Motorized units? They are worthless in China due to the horrible infrastructure, and in Siberia for the same reasons.

Other than that, I see nothing wrong with the current state of affairs
 
The current air wings are almost exclusively naval air wings (CAGs). The army itself does have next to none air units of their own. The suggestion to invest more heavily into army air units was meant as a nod towards that need, since the navy air arm can only operate so far from the sea. A short decrease in production would also enable us to increase supply stockpiles for the war.

If the army does not see the neccessity for this, the navy will alter the plans provided. There is certainly never enough ships afloat to dominate the seas.

A canged production slate would include:
1x CAG (with 3x seriell)
2x Light cruisers (each 3x seriell)
1x Transport (10x seriell)

The SNLF already is corps sized and we want to see what these men are capable of before training more men as marines. The remaining units in training are only meant to fill up the corps.

Do not forget that the emperor expects us to act. The navy has set up fleets in the neccessary areas, provided reserve plans, provided support plans for land operations etc. We assume that everything we can do has been done, plus offering the army all the transport ships they need plus escorts plus long range escorts in adjactend zones.

Unless either the army or the emperor have any requests, we assume that our plans have been approved by his highness.
 
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The current air wings are almost exclusively naval air wings (CAGs). The army itself does have next to none air units of their own. The suggestion to invest more heavily into army air units was meant as a nod towards that need, since the navy air arm can only operate so far from the sea. A short decrease in production would also enable us to increase supply stockpiles for the war.

If the army does not see the neccessity for this, the navy will alter the plans provided. There is certainly never enough ships afloat to dominate the seas.

A canged production slate would include:
1x CAG (with 3x seriell)
2x Light cruisers (each 3x seriell)
1x Transport (10x seriell)

The SNLF already is corps sized and we want to see what these men are capable of before training more men as marines. The remaining units in training are only meant to fill up the corps.

Do not forget that the emperor expects us to act. The navy has set up fleets in the neccessary areas, provided reserve plans, provided support plans for land operations etc. We assume that everything we can do has been done, plus offering the army all the transport ships they need plus escorts plus long range escorts in adjactend zones.

Unless either the army or the emperor have any requests, we assume that our plans have been approved by his highness.

Regarding the air force, yes the navy has build most planes lately and should have around 10 now, but the airforce also consists of 3 intercepters, 3 light bombers, 2 heavy bombers, 1? medium bomber, 2? heavy fighters(+2 building), and from then on at least 3 extra each year, so we would have 10 heavy fighters in late '41.

Now we could consider building more but where could we use it?, we already got enough for China I'd say, if we fight the Soviets, we would soon run out of airports to effectively use more than 10 planes as only 1 airport would be in range at a time and supply limits would severely limit using more. If we fight the allies we would also not effectively use more due to the low density of the enemy air cover and at sea only CaG's are really important even if the heavy fighters might cover some naval areas. The only places were more planes are needed would be Europe or the USA mainland, but we will not go there yet and the plan should be amended after we defeat China.

Regarding final plan, the army is not ready yet and we haven't heard form the CV faction yet if they are still there that is.
 
The CV faction hasn't been active lately, the emperor might replace their commander soon-ish.

Since the army doesn't seem to need further air cover, the navy changes her plans:

Draft plan
Approved by Baltasar :p

Research (priority order, no research ahead of time)
- BB techs
- BC techs
- BB / BC doctrines
- CL techs
- CL doctrines
- Underway replenishment
- Base operations
- DD techs and doctrines
- Industrial techs
We do suggest the army to have a look at first aid, combat medicine and agricultural technologies. We do not have an unlimited pool of men and since the navy does require a lot less men, it does seem that this is a mainly army issue.

Production
2x BB (when possible, latest starting point is once the IJN Yamato is finished)
1x Transport (10x seriell)
1x CAG (with 3x seriell)

War plans
Have been provided earlier. If there are questions left, we will be happy to adress them.
 
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The CV faction hasn't been active lately, the emperor might replace their commander soon-ish.
I posted the info about this in the Comment Thread.

If there are questions left, we will be happy to adress them.
How do you plan to conduct the naval blockade? How many ships should be used for that purpose? Do you plan to use full SAGs for shore bombardment and full CTFs as air support? Should all marines be landed simultaneously and where and when do you plan to use them?
 
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