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Approve of plan.
 
Influence Levels

1. Industrial Capacity:

IJA - 45%

IJN - 55%


The Army modernisation is progressing quickly and the Empire's power grows day by day. However, since we do not need so much IC for upgrades anymore and since the Navy needs more IC to build much-needed convoys and train special marine divisions, its influence was increased a bit.

2. Leadership

IJA - 50%

IJN - 50%


Research is no longer restricted by the Treaty, while the democratic nations still respect it, so this is our chance to develop modern naval technologies. Considering that we will have to face the British and American navies some day, it is of utmost importance.

I decided to continue the foreign intelligence actions, but the intelligence budget was decreased.

3. Manpower

IJA - 70%

IJN - 30%


The Navy will need to be careful with marines. They cost a lot of MP and most of it should be secured for the Army for the obvious reasons.

General Influence Levels - IJA 55% / IJN 45%

*Note that the General Influence Level doesn't mean much by itself. It's just there to show the average influence levels of both factions.
 
Chapter Two, Part Two: Gearing Up!
Jul 1937 - May 1938





As expected, in the latter half of 1937 Japan announced that it no longer wanted to be crippled by the Treaty's restrictions. This move, while diplomatically unpopular, should greatly aid Japan's technological developments. Imperial diplomats made sure that our trade agreements with the USA and the UK were safe and as a result, the negative impact was not as big as it could be.

The German Reich annexed Austria in January 1938. Again, this bold move was met with little resistance from the western powers. Stalin, on the other hand, continues his maniacal purges of the Soviet officer corps. These facts finally convinced the Emperor that Germany will be the biggest player in Europe in the following years and that it should grow powerful enough to counter the rising threat of the Soviet Union. As a result, the Empire of Japan signed the Anti-Comintern Pact.





The Imperial engineers were very pleased that they no longer had to concern themselves with the "stupid piece of paper". Technological development in the naval department should be quicker now.

Additionally, many new industrial techniques were researched and the Japanese supply network is currently being reorganised.

*Technical note

Many naval techs/doctrines take longer to research than the army ones, hence the disparity between the number of naval and army technologies that are currently being researched. However, you can rest assured that I kept the correct ratio (50:50) throughout the session.

*





During the last two years, the Imperial Army underwent massive expansion and intensive modernisation. The sheer number of infantry divisions is now 77, not including cavalry formations and garrison troops. However, military experts say that many Japanese divisions still lack artillery and that the Army's success may be heavily dependant on maintaining air superiority. This would be especially important in the event of war with the Soviet Union, the Commonwealth or the USA.

It should also be noted that this rapid expansion has taken its toll on the Japanese industry. Considerable amounts of equipment and supplies have to be produced every day just to maintain the troops in the state of partial readiness. It is expected that the situation will only become more difficult in the future. Also, since the bulk of the Army is stationed overseas, most of the goods have to be transported by sea, which means that the Japanese merchant marine will need to be expanded greatly.





In regard to the Empire's economic situation, it should also be stressed that half of our imports of rare materials are being supplied by the United Kingdom. Since the Japanese businessmen have recently secured several trade agreements with the Dutch authorities in the Dutch East Indies, the diversification is greater than it was a year ago. Even though the Imperial logisticians have managed to maintain a steady stockpile so far, it is still quite unsettling.

All non-essential trade agreements with various Asian countries have been cancelled. In the light of Japan's dire fiscal condition, this was a necessary move.

On the bright side, strategic crude oil and fuel stockpiles are already considerable and are growing every day. The main goal is to make the most of the current neutral relations with the United States, since it is unknown how they will respond to our future moves.






The construction of two impressive warships - a battlecruiser and a carrier - was finally completed in the early 1938. The Emperor wants to know which task forces these ships will reinforce, as He intends to inspect the newest additions to the Imperial Navy personally.

Japanese shipyards immediately got new orders for a new battleship (IJN Yamato), which should be constructed by April 1940. Additionally, the production rate of the new transport ships for the merchant marine was increased by 100%.

The Japanese industry continues to expand. It is expected that new factory complexes should be established in December 1938 and should be able to start production from late January 1939, after the testing and maintenance phases are taken into account.

Artillery production is becoming more and more important. The Army will need more heavy equipment and additional firepower for its infantry divisions in order to increase their fighting capabilities.

The Emperor is pleased to see that the Japanese airforce is no longer so neglected in the production plans. It is rumoured that the news was so pleasant for Him that it calmed His anger after one of the most important generals did not appear at the latest staff meeting and after He saw that the "plans" brought before Him by the representatives of the Navy and the Army were terribly unprofessional, unclear and inconsistent.






Despite lower budget, the Japanese intelligence network is still expanding. The Emperor gave the authorisation for the establishment of new nodes in the United Kingdom, although at the lowest priority.

The Cliques are gradually becoming more sympathetic to our cause. The Emperor accepted the fact that all foreign actions in China are a long-termed process, but he warned the generals that if their plan do not work, they will be discredited in His eyes and the Navy will gain more authority in the foreign matters.









The Japanese troops were organised in four Army Groups in Manchuria - one responsible for securing Mongolia, one tasked with the protection of northern Manchuria, one responsible for security in the Vladivostok Area and the largest one stationed on the Japanese-Chinese border. There are plans to split the Kita-Shina Ichigun in two in order to ensure greater flexibility. It is believed that the army group stationed in northern Manchuria will need to be reinforced in order to perform its duties proficiently. The Emperor is eager to hear what the Army generals have to say in these matters.





The stability in Manchuria is crucial especially when the latest events are taken into account. The Japanese government received reports of hostile actions against Japanese minority in the Soviet-controlled part of Sakhalin. The Japanese Prime Minister publicly expressed his outrage about this "incident" and he had full support of the Emperor in the matter. Shortly thereafter, a retired general was found dead in his house and the police was unable to find the murderer.

The Emperor is greatly concerned about security of the region. He has recently requested the opinion of the Army generals on the possible course of events in case of conflict with the Soviet Union. He especially wants to know whether the Army is ready to engage in a prolonged conflict with the communists and how costly could it potentially be.
 
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Okay, Seeing that I have now been promoted to the Strike South Faction....

A strike against the Communist have only two advantages for us. Vladivostok and Sakhalin.

The longer we wait the more advanced the Chinese will become, so I advise a strike in 1939, September 1st maybe? :p

As we know, the Chinese have absolutely horrid infrastructure, so if we do strike, we must strike the ports and the coast, which necessitates that the IJN helps us. Also, Taiwan is a "unsinkable aircraft carrier" We must and will use this to our advantage.

I Advise that we influence Siam, if we aren't already doing so, seeing that it is one of the only non-alined countries here.

Surt, you can try to merge this with your plan, I'm just shooting out ramblings as I see them.
 
General Cody, please go back and evaluate the proposed invasion plans for China, considering we got around 10 armies, should be on one of the last pages.
 
Draft Plan, pending approval of the IJA as well since their units will have to do the land parts.

Battlecruiser to be attached to 5th Fleet, Carrier to 3rd fleet, while the CVL of 3rd fleet will be moved to 4th fleet to have an even balance of CAGs available in both units.

The Navy suggests to open the pacification process of China sooner than later. The Chinese are gearing up rapidly and we need to take the initative as long as we have the technological edge. We suggest that the forces in Taiwan should be used for amphibious landings at a point of choice of the army. The navy will deploy as lined out here: http://forum.paradoxplaza.com/forum...LAY-THREAD&p=13007418&viewfull=1#post13007418
Transport fleets will assemble as needed, transports and their escorts are to be taken from IJNR on a temporary basis. Assuming the Marine corps is already ready to participate, it will spearhead the landing as descripted. If the corps is not yet fully assembled, the available units will still spearhead the landings with army support.

Intelligence: We, yet again, suggest to stop wasting our leadership in Chinese affairs and use them to further our technological research.

Research:
Battleship techs seem to be either up to date or being researched.
Light cruiser techs seem to be either up to date or being researched.
Carrier techs seem to be either up to date or being researched.
Battlecruiser design principle would be low priority.
Naval Infantry, commonly known as Marines, technolgies seem sufficiently up to date. We'll need to see them in action anyway before we spend more valuable brain resources on them.
* This also represents research priorites.

Considering this, we suggest to enhance our knowledge in naval doctrines where useful and if there is still room for more, some more research for the CAGs would be appreciated, too.

Production:
The Navy acknowledges that most of the update requirements are for our ships, hence we suggest not to start further constructions just yet and instead invest more heavily in upgrades. Once these are finished, another 2 CAG wings in seriel would be needed, both as replacements for the carriers and immediate army air support. Since we need to upgrade many of our ships, most particular their AA equipment, the fleets should remain in ports which will also save a lot of fuel.

All in all, we strongly advise to start the pacification of China at the earliest possible moment. The European powers are staring at Germany right now, Stalin is busy beheading his officers and the USA are only interestend in themselves. This is about the best situation we can reasonably hope for. If we strike now, we will should be able to knock out China so fast that the Europeans won't even notice anything. If the Russians are up to something, we can still shift forces to the north, leaving a holding force in China, although I doubt that Stalin would start a war against us simply to help out the Chinese and his forces are not in a combat worthy condition anyway. This is another reason to strike now instead of waiting until the Russians have come to their minds and pose a much greater threat to us than they do right now.

Again, this is about the best situation we can reasonably hope for. If we don't strike now, we could as well abandon all plans to expand the empire. The Russians will rebuild their officers corps before too long, the Chinese might unite themselves under our very eyes and the European powers might calm down over the recent events, acknowledging what has been done and getting over it. If this happens, we won't have the room to make a move.
 
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The troops in Taiwan is one of 3 Homengun that will be used in the Canton area and thus will have to invade, each Homengun weighs a little under 240 units so would need 6 transports. If I remember rightly we got 20 transports which then could transport 3 homengun and a reserve of 2 for minor operations. In case of war with China the 3 southern Homengun invading around Canton will be the first wave, with the Shanghai Homenguns as 2 wave.
 
Do you need to ship all units at the same time? Having more transports than neccessary would mean that even if a transport would be lost, all troops would arrive savely. Since the transports are only needed to ship troops in, it should be possible to commit forces homegun by homengun instead of throwing in an army worth of units right away. I am also not sure of the envisionaged ports can actually handle the supplies required to operate such a force, especially of all these men are dropped there at the same time.
 
I see Surt. It looks like what i want.
 
Do you need to ship all units at the same time? Having more transports than neccessary would mean that even if a transport would be lost, all troops would arrive savely. Since the transports are only needed to ship troops in, it should be possible to commit forces homegun by homengun instead of throwing in an army worth of units right away. I am also not sure of the envisionaged ports can actually handle the supplies required to operate such a force, especially of all these men are dropped there at the same time.

The forces are designed to not be greater than can be supplies, 3 in the south from Hainan and Canton f.ex. The main reason to land them in the south first is to draw units away from Shanghai and Nanjing when we are landing there. Having 3 homengun at one time at the south also gives the opportunity to surround the Chinese between Hainan and Canton.
I have also now had the opportunity to test a single scenario with this setup and it seems to work, only the southern attack needs to push much more to the north to trigger the collapse.
 
*Technical note

Since I plan to post one more update before Christmas, the deadline is 20th of December. The update will be posted on 21th of December and after that I will have limited access to computer until January 2012. My activity during Jan 2012 may be limited due to exams, but still, I will do my best!

*
 
Proposed plan B variant III - Bolshevik big kettle.

Immediate redeployments before this happens.
Of the 4 Homengun on the Chinese border, one strengthen the Northern Mongolian army and one moves to nearest harbour to be shipped to the north eastern Korean harbour.



Premisses of the plan
- reaction to a Soviet attack.
- before they are at war with anyone else.
- that they have a substantial deployment in the east.
- we have at least 10 Homengun to our disposal, else to go variant II the middle kettle.


The Eastern part is a variant of the 1905 plan just on a much bigger scale.

planbfirstdraft.jpg


The operation is planned to cut off the whole far east Soviet military district and annihilate all troops there while keeping any reinforcement back in the western part of the theatre.

Soviet operations
A steady stream of reinforcements from the west.
The soviet fleets from the west will also travel here like in 1905 so we should be prepared to intercept them before they hit us.

Emergency budget
- fully fund reinforcement for mobilization.
- financed by underfunding new build.

Initial operations
Landing at all northern harbours to deny any supply there.
- Amendment leave Kommandorsky Island free for a time until all Soviet fleets are gathered there, incl. Baltic and Balck Sea.
No opposed landing as we need the fleets for follow up landings operations.
The extra Korean Homengun invades the northern harbour.
The Taiwan army invades north Sakhalin.
The homengun building up in Japan helps either of these.

Western armies move west as fast as possible to cover the operations back.

Navy
- Transport to invasions.
- Surface group cover of beaches and transports.
- Destroy the Soviet far east fleet asap.
- Opportunity for a fleet ambush in the Singapore straights of the Black Sea and Baltic fleets.

Phase 2 - cutting off supply
Close the kettle.
Also start moving on Vladivostok.

Phase 3 - splitting the kettles
Split in 2 and take Vladivostok if we didn't in P2.

Phase 4 - crush pockets.

Phase 5 - profit
 
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Addendum:
The green dot is a proposed airport to support the further advance west.
In the initial phases all Soviet airports in the east are captured as secondary objectives.
 
The forces are designed to not be greater than can be supplies, 3 in the south from Hainan and Canton f.ex. The main reason to land them in the south first is to draw units away from Shanghai and Nanjing when we are landing there. Having 3 homengun at one time at the south also gives the opportunity to surround the Chinese between Hainan and Canton.
I have also now had the opportunity to test a single scenario with this setup and it seems to work, only the southern attack needs to push much more to the north to trigger the collapse.

General Surt, is this taking into account hostilities with all Chinese factions? Your political activities seemed to have aimed to eleminate at least one of them to force them to split forces.
I agree to your proposed landing plan. We should still ship the Homengun in individual fleets, though. Furthermore, I would suggest to use ships from the reserve to form small detachments in the adjactend sea zones, so our transport fleets will not get surprised before they can launch their landing operations and thus be protected by proper fleet elements. These detachments should consist of 1-2 cruisers and 2-4 destroyer squadrons. I don't expect them to see any serious action, but it's better to be sure than sorry, no point in taking unneccassery risks.

Regarding the plans vis a vis Russia, I agree. However, the Taiwan Homengun will not be needed in the initial stage. It would be available for deployment in the immediate vincinity of Vladivostok which could mean that we take this port in the initial phase already, IF we do have level 1 port ready to deploy.

IJA wishes regarding the positioning of our CV fleets can be taken into account, too. Since the navy does not assume that either the Chinese or the Russians have significant naval assets available, the CAGs can be used for ground support or air interdiction.
 
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Final Plan of the Imperial Japanese Army
[DRAFT PENDING FULL APPROVAL]

General note, this is very much a continuation of the previous plan.

Status:

General Surt [SN] – Approved
General Comm Cody [SS] – Pending approval

Admiralty Stamp of Approval On Homeland Affairs and Naval Research - Pending Additions


I.
Our general major strategy should be to seek 'Great Power' status (200+ IC) over the next few years via actions in China and factory construction, then onto ‘super Power’ (350 IC) status.

Currently at 122IC (+ ~40 from china so 38 to go.

II. Diplomacy
1.a Continue to support our party in the Warlord cliques Yunnan in western China
1.b Lower the Warlord cliques Guangxi neutrality in western China
1.c Seek to, and repeatedly envoy Guangxi/Yunnan to sign a military alliance as they become threatened by the Kuomintang, and come to the axis corner if at “maybe” status.
2.Break the Naval Treaties.
2.Stop using spies on the UK as long as we are not on 10 spies in all our target.
3. When our 4 targets are up to 10, and we have 5 free spies, cut down spies LS to 0.4, put 1 in officers and the rest in research. Increase leadership to 1 if we don't have 10 spies in each and not 5 free spies.
4. Keep 0.1 LS in diplomacy for trade and embargoes.
5. Sign the Anti-Comintern Pact.
6. Accept the Emperors offer of cancelling supplies imports. So our negotiators can accept offers for our good and we can balance the budget.
7. When our neutrality is no longer a problem support our unity.

III. Production
1.a Continue the current factory constructions, Replace as and when they are finished by new ones. Navy has Approved.
2.a Repeat build of 2/3xGar as reserve until all the following are properly garrisoned;

-Any port in mainland Japan, ie. where you can walk to from Tokyo, should have 3xGar(+Art)*.
-Any port on the Asian mainland should have 2xGar, including incompetent puppets ports.
-Any other pacific port should get 2xGar
-Any size 10 port should get 3xGar+(art)*, (that should be Truk and Kaohsiung on Taiwan).
-Any additional Garrisons to be formed to placed along the Soviet border

*2.b.I Build the pure garrisons first. Artillery should be constructed separately as a new stream to speed up garrison training. Artillery can be sited later, and individual garrisons can train with their guns while on site.

CLAUSE 3. Build artillery to fill our infantry in the proportion 2 art:1 AAA:1 AT
CLAUSE 3b. Keep building 2xinf of 2 inf brigades. (building 3 art types should keep up), this should give us an full Homengun each year.
CLAUSE 3b. Start building heavy fighters one at a time.

4. Underfunding the upgrades is deadly for the navy as the ships wont be able to stop air attacks and convoy attacks if AAA and ASW are not kept up to date. The army is calculating with spending 5IC on its upgrade as average over the year.

5. Increase reinforcement to 0.75 to keep up with attrition. Balance with supplies.

6. Budget will approximately be 40IC for upgrades+reinforcements+supplies and 82IC for production and 0(zero) for CG, total 122.
6a. Of the 82IC for production 20 IC is used on new factories, leaving 62 IC
6b. Of the remaining 62 IC the army is currently using ~16IC on arts, ~21IC on Inf totally ~37 IC, gradually cutting this down to 10 IC on art-types and 5 IC on infantry and starting a heavy fighter at 12 IC for a total of 27IC. This should bring us to 64 divisions in 8 Homengun at the end of '37, and 10 Homengun at the end of '38.
6c. Navy is currently using 27IC on a BB and convoys.
6d. Imperial clerks might calculate differently.

7. Emergency war budget in case of war with china will change it little, only we need approximately 10xGarx2 extra to guard ports.

8. An escalated war with the Soviets would need substantial investment in infrastructure, namely expansion of the northern ports including Toyahara on Sakhalin, and some rail going west from Sakhalin. Building a mobile airfield gets first priority.
8b. 5xGarx2 will be needed to garrison ports.

9. An undetermined number of MPx2+garx1 is needed to guard valuable resources, for example the 3 large rare provinces in south china.


IV.
The IJA propose a 'research priority list'. I will separate it into three sections; Army, Naval and Homeland Affairs. Technologies at the top of each list are the highest priority.
"&" represents alternate between both programs.

This list will need to be updated every cabinet meeting, changing year, techs or processes. The list will be intended to require slightly more research programs than we can truly fund, such that as some projects are completed others can be started on.

Techs should be allocated by one from each sector, until total research capacity is filled. ---> research projects still retain tenure in the list until date is met. This means that we have recognised them as a long term investment than a single cycle tech now.

No ahead of time except:
*If a tech is before the year by less then a month (e.g. it is Dec '36, but the tech is a '37 tech (ie. 1 month before time), still begin research for competitive advantage)
Techs marked with + are new relative to the last half year, 2 doctrines.

Note: Homeland Affairs will need Navy ratification.

Homeland Affairs
Industrial Efficiency*
Industrial Production *
Supplies Production
Repair Workshops
Fighter Defence doctrine & Interception Tactics & Central Fighter Command Structure

Supply throughput*
Supply Cost*
Rare Materials*
Combat radios
Education*
Radar*(only first *)

IJA
The rapid expansion of the army has led to the diminishing officers ration of 112%, the navy's production of marines is as of yet not a serious drain but further expansion would be a problem.
It was the army's expectation that 2.25 leadership in officers should have been enough to secure a 130% rating at the end of '38 and that the 0.25 LS from spies (while all 4 targets are at 10 spies) should insure we had more, but we might want to increase that by another 0.25 LS.

Manportable AT
Officers & Infantry Training & Artillery Training & security (security added in case we occupy some territory)
Small Arms*
Artillery Barrel & Artillery Sights

Offensive Support Weapons
Timed artillery+
Independent tank units+
Arctic Warfare Equipment
AT Barrel & AT Sights & AA Barrel & AA Sights
Defensive Support Weapons
Ftr Ground Crew Training & Ftr Pilot Training (either as as good as either)
AC armour & Gun
CAS Ground Crew Training & Ftr Pilot Training
Central Air Command Structure & Communication Line Interdiction.

Should there be any left over slots after all the above is up to date:
L.Arm Gun 2 & Reliability 2 & Engine 2 & Truck Engine.
- Level 2 to open for medium armour and thereby for TD.


IJN
See navy's posts.

V.
Fill Homengun as described in the organization post.

If there are missing support units take them from the cavalry, should be enough AC to supplement the art and eng.


2.c Army groups can now be flexible filled with 1-4 of these. With surplus armies waiting to be filled.

3. The 7 Cav divisions of 2xCav should receive a AC to beef them up a little until we got Inf divisions that needs them. Organized in 2 corps in the Moukogo Homengun.

4. We don't expect any possibility to ally with the warlords in 2nd half year

5. Any plan of attack that doesn't secure us the 50 rares in south China is not a very good plan.

6. Deployment orders are against all possibilities. Only full Homengun are considered, a single none complete Homengun is kept in Nagasaki Japan. We currently have 77 inf so we are in front of our expected numbers of 72 in mid '38 and 80 at the time of war with China. Now it looks like we can get to 88 at the end of '38.
6a. The current deployment looks fine except the forces on the north china border where one Homengun should join the north western Homengun and another one should be redeployed to the north eastern Korean port.
6b. In case of imminent war with China the northern Homengun will start redeploying to invasion ports for shipping south, leaving the cav and gar and 2 Homengun to guard our back.

7. For reference only. Any attack will be according to Plan B III or Plan C against the Soviets and Chinese respectively.
7a. Two plans are options at the moment, plan C - attack on China, plan B - attack on or by the Bolsheviks.
7b. Taiwan - Kaohsiung 1x Homengun, Plan A for use against Canton, when war with China is imminent reinforce to 3x Homengun. Plan B reinforce against Vladivostok then reserve.
7c. Hamhung and Sapporo each 1x Homengun, for invasion in the Soviet rear areas in case of war with the Soviets. Invades in or next to the 3 northern mainland ports, Ulya, Okha and Nikolayevsk, the Komandorskiye to be taken by any marine or free inf in Japan. Northen attack toward Huma, Okha homengun toward nearest Manchu border. Plan C take in case of imminent war to Taiwan for the Canton Ichigun.
7d. Moukogu Gun with the 2 divs of 7 cav along the Mongol border. Plan C Stays here in case of war with China, Plan B attack west into Mongolia.
7e. Northwest Manchukuo 1x Homengun. In case of war with the Soviets strike north and join up with the Homengun going south-west from Ulya. Plan C to Nagasaki for Shanghai.
7f. Kita-Shina Ichigun 2x Homengun, the allotted and minimum on this front. C+B.
7g. West Northwest, the 7th Homengun finished goes here. Plan B cover the flank for the the advance to Ulya by attacking toward Irkutsk. Plan C to Nagasaki for Shanghai.
7h. Northeaster Machukuo 8th finished Homengun. Plan B hold flank by offensive operations. Plan C to Nagasaki for Shanghai.
7i. 9th Homengun, plan C Qingdao, Plan B Vladivostok if needed else Mongolia/Irkutsk if we got supplies.
7j. 10th Homengun reserve.

VI.
1. All leaders will keep their current rank with the following exceptions.
2. Any leader with skill 5 will immediately be promoted to Ichigun command, if too many demote worst to Homengun.
3. Any leader with skill 4 with positive traits will command Homengun.
4. Any leader with relic trait will only lead gar and reserves at their current level, promote as needed.
5. Gars will generally not have leaders unless they are in front lines.
6. Leaders should command appropriate units. Armour for our L.Arm f.ex. Marine for Marine.

ps.
Japan got many leaders that start with skill 1 that can gain at least 4 levels, among them the original armour leader and the skill 1 Homengun general (Nishio (sp?))
 
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