Cybvep, I seriously doubt that anything will be added to the current line of thoughts. For me, you can start updating right now.
It's much more complicated than that. It's pointless to hope for something that's unachievable, which can lead only to disappointment and lower the morale. It's better not to hope and act instead as hope is... well, hope - something that we wish to happen, not a hard fact we can relay on while making decisions determining our future. You can't just lose hope and stop fighting, although some individuals might do so, when you're surrounded with enemies who wish your demise. There is no reason to not fight back, even if this might be pointless. Perfect example are Germany, who fought literally to the very end.
China is one big problem. But hopefully they've overextended themselves now. An attack from the North may work? 17 CVL-s by the USN? Holy crap...
Surely you meant 16 CVLs and 1 CV? Apparently Admiral Baltasar is not extremely worried about them.Just what I thought! I've seen a 48 destroyer stack in a US port once that made me gulp, but 12CVLs...well new record there!
Sea Lion doesn't sound likely. However, since the British are having trouble with the Italians in North Africa, the Axis may achieve sth there if the Spanish support them.If Franco takes Gibralter then the Axis might not be too bad afterall...but if the Brits and South Africans breakout of Gibralater than europe will be liberated in months. It's a really big pivot point for HPP. However the only ever Sea Lion I've ever seen with HPP was when the Spainish entered for the Axis, so who knows...If the Nazis go down in a blaze of fire with England, then we have a free reign in the Pacific