I feel like a pophet of doom now...
1.
Whoever says GER/Axis have the "initiative" now is wrong!
The Axis now has several options to go down bravely - fighting and kicking hard though.
Hopefully giving us a nailbiting read.
They have exactly 0 (as in zero) chance of winning this round of the Carnage series.
2.
The reasons are:
a.) Due to the early US entry they will be seriously outproduced from the next year on.
b.) The Allies dominate the sea in the European theatre. Within a short time the Allies can free up more than 3/4 of the RN and USN for the Pacific breaking the IJN by sheer numbers.
(and the rest can easily continue to conduct and support landings all over Europe without serious opposition.)
c.) Axis will be hard pressed to even take back Mainland ITA with a frontline often only 3 provinces wide and very defensible terrain.
Against veteran ENG troops - especially as the BEF is now free to roam.
d.) ITA has lost Sicily, Sardinia and Korsica + half of its Mainland. If the Allies use all these Airbases and join the RAF and the USAF on the task they can be a real pain for the Axis while Stratboming from all directions to keep the Luftwaffe away from the Russian front.
e.) There is no indication that Russia will be cut off in the Balkans soon (or at all). The screenshots we have show Russia owning the very defensible Terrain of Romania and neutral Hungary to the north.
-> The Axis will first have to get there and the clock is ticking against them.
It would only get dangerous if GER leaves ITA to fend for its miserable self and use all its strength to cut down around Hungary through Ukraine.
Which would gain them what?
Russian and Allied troops would still be supplied via Turkey.
All in all it will be interesting to see if GER and JAP have any aces up their sleeves. If not the future looks bleak...
@Captain Easy
Thank you - and your in-laws - for this long and very interesting update!
1.
Whoever says GER/Axis have the "initiative" now is wrong!
The Axis now has several options to go down bravely - fighting and kicking hard though.
Hopefully giving us a nailbiting read.
They have exactly 0 (as in zero) chance of winning this round of the Carnage series.
2.
The reasons are:
a.) Due to the early US entry they will be seriously outproduced from the next year on.
b.) The Allies dominate the sea in the European theatre. Within a short time the Allies can free up more than 3/4 of the RN and USN for the Pacific breaking the IJN by sheer numbers.
(and the rest can easily continue to conduct and support landings all over Europe without serious opposition.)
c.) Axis will be hard pressed to even take back Mainland ITA with a frontline often only 3 provinces wide and very defensible terrain.
Against veteran ENG troops - especially as the BEF is now free to roam.
d.) ITA has lost Sicily, Sardinia and Korsica + half of its Mainland. If the Allies use all these Airbases and join the RAF and the USAF on the task they can be a real pain for the Axis while Stratboming from all directions to keep the Luftwaffe away from the Russian front.
e.) There is no indication that Russia will be cut off in the Balkans soon (or at all). The screenshots we have show Russia owning the very defensible Terrain of Romania and neutral Hungary to the north.
-> The Axis will first have to get there and the clock is ticking against them.
It would only get dangerous if GER leaves ITA to fend for its miserable self and use all its strength to cut down around Hungary through Ukraine.
Which would gain them what?
Russian and Allied troops would still be supplied via Turkey.
All in all it will be interesting to see if GER and JAP have any aces up their sleeves. If not the future looks bleak...
@Captain Easy
Thank you - and your in-laws - for this long and very interesting update!