Moshi, Moshi, Comrade Stalin-sama!
Warm and sincere greeting from the Land of the Rising Sun! I come bearing offers and proposals that I hope you will find most pleasing.
“The time has come," the Walrus said,
"To talk of many things:
Of shoes--and ships--and sealing-wax--
Of cabbages--and kings--
And why the sea is boiling hot--
And whether pigs have wings."
A pivotal moment has arrived in world affairs. The time has come to write history with lightning.
Through close collaboration the Soviet Union and the Empire of Japan can overturn the existing world order and lay the foundations of joint hegemony over Asia, Europe, the Pacific and the Atlantic.
Allow me to speak frankly so that I may address and lay to rest the initial difficulties that may stand in the way of Soviet-Japanese harmony.
The Soviet Union is naturally concerned with the ongoing Sino-Japanese struggle. If Japan were to triumph quickly and totally in China there might be cause for concern in Moscow. Japan, with the resources of China, would be a formidable adversary for the Soviet Union.
However, there is another, far graver, danger to the Soviet Union, a danger that is seldom given the consideration it warrants: the total victory of the Chinese and the Allies over Japan.
Consider for a moment: Japan is both a land and naval power. I cannot neglect either sphere without risking catastrophe. Japan has a modest reserve of MP. Japan is resource poor and needs to expand into the Pacific and perhaps India just to fuel the economy. Japan would be illserved by using its limited resources to conquer wholly empty Siberian wastelands.
Contrast this with China, a nation that can only and ever be a land power. China will never waste a single IC on ships or aircraft. And China has the endless MP to build an army equal in size to the Soviet Red Army. A unified China has almost as many IC’s as Japan and can eventually far eclipse the Japanese economy when US lend-lease events are added to the picture. I shudder to imagine China should they ever acquire the ICs of Manchuria and Korea as well. And China’s economy, thanks to the largess of the UK and the US, will never be hampered by resource constraints.
Where would China turn if the threat of Japan were to disappear? Nationalist China will not be kindly disposed to your potential ally, Communist China. It is also not too hard to imagine the endless Chinese hordes turning against the Soviet Union. You may find this scenario fanciful. But there is one thing that is certain: at the end of the game all of the VP provinces of China will be added to the Allies.
The Soviet Union may or may not defeat Germany. But even if the Soviets defeat Germany, the Allies will defeat the Soviet Union once Nationalist China is added to the final calculations. If the Allies, in their beneficence and might, decide to spare the Soviet Union and focus on Germany, you still lose. If Japan is defeated the Allies can use China’s massive army in any way they please. If the Allies make the best use of China’s army, who do you think will be in Paris, Berlin, Warsaw, Belgrade, Budapest first? You? Or the innumerable units of the combined UK/US/Chinese army?
Allow me, the Emperor of Japan to offer an alternative to this rather disagreeable outcome.
Instead of China tipping the scales in favor of the Allies against the Soviet Union, what if Japan were to tip the scales in favor of the Comintern against the Allies?
Here is my proposal:
To give the Soviet Union peace of mind in the Far East I will commit to maintaining the balance of power in Asia between the Soviets and Japan.
1) I am skeptical that Japan can finish off China before the UK/US comes to its aid and stalls my offensives. If, as I expect, China and Japan fight each other to a standstill, all the better for Stalin. You won’t have much to worry about a surprise attack from me if half my army is bogged down.
2) In the unlikely event that I do manage to defeat Nationalist China, I propose to divide China between my puppet state and the Chinese Communists. My puppet state will take about 2/3s of Chinese territory while Comrade Mao can have the other 1/3 in the former territory of Xibei San Ma and Sinkiang. This would give the SU a large and mountainous bulwark and once again provide security if you still suspect Japan is going to attack you.
If we can come to an arrangement this would allow me to run wild in the Pacific and maybe even India/Australia. I’ll seize all the VPs and resources I can. At some later date, whenever it would be best for you, I could join the Comintern. This would add all Japan’s VPs to the final tally. An alliance with Japan also offers other enormous advantages.
In the late game, one huge edge the Allies have over the SU is the sheer mass of naval tonnage at their disposal. Without a first class navy the Soviet Union’s power projection is limited. You can attack Europe and important parts of the British Empire but on your own you can never threaten the heart and vitals of the Allies. With naval superiority the Allies have the ability to carry the fight to you. If Japan is in your corner then you get a splendid navy at your beck and call.
The Allies cannot hope to compete against our combined industrial and territorial might. The Allies might well surrender in the face of these hopeless odds. And if they didn’t we could simply crush them.
In return for the abundance of advantages and help I have offered and for maintaining the balance of power in Asia, I would like Japan to be able to join the Comintern by 1942 or 1943, or by the time you felt comfortable with being at war with the Allies.
I also request that in the interim the Soviet Union provide Japan with the resources it needs to fund its economy. Mostly rare materials. But oil is also important so I can expand my fleet and have any hope of operating it for extended periods when war comes to the Pacific. I’d also appreciate some small amounts of energy and metal. Naturally, I’d like all of this gratis, but I’d be willing to pay a fair price in either money or supplies for access to your resource market.
I hope my proposals meet with approval of the Great Stalin-sama.