• We have updated our Community Code of Conduct. Please read through the new rules for the forum that are an integral part of Paradox Interactive’s User Agreement.
I suspect the whole debacle is going to look similar to the Fall of France in our 1940. Something about German political instability, reluctance to intervene as their expansionist neighbour ran roughshod over Western Europe, completely uninspiring command of their forces...
Except that their war effort up to the "black day" was not a drôle guerre like in 1940 OTL, but a massive conflagration of attrition battles all along the front, and then that spectacular push towards Paris. The German army war giving it everything they had, wasn't it?

I would expect that Poland is going to see huge draft riots now. And massive agitation from the Polish syndicalists to overthrow the bourgeois Kaiser's lackeys and join the war on the winning side. (You can trust the Poles to cheer, when France beats Germany!)

As for the POWs: The French might actually be doing them a favor. Almost everything is better than an overcrowded prison camp, regardless of whose army is running the camp. (Google "Rheinwiesenlager" for an account of how even in the POW camps of a humanely led and well-provisioned army, like the US Army, tens of thousands of POWs died from starvation, exposure and dehydration.)

I can certainly imagine worse fates, than having to work on a French farm collective farm, spending the days in the fields, and the nights in the farmers' wives' beds. Under socialism, you share everything, right? :D
 
In the end, there could be only one true bulwark against the Red Menace - Mother Russia, but damn, it's sad to see those Germans crushed. Then again it's all their own fault for trying to fight the Second Weltkrieg alone and with the First's weapons.

Still... RIP
 
Well, if the USSR just went "BAH ALL IS LOST" in our timeline, I wouldn't be speaking French today, but German :laugh:
 
Chapter 123: Die Wacht Am Rhein


Taken from 'War said:


For the Germans, absolute confusion defined the last week of October, into the first days of November. In Berlin and regional capitals, rumours and counter rumours spread like a virulent disease. Some believed that the Poles had betrayed the German divisions at the front, others claimed (rightly as it would later turn out) that red sympathisers in the German army had betrayed their nation to the reds. Others charged that it was simply incompetence on the part of the high command and Emperor that had brought the nation to this point.

What all parties could agree on was that the scale of what had just occurred. The field army had been all but destroyed. Relentless syndicalist air raids were bleeding the luftstreitkrafte (though they were paying a heavy price in return) and the red tide was rolling towards the Rhine. In Berlin and the regional capitals protests and recriminations began, along with a desperate attempt to return some order to the situation.

Those efforts would be continually hampered by the guerrilla actions of T.E Lawrence and his commandos. Defying the expectation that they would remain near the front and support the French advance, Lawrence instead dove further into German, wreaking havoc on German communications and industrial targets as he went. There seemed to be little military logic underlying the movements of the British raiders, their targets seemed too random. They did however add to the fear and confusion that was already rising among the German population, and in this way prolonged the shock caused by the encirclement of the field army.


In so far as the civilian population was shaken, the German General Staff were even more so. The collapse of the offensive seemed impossible. Several suicides among responsible officers followed the news and more than a few officers came close to blows as recriminations were traded immediately after the news finally made its way through to Berlin. For the most part though, these actions were anomalies.

The German Army had suffered horribly in the field, but the German General Staff survived, and it responded in the way an institution convinced of its own victorious destiny and world beating skills could have been expected to do so.

The Staff mimicked their French opponents in moving quickly to pull together whatever emergency formations they could in order to fortify the front. The Staff projected that French losses in particular were likely high and that the offensive could not be maintained indefinitely. Informed by their projections, the Staff developed a new strategy that envisioned a war that would now go on a far longer time, potentially as long as the First Weltkrieg. The new strategy was to hold the red offensive along the Rhein River, a symbolic border as well as a significant defensive territorial feature. If the reds could be held along those waters, long enough for the domestic political situation to quieten and winter to well and truly set in, the Staff hoped that Germany’s industrial and demographic strength might be able to patch together a force capable of holding and even grinding back the red forces in 1940 or 1941. That was the long term plan. First, the Rhine had to be held.


In fighting this desperate action, the German army found itself drawing on an eclectic range of forces. Second line units, particularly foreign units, found themselves gathered up to stabilise the front along Germany’s sacred border.

Following the collapse of German control in China, those members of the local population that had served in the AOG armed forces or in the civil administration often faced reprisals by the victorious KMT. Driven by this fear, real or imagined, collaborators would flee en masse into Germany’s remaining Chinese colonial territories.

With the situation in Europe growing direr, a number of these units would be transferred to the European mainland to provide labour support for frontline German units. Those that supported the plan also contended that men who had stayed faithful through a revolution of their own people would be unlikely to bend or defect in the face of revolutionary action in Europe. And so it was that entire divisions of Chinese soldiers found themselves wearing feldgrau behind the battlelines of Europe

With the sudden collapse of the German Grand Offensive, Field Marshal von Falkenhausen, hero of the Chinese Intervention, pulled his old charges together into a makeshift command. His 33rd Corps was an eclectic collection. His best units were two German divisions, but he also absorbed a polish division and three Chinese formations.


More Chinese troops would serve under General von Witzleben and 34th Corps. Witzleben’s best formation was actually Polish rather than German, fully equipped with artillery and a brigade of cavalry. While an undercurrent of suspicion towards the Poles ran throughout the German forces in the chaotic aftermath of the Syndicalist breakthrough, Witzleben, like many other German Generals, had little choice but to trust the troops of the last true Mitteleuropan ally. While Poland itself might be increasingly wracked with unrest, draft riots and clashes between various political factions, the Polish troops at the front non the less continued to fight with professionalism and vigour.


As the Germans gathered together an army of battered and eclectic defenders, the Internationale regrouped and pushed on. French infantry and tanks rolled forward, supported by Spanish and Italian aviators and a small British contingent. The French High Command was determined to capitalise on the surge in morale following the relief of Paris and the sudden vulnerability of their opponents. Little heed was given to the fact that winter was now setting in. The French had been preparing the equipment necessary for a winter campaign and so they pushed their troops forward regardless of the falling temperatures. By the 4th of November, French troops had made contact with the German defenders along the Rhein River and occupied a significant portion of the predominantly Francophone province of Alsace Lotheringen.


As the red forces advanced they proclaimed that they came as defenders of a world proletarian revolution. They declared that they served no master but the global working class and came not to destroy Germany but to save its people.

One must wonder if it was unity of the working class that informed the decisions of the Commune’s leadership to formally annex the long independent Duchy of Luxembourg as an integral part of the French Commune. Certainly if there were objections voiced by the Luxembourgish workers, they went unheard against the backdrop of artillery fire, grinding tank treads and the first biting howls of the winter winds.

 
  • 2Like
Reactions:
That's a lot of Imperial troops on the border with Poland. . .

Good update by the way!
 
I think the Germans might want to start learning French, and fast...
 
Chapter 124: A Crisis Viewed from Afar.

Imperial Council,
Sankt Petersburg



The Imperial council was charged with energetic argument as suggestions fired back and forth across the room. The news of the sudden shift in Europe had caught everyone off guard. A week ago most of the talk among the upper echelons of power had regarded rumours of the Emperor’s new dancer or the next phase of his intensive overhaul of Russia’s education system. Now things had changed, markedly, and Marshal Markov up a hand in a sign of objection. “The army is not prepared to countenance any such intervention. We’ve just released large numbers of men for leave, they’re scattered as far abroad as Siberia. We’ve begun a grand reorganisation of just about every combat unit and half the air-force is grounded for overhaul maintenance after intensive tropical service. It will be months before we’re in a position to embark on another limited conflict, let alone a general campaign to aid the Germans in Europe.”

The young and fiery Minister Gumilev didn’t passively accept the rebuke. “With respect Marshall, Is it truly your opinion that our strategic situation would be improved by a red block extending from San Francisco to Warsaw?”

Markov stood his ground. “With respect Minister, such a situation is far from imminent, and the army is simply not in the position to conduct such a campaign even if it were.”

“Your forces have just performed miracles Marshall, the citizens of Jerusalem and Constantinople would proudly attest to that fact.”

Markov matched the praise with a sour, sarcastic tone. “The forces of the French Commune also appear to be in the business of miracles Minister, as the better part of a million German and Polish prisoners would no doubt attest.”

“None the less Marshal, with Austria announcing partial mobilisation, we clearly have an opportunity.” The rest of the council elected to hold back, watching the young Minister attempt to outmanoeuvre the world’s pre-eminent expert on manoeuvre warfare.

“I was of the understanding that your department suggested that the Austrian mobilisation was a purely defensive response to the presence of half the red Italian army on their border, as well as the sudden developments in Germany. The formation of a volunteer legion is clearly an attempt to aid Germany without triggering an entry into the war. And if they haven’t entered yet, one can hardly expect them to do so later.”


Lev decided to make one last pass, not yet willing to give up his call for an immediate military response to the red victories in Europe “My report, Marshall, also made clear that the Austrian position may change if we enter the war and are able to score clear victories in the field.”

Enough thought Vladimir.

“I had a meeting with the Japanese Foreign Minister.” Vladimir kept his tone neutral as he changed the subject, not wanting to contaminate the first reactions of his council with any signals in his voice. “Minister Yoshida was extremely gracious and expressed Japan’s deep empathy with our concern over the recent developments in Europe. He expressed his belief that there is a danger that Germany may well fall to Syndicalism, particularly given that both the Internationale and Entente are arrayed against it. As such, he announced that his Government is prepared to accelerate our technical exchange program, and that the Japanese military will commence an immediate partial mobilisation, in case their region requires stabilisation in the near future."

Ivan Taube, commander of Russia’s Imperial Air Force nodded firmly in affirmation “Your Majesty demonstrated great foresight in establishing Japan as an ally. I must admit the Air Force has been surprised by the extent of Japanese cooperation to date, they have been remarkably faithful as allies.”

Markov considered rescuing his subordinate from the mire he had just dug himself into. Instead, he waited for Dimitri Pavlovich to drop the axe. After a few seconds of silence, Russia’s President did exactly that.

Staring directly at Kokovtsov, the elderly Security Minister that had served through the Russo Japanese war, more than three decades before. “Threat?” enquired Dimitri bluntly.

“A threat, albeit a kind one” replied Kokovtsov, offering a minor nod in agreement.

Taube just looked confused but was reluctant to follow up without a signal from Markov, he held his tongue and waited for the sudden rebuttal to be explained. Markov hurried the process along, posing a direct question to the head of Imperial Intelligence, Alexander Kazakov. “What does our intelligence say on the matter?”

Kazakov, as was his way, leafed through a number of documents as he responded, checking details as he went. “The populations is generally supportive, and prepared for a war. From what we understand, the Japanese will probably be enacting what we’ve termed mobilisation plan J3, they’ve given it a rather more oriental code name which I shan’t attempt to pronounce. That means a general preparation for expeditionary warfare in the East Asian and Pacific region, without the activation of their home defence units or many of their more disruptive wartime practices. ”

“With their intentions being?”

“Japan’s intention has always been the extension of its Empire in Asia, particularly through the assimilation of German colonies in the region, J3 seems the likely prelude to that. I imagine that is what they are intending to do as soon as they are confident German power in Europe collapses.”


“And if, Alexander Alexandrovich, we were to somehow stabilise the German military situation in Europe, and in so doing bring ourselves into a state of war with the Internationale and Entente?” Dimitri let a dark timbre sneak into his voice, a reflection of his coldly admiring appraisal of the Japanese diplomatic move.

“Every Japanese war plan we’ve been able to compromise suggests that the seizure of German colonies in Asia is a necessity for Japan’s long term military and economic security. Were we to ally with Germany, they would instead find themselves defending those colonies for no possible gain on their part. I imagine the military there would push for a diplomatic adjustment, followed by aggressive military action.”

“Meaning?“ Pressed Dimitri, already knowing where his own instincts lead him on the matter.

“I have little in the way of human intelligence to confirm it, but from the technical sources, I’d suggest an alignment towards Chicago as the only potential alternative economic partner, followed by a rapid seizure of all German territories in the Asia-Pacific. If they estimate that any alliance with Germany would require we resist on behalf of Berlin, they may also chose to undertake pre-emptive action against our ability to project power in the region.”

“Which” confirmed Admiral Berrens “is, thanks to our treaties, more or less limited to a small combined arms station in Vladivostok. They could scuttle our fleet in harbour and be well along the trans-Siberian before we could appropriately respond.”

“It worked” mused Kokotsov, “well enough the last time they did so.”


Taube looked outraged and about to unleash a number of unfavourable words towards the Japanese he had described only a minute earlier as honourable. Fortunately for the tenor of the meeting, the Emperor chose that moment to weigh in.

“The Japanese are fine allies.” He stated it calmly, seeking to take the edge off the dark and jaded tone Dimitri had introduced into the meeting. “They have traded fairly, allowed us an exceptionally free hand in Asia and supported us diplomatically and technically in campaigns in regions that are truly of no interest to them. I understand a number of Japanese observers and aircraft participated in our push to Jerusalem. I find it hard to fault their conduct thus far.” He brought both of his hands together in consideration. “They know that they are facing down Chicago on our behalf, and that threat is only going to grow with time. I’m also convinced that they see the threat from Syndicalism.”

Vladimir took a moment, seeking to demonstrate confidence by his relaxed speaking pace, a far cry from the brutal lightening debates he had enjoyed at university. “However they suffered a bad turn of fate, at the hands of the Manchurians, the Koreans, the Formosans and Kolchak. They are determined to regain some of what they have lost and improve their economic position. They have always believed that our alliance would eventually deliver them the German colonies. So long as they continue to believe that, they will be the best of allies.”

“If, however, that ceases to be the case, I fully expect that they will proceed in much the way that our chief of Intelligence suggests. That would leave us with our Eastern flank horribly exposed, not just to Japan but to Chicago as well as soon as they complete their conquest of the Continental United States. Even if we move troops and air-assets, we lack the fleet that would be required to effectively defend our Pacific theatre. I would also note that, technically, an alliance with Germany would mean war with Canada and the Entente, something which I will not countenance.”

Markov spoke up as the Emperor ceased his speech once more. “It should be remembered your Majesty, that as much as I do not believe out intervention could prevent the fall of Germany to Syndicalism, it is possible. I am all but certain however, that without our intervention, and with the Austrians unwilling to enter the war, Germany will fall.”

“I hope, Marshall, that the Winter and German steel will hold the reds, at least for a while. Given our diplomatic situation with Japan and the Entente however, I see no alternative but to supply the Germans as best we can and prepare for the worst.”

There was an uncomfortable silence in the room that dragged on for what seemed like an eternity. The priceless grand-father clock marked each second with a gentle but precise tick. Germany may have been the enemy of the first war, they had torn Russia apart and insisted on harsh reparations…but there were limits to those things one would wish, even upon ones enemies.

Dimitri found his voice, distaste for the situation hanging on his every word like a toxin. “I understand, as much as anyone here, those crimes that Germany committed during the first war. They fell upon Russia like vultures. But no matter how much they demanded, they never let us fall to the reds, and I remain convinced that we would not have achieved what we did in 36 or 37 without German aid.
No people, whatever their past crimes, deserve to be abandoned completely to the likes of Valois’ and his Sorelians.”



The room was silent again, deep emotions were held back as all waited for the Emperor’s response. It was whispered among some circles that Dimitri remained, to this day, among those politicians that regarded Germany as Russia’s most natural ally. Such an opinion seemed to make sense, given that the German alliance had been the linchpin of his Government’s foreign and reform policies. A quiet, ongoing tension existed between those that regretted the end of the German alliance, and those that supported the more independent and aggressive foreign policy that had defined the last months of Cyril’s rule and the entirety of Vladimir’s reign.

Of course those conflicts could only be proven to exist as whispered rumours, for the most part every sign pointed to Dimitri Pavlovich Romanov and Czar Vladimir as being an inseparable and seemingly infallible team at the head of the resurgent Russian Empire.

And yet, for a moment in time, the inner circle of Imperial Government watched as Russia’s two most powerful men appraised one other.

Vladimir placed a palm on the table….and nodded. “I tend to agree Dimitri. And it’s not just Germany, Poland is at stake as well.”

The tension in the room evaporated.

“Marshal Markov” called Vladimir.

“Your Majesty!” declared his Marshall, letting a little too much of his relief at the maintenance of unity between the Emperor and the President creep into his response.

“I understand that time is short, but with any luck, the German army and the winter will buy what time we need. I know we have discussed Case Plan Michael in the past. I want a timeline on its possible execution. Every asset required will be released to you and every preparation you deem necessary to that end is hereby authorised. An alliance with Germany may be out of the question, but that does not mean that we should not save what we can come Spring.”

The Emperor rose in from his seat, signalling the rest of the council to do the same.

The meeting was over, months worth of preparations would remain, but Russia’s next course of action was now decided.
 
Last edited:
  • 2Like
Reactions:
Germany may indeed be Russia's most "natural" ally. But Germany has to give up its pacific ambitions first, and return to the Europe-focused policies of the early, Bismarckian Empire. An ambitious German Empire that wants to be the world's superpower cannot possibly be the ally of a Russia that considers eastern Europe and the middle east its own turf, and would rather be a superpower of their own, with interests all over Asia.

When Russia is ready to enter the war on Germany's side, they have to make sure that the Germans first surrender their ambitions on everything east of Suez. Including their Pacific colonies. Germany can have Africa and they can dominate western Europe after the war, if they like, but they should give up their ambitions to rule the Pacific rim. Russia and Japan can then divide that region between them, and properly prepare the defence of Eurasia against the Syndicalist menace lurking on the other side of the Pacific.

Of course in the long run this may set up Russia to be attacked from two sides by a German-Japanese alliance. An unchecked German Empire that rules western Europe may find itself looking greedily at the oil of Russia and her client states. Western Europe is the most developed part of the world, rich in industries and talent, but it lacks resources. It is inevitable that an imperialist power in control of this region will eventually want to secure resources for itself, and this would with 100% certainty set them on a collision course with the Russians. The 1950s and 1960s are going to be the age of oil, and you can guess for yourself what that means for German-Russian relations. If Germany wins the war, it has to be checked in some way, so that it does not become a threat to Russia.

Also, an unchecked Japan that rules China and the Pacific rim is another long-term danger to Russia. At present, they are at war with the American Syndicalists and looking greedily at the German possessions, which means they aren't going to turn on Russia (except under the conditions discussed at His Imperial Majesty's war council). But even if their lust for German possessions is somehow satisfied without Russian involvement, there is nothing that says Japan's friendly disposition is set in stone forever. Japan may decide to propose peace to the Americans at some point, and where does that leave them and their imperial ambitions? China and the East Indies are one hell of a treasure trove of resources but you know how it goes with imperialist powers - their politicians always want more, and their militaries are always looking for new enemies to prove themselves against. Eventually Japan's greedy eyes will turn to the riches of Siberia and Central Asia which Russia controls. (A rather tenuous control, if you compare Russian population figures with those of a Japanese-dominated east Asia.) Japan, too, must be checked so that it does not become a threat to Russia.

From these considerations I would propose the following long-term priorities:
  • Russia must establish relations with one of the Chinese factions, and support the reunification of China under their aegis. (Does Russia in this AAR already have an interest in China? I don't remember...) Supporting the Qing might be nice from a pro-monarchist standpoint, but really it should be the Chinese Republicans in the south with whom Russia has the most in common. The Republicans are modernizers and support liberal values, and they don't carry the old imperialist and revanchist baggage of the Qing. Russia should not hurry to antagonize Japan (who may have designs of her own in China) but it should likewise not stand idly by if Japan looks set to establish imperialist rule over China. If push comes to shove, Russia should be prepared to ditch the Japanese alliance and ally with China against her. The best outcome for Russia would be to have China and Japan facing each other.
  • Germany must not be allowed to run roughshod over the western European syndicalists. In particular, France and England must not be turned into a German dependency. The Germans may be set to reduce France to perpetual servitude this time but that cannot be tolerated. Russian diplomats and agents should contact all the exiled French ruling houses, and support by all means the formation of exile armies and organizational cadres loyal to these ruling houses. When the time comes to carry the German-Russian war effort into France, one of them must be reinstated to the throne of France. Germany may demand compensations and receive them - that doesn't really matter, as long as France remains an independent power. The Nationalist French in the Entente alliance should somehow be made part of this effort, so that upon the conclusion of the European war the French in Africa can be reunited with the French metropolis.
  • The same holds for the British isles. Russia must make every effort to mediate a cease-fire and reconciliation between the Germans and the exiled British. Russia must at all cost work to reinstate the exiled British into their thrones, and thwart possible German efforts to install a regime of their own.
  • If it turns out to be impossible to mediate between the Entente and Germany, and if the Russian foreign service is unable to interest the exiled French monarchists in an alliance, then (god forbid) the Czar should actually be ready to halt the war against France and the Syndicalists BEFORE Germany can triumph over them. Cruel but true: It's better for Russia that France were ruled by a vile communist regime, than by a German puppet regime. Realpolitik 101.
 
Worst case scenario?

Russia invades Germany to save Germany, and leaves the rest of Europe to languish under Sorelian mismanagement.

Best case? Russia and Germany ally, and Japan keeps its nose out of Russian business. Germany is restored and the Syndicalist regime in France is resigned to the dustbin.
 
That would have a far, far more powerful name...which i'm still trying to think of.
Sounds to me that Michael's objective will be to secure poland, and any eastern states you haven't gotten ahold of yet. :p (I need to go back and look over to see the current map of Easter Europe.)

As for a powerful name, might I suggest Operation Saint George, for the saint who supposedly slayed a dragon? Seems fitting to me as the Syndies could easily be portrayed as a great dragon, gobbling up Europe and burning down civilization with red fire!
 
Are you going to right any custom events for the war, like the Germans agreeing to give up their East Asian possessions in return for intervention?
 
That said, the best case scenario doesn't look that viable right now. The game system would force Japan to stay in the alliance, but that just goes too far beyond the logical for me to accept it. Case Plan Michael is the current go, and it'll become clear in a few updates time exactly what it entails. If it works or not depends on what shape the Germans are in come Jan-Feb. I will say that Michael isn't the grand plan for a war against the Internationale that takes us all the way to Paris though.

That would have a far, far more powerful name...which i'm still trying to think of.

The last Russian Tsar to parade his troops through Paris was Alexander II. Though calling it Case Plan Alexander might make it a little obvious what it's about.
 
Brainstorming
Case Plan Kutuzov might be a nice name for a counter-French operation, rather than a general European one.
Case Plan Suvorov could be what we're looking for, if we're talking about unbridled military success...
Case Plan Nevskii... would make a good "expel the invaders" option, I bet. Hopefully it doesn't come to that! Except for story purposes...

It's been a heck of a ride. That Red Bloc looks like it rivals the uber-Germany from Democracy's Last Legs in terms of nasty opponents. Still... we just might see your long-term planning finally start to pay off. Uh, I hope so. Then again, it's rare that an AAR ends in horrible defeat, so it would at least be a nice twist!
 
Whatever the Case Plan's name is one thing, but it will be far more interesting to see how the Case Plan deals with the realities on the ground.
 
Whatever the Case Plan's name is one thing, but it will be far more interesting to see how the Case Plan deals with the realities on the ground.

Pure, unbridled hell. . .of the slightly organized sort.
 
If we get there (and I hope I manage to get us there) I'll consult heavily on the post war order. The part that nags at me though is that National France is A) Republican B) suffering badly against MittelAfrica, hardly a ringing endorsement of power and prestige. Also, Vladimir would want to meet DeGaul first. How do you think that would go?

IMHO this option while quite fun seems rather plain. For me France should stop all the wars she is pursuning ( I mean they went under the protection of the Russians so why would they continue a war the Tsar has no interest in ? ) and given the present situation I'd imagine that Vladimir would only negotiate with a Bourbon on the throne. Given that they are quite in danger I'd say that de Gaulle would accept the proposition ( return of French territories for leaving the Entente and putting Jean III on the throne ) but only if the monarchy is constitutionnal not an Autocrat ala Tsar. In my mind, it would be the best solution for Russia. I don't see Vladimir putting a relative on an empty throne far away from home. Yes Russia would gain access to French ressources and military but while the Alger regime exists, French would still have a reason to "liberate" their country. Moreover, it was the homeland of Syndicalism and a foreign monarch would be badly seen after the war. Total Occupation is out of the question ( WWII anyone ? :p ). And I don't think the Tsar would partition France nor Germany. It would only create problems in the future and he needs powerful allies against the CSA and UoB.
Sad there is no event for these two problems but well they'd be quite hard to write I presume.