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Hmm, I detect a pattern with this top of the page posting thing... so if people post really quickly perhaps Pippy will give us another update for the top of the next page!

Hey, how about it fellas? Worth a try? :)
 
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Current Situation; Doing overnight inspections of the HEX Tunnels all week. Consequently my body clock is deeply confused but I am only doing 5hrs work a day, or night rather. This bodes well for updatery.

Update Outlook; Terrible. I'm moving house this Friday/Saturday and thanks to the ineptitude of my ISP (but not BT who were strangely efficient) I will be sans interweb for a week or two.

Summary; I hope to sneak one out this week then it's nothing for a couple of weeks.

First a quick note to:
Duritz - Thanks for being top of this page, puts off my update for at least another 18 posts or so. :D

Haarken - The more keen eyed viewers will have noticed that the re-occupation of the Rhineland is already a month late. Historically it was 7th of March and we're already well into April. As I understand it the re-occupation was considered by everyone in Gemany, up to and including Hitler, a massive gamble when faced with an in-active Britain and France. So faced with an assertive UK that's already blocked the Anglo-German Naval Agreement it seemed unlikely Germany would take the risk. If circumstances change however.....

Jalex - Spooky timing indeed on your/my part.

GhostWriter - An intriguing plan but one perhaps beyond Eddie, never the sharpest political tool in the box that one.

Karelian - Continue? Of course! The South African situation is indeed tricky, to use the technical term, and will not remain confined to Africa for long.

caffran - Woot. :)

RAFspeak - If only it were so simple. *sigh*

scubadoobie2 - Sadly my plans are not quite as convoluted as that, at the moment anyway. One of the upsides of the long gestation period of these update is that the plot get rewritten (and hopefully refined) many times. For speculation as to the immediate future, consider other events of early 1936 and how they'll be changed by the war.
 
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El Pip said:
For speculation as to the immediate future, consider other events of early 1936 and how they'll be changed by the war.

Occupation of the Rhineland - with Britain and France pre- occupied by the Italian war, Hitler could be free to reoccupy the Rhineland without fear of reprisal

Spanish Elections - with Mussolini thoroughly defeated the nationalists will struggle to get their army/leaders into mainland Spain - a short civil war ending in victory for the Republicans

French Elections - as these are held after Tarranto et al the government would get a boost from that. But the left would equally get a boost from Spain's unsuccessful Right wing coup - up in the air.

Austria - with Mussolini out of the picture there is nothing stopping an early Anschluss as per 1934 attempt
 
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Derek Pullem said:
Occupation of the Rhineland - with Britain and France pre- occupied by the Italian war, Hitler could be free to reoccupy the Rhineland without fear of reprisal
Or Hitler will be worried about how a more active (Britain at least) entente would react and not take the risk.

Derek Pullem said:
Spanish Elections - with Mussolini thoroughly defeated the nationalists will struggle to get their army/leaders into mainland Spain - a short civil war ending in victory for the Republicans
Or without overt Fascist support the conflict becomes less polarised (at least internationally, internally Spain was deeply divided). As it is not the banner raising right vs left conflict there is less outside involvement

Derek Pullem said:
French Elections - as these are held after Tarranto et al the government would get a boost from that. But the left would equally get a boost from Spain's unsuccessful Right wing coup - up in the air.
Or as France was and has been spectacularly inactive there is no real boost and the government is paying the cost of doing nothing and not gaining the benefits of victory for France.

Derek Pullem said:
Austria - with Mussolini out of the picture there is nothing stopping an early Anschluss as per 1934 attempt
Or Mussolini, checked to the south and humiliated on the world stage will pull out all the stops to preserve what's left of the Italian sphere of influence.

Not all the 'Or' ones will happen nor will all of Derek's options. In fact a couple of those 'Or' options are deliberately misleading, I do want to preserve a few surprise for later on after all. ;)

There are also a few other global events in play that will not be unaffected by the war and its fall out.
 
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El Pip said:
Or without overt Fascist support the conflict becomes less polarised (at least internationally, internally Spain was deeply divided). As it is not the banner raising right vs left conflict there is less outside involvement

Not an expert on the times, but wouldn't that - if it happens - have all kinds of effects on the military training and preparedness of the various combatants?

I always had the vague sense that the Spanish Civil War was kind of the test run for much of what happened in WW2 and that people who paid attention then learned lessons that served them well in more pressing theaters...
 
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El Pip said:
Duritz - Thanks for being top of this page, puts off my update for at least another 18 posts or so. :D

Damn, hoisted on my own petard!!! :mad:
 
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Duritz said:
Damn, hoisted on my own petard!!! :mad:

You can do what I did last page - delete your post there and move it down the thread to your next one. Then he has no excuse ;)
 
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sounds like a lot of intrigue to come. bring it on mate.

later, caff
 
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So....

Any thoughts of an update soon?
 
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Just a little background I wait 18 months into an AAR to read it so that I wont join the annoying mass crying for an update.

18 months later I read the entire AAR in a single sitting and begin to join the crying mass calling for an update.
 
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Regrettably I can't update for a while yet. Still several posts from starting a new page and I do have a reputation to keep up. :D

Llywelyn - That had always been my impression as well, certainly there were lessons there for the learning. Having said that the same could be said of this timelines Abyssinian War, combined-arm attacks, marine operations and mechanised/armoured thrusts all featured. Many lessons to learn from that conflict as well if people are paying attention. ;)

Duritz - Mwwuhahaha!

caffran - Intrigue ago-go. Particularly in the next update, even if I do say so myself. :)

RAFspeak - We'll be sending you of too Westminster chaps, a few politicos getting their knickers in twists what what. :D

GeneralHannibal - Just polishing it up now and looking for a decent piccy. Then waiting for the correct post count to post it....

Baneslave - New poster (in this thread anyway) Woot!

náraiC - You've timed it as well as you can updatery will happen soonish.
 
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Darn, I thought this was an update :(.

Anyway, if we get to a new page you'll post, right?
 
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Jalex said:
I cannot believe you finally have an update and are withholding it :confused:

You are completely evil El Pip!
Not strictly true. It's not quite finished yet and, in truth, I don't actually have the heart to be that manipulative and evil to the readers of this forum. Everyone's been too supportive and enthusiastic.

It will be posted when it's finished, which is hopefully some time this afternoon.
 
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El Pip said:
Not strictly true. It's not quite finished yet and, in truth, I don't actually have the heart to be that manipulative and evil to the readers of this forum. Everyone's been too supportive and enthusiastic.

It will be posted when it's finished, which is hopefully some time this afternoon.

*jumps with joy*
 
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Chapter XXXIV: Patriots and Plotters.
Chapter XXXIV: Patriots and Plotters.

Churchill had been the right person at the right time for the Conservative party to win the election and was fortunate that the immediacy of the Italian threat had kept quiet his critics. The Abyssinian war had played to his strengths, his insistence of holding the line at Sidi Barrani not El Alamein had paid stunning dividends and his determination to involve himself as much as possible ensured the public associated him with the victories. The evolving crisis however would showcase a different side of him: a focus on the long term to the detriment of the short, a disinterest in domestic matters and, most fatefully, a complete disregard for the realities of cabinet government.

The situation on the 23rd of April was far from severe, although difficulties over both the succession and Hertzog's actions in South Africa loomed they were far from insoluble and, with careful handling, would not necessarily evolve into full blown crises. Unfortunately that was not to be. The inevitable path towards the seismic events of May began with a report from North Africa reaching the cabinet, the army intelligence units investigating the former Italian Army HQ had discovered a series of explosive communications between the Comando Supermo in Rome and North Africa. The signals ordered various airbases to prepare for the arrival of a large number of transport aircraft that were to be rapidly refuelled before sent on their way. Although no final destination was specified the location was obvious; The signals also requested that Spanish speaking aircrew and support staff were preferred. Combined with intelligence from both the Secret Intelligence Service and the unofficial diplomatic intelligence gathering of Robert Vansittart's unit at the Foreign Office the conclusion was clear: Elements of the Spanish army were planning a coup, starting in Morocco, but needed foreign aid to ferry them to the mainland.

w1zZTDf.jpg

Robert Vansittart, Permanent Under-Secretary at the Foreign Office during the 1930s, ran a parallel intelligence service to the formal SIS utilising the network of diplomats and attaches across Britain's many Embassies and Consulates.

While the intelligence services frantically checked their conclusions and sought confirmation from sources in Spain the cabinet was facing up to the question of what to do next. The obvious pre-war solution would have been to do nothing. React like any other nation when the events unfolded and make a decision when it became clear how well supported the rebellion was. While tempting to many in the cabinet, particularly the anti-war isolationist elements around Lord Halifax, such a plan conflicted with Churchill's desire to be at the heart of the action at all times. Fortunately for the Prime Minister he had facts on his side, Spain was far too important economically and strategically to Britain to be allowed to suffer a long war or to be controlled by an unfriendly government. British investments in Spain were broad and deep rooted, concentrated in the mining and heavy industrial sectors they were proving vital in the re-armament and economic plans of the cabinet. From the Bilbao iron works in the north through the Almaden mercury mines around Madrid to the copper and sulphate mines of Huevla in the south it was British firms that owned the mines, who built and ran the railways linking them to the British owned docks and then hired British registered shipping to carry the ores back to the UK. The industrial sector was much the same; the Sociedad Española de Construcción Naval, the Spanish Naval Construction Company, was majority owned by John Brown and Vickers-Armstrong and British interests were present everywhere from aluminium to paint. Given the scale and importance of British interests the cabinet felt obliged to intervene.

The next alternative was to inform the Spanish government, suitably forewarned they could arrest the leading conspirators and hopefully crush the coup before it even started, yet there was great reluctance to do this. Partly this sprung from a distaste for the Popular Front government, there is little doubt the dominance of communists, Marxists and revolutionary socialists in the leadership of the government did not endear them to the mainly Conservative cabinet. There is however another more powerful reason; practicality. The Spanish Army of Africa was believed to be solidly behind the coup and was more than capable of overpowering the civilian government of Spanish Morocco. At 30,000 strong the Army of Africa comprised almost a third of the total Spanish Army and moreover contained the two most formidable units; The Legión Española and the Regulares both of which had built an impressive, if violent reputation, during both the Riff War and in putting down the Asturian miners strike of 1934. Moreover the Popular Front's victory had been far from emphatic, although winning 263 out of the 478 sear in the Cortes they had won less than 50% of the popular vote and had made many enemies throughout the army and the Spanish establishment. In short it was feared that even if the cabinet held its nose and informed the Republican government there was no guarantee they would be able to do anything about it.

CGUEs3H.jpg

Regulares of the Spanish Army of Africa. Recruited from local Moroccans and in the main officered by colonial Spaniards the unit was one of the elite of the Spanish Army.

This left the final option; side with the rebels and support them to ensure a quick and decisive victory. This too however was far from ideal, as mentioned the Spanish Army of Africa had gained a reputation for brutality during the Asturian miner's strike and were far from savoury allies. More worrying was the fact the plotters had been seeking Italian aid to transport themselves to the main land, apart from showing that the coup planners distrusted the Spanish Navy it also cast doubt on the politics of the plotters. Having just fought a war against fascist aggression in the Mediterranean it would be most unwise to establish another similar regime in the same region. The cabinet therefore faced quandary; they could not sit by and do nothing with the knowledge they had gained, yet they could not in good conscience support either side.

The cabinet would chase it's own tail long into the night before retiring, the issue still unresolved but drifting towards inaction through lack of a better option. They were, however, not the only groups burning the midnight oil that night. In Buckingham Palace, where King George V had been working to protect his son from the influence of Mrs Simpson, the strain of plotting against his heir had been too much on the King and Lord Dawson had been called in to treat the gravely ill monarch. The third group that met that night in London did not have the lofty concerns of international affairs or national stability at heart, but the ambitious desires of self interest. In an anonymous office in the heart of the palace of Westminster Stanley Baldwin and Samuel Hoare were putting a proposal to Sir Hugh O'Neill, chairman of the Conservative 1922 Committee.

Up Next: The morning after the night before
 
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Karelian said:
Uh-oh, troubles ahead I´d say. Great update.
Firmly seconded on all counts.
 
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