Split from the OT's Ukraine thread.
tl;dr : @Yakman posted a picture likening Hadrian's Wall with Trump's.
I argued it's (one of) the worst and most counter-productive analogies one can raise to oppose Trump's wall and general immigration policies, given the fate of Britain after Rome left (a brutal "great replacement" if there was any in history, even if it came from across the sea and not the wall).
Yakman disagrees and argues the Picts weren't a threat, that Rome was afraid of commerce and sought to cut off Britons from trade opportunities that could have remembered them of better times.
I call that claim nonsense: if there was any benefit of Roman rule, then it was increasing trade integration to never-seen-before levels, and trade was in fact the carrot Rome used to buy the loyalty of the conquered. Meanwhile, Picts had nothing worth exporting but slaves and barely any food surplus to extract, so Rome didn't bother occupying their remote, hard to reach country. Dirt-poor Picts however had every incentive to loot from much richer Roman Britain, hence the wall.
As for claiming that times were better before the Roman conquest, that's highly debatable: the merry world of Astérix is no historically accurate depiction of Celtic societies, which were in fact highly hierarchic. On the one hand you would find princes, druids, a manorial aristocracy which owned the land (kinda like Roman villa landlords, feudal lords, Latin American latifundista, or plantation owners from the US South), and a horse-riding class playing the part of medieval knights or Japanese samurais. And at the very bottom, peasant masses and slaves. The Romans didn't change that, people simply swapped a master for another; or rather, their master took a master of his own and was rewarded for it.
The only reason life got worse for the median Briton in the Roman era, is that fiscal pressure on food producers had to be higher to support a much higher level or urbanization, albeit increased productivity due to trade integration could have offset that to some extent. Extrapolating evidence from remains found in Roman Gaul, living standards may have deteriorated to some extent for the peasantry, but that's a long shot from remembering the days before the invasion as days of freedom.
But overall, Hadrian and his praefecti were no better or worse than the average Brythonic or Pictish king or warlord. Hadrian simply commanded immense resources whereas our Brythonic "king" was but a bumpkin lord, ruling over a population in the tens of thousands, so all he could afford was a wooden watchtower on top of a hill and some border patrols to protect his domain from invaders. He wasn't a believer in trade and commercial integration and probably exacted protection money from whatever he could catch going through his rump of land.
Because that's in fact what it's about. In pre-modern times, open borders and no wall meant open raiding (one of the most common form of interaction between neighbors), not free trade or free migration. If need be, trade gets through any wall just fine, you just pay a tax (but you would pay anyway at some point). Walls were built to fend off invaders, reavers and looters, and justly so given what happened after Roman limes fell. If there was any difference to make between Picts and Anglo-Saxons, it's only with the benefit of hindsight.
tl;dr : @Yakman posted a picture likening Hadrian's Wall with Trump's.
I argued it's (one of) the worst and most counter-productive analogies one can raise to oppose Trump's wall and general immigration policies, given the fate of Britain after Rome left (a brutal "great replacement" if there was any in history, even if it came from across the sea and not the wall).
Yakman disagrees and argues the Picts weren't a threat, that Rome was afraid of commerce and sought to cut off Britons from trade opportunities that could have remembered them of better times.
I call that claim nonsense: if there was any benefit of Roman rule, then it was increasing trade integration to never-seen-before levels, and trade was in fact the carrot Rome used to buy the loyalty of the conquered. Meanwhile, Picts had nothing worth exporting but slaves and barely any food surplus to extract, so Rome didn't bother occupying their remote, hard to reach country. Dirt-poor Picts however had every incentive to loot from much richer Roman Britain, hence the wall.
As for claiming that times were better before the Roman conquest, that's highly debatable: the merry world of Astérix is no historically accurate depiction of Celtic societies, which were in fact highly hierarchic. On the one hand you would find princes, druids, a manorial aristocracy which owned the land (kinda like Roman villa landlords, feudal lords, Latin American latifundista, or plantation owners from the US South), and a horse-riding class playing the part of medieval knights or Japanese samurais. And at the very bottom, peasant masses and slaves. The Romans didn't change that, people simply swapped a master for another; or rather, their master took a master of his own and was rewarded for it.
The only reason life got worse for the median Briton in the Roman era, is that fiscal pressure on food producers had to be higher to support a much higher level or urbanization, albeit increased productivity due to trade integration could have offset that to some extent. Extrapolating evidence from remains found in Roman Gaul, living standards may have deteriorated to some extent for the peasantry, but that's a long shot from remembering the days before the invasion as days of freedom.
But overall, Hadrian and his praefecti were no better or worse than the average Brythonic or Pictish king or warlord. Hadrian simply commanded immense resources whereas our Brythonic "king" was but a bumpkin lord, ruling over a population in the tens of thousands, so all he could afford was a wooden watchtower on top of a hill and some border patrols to protect his domain from invaders. He wasn't a believer in trade and commercial integration and probably exacted protection money from whatever he could catch going through his rump of land.
Because that's in fact what it's about. In pre-modern times, open borders and no wall meant open raiding (one of the most common form of interaction between neighbors), not free trade or free migration. If need be, trade gets through any wall just fine, you just pay a tax (but you would pay anyway at some point). Walls were built to fend off invaders, reavers and looters, and justly so given what happened after Roman limes fell. If there was any difference to make between Picts and Anglo-Saxons, it's only with the benefit of hindsight.
Someone tell Karen Johl the fate of Britain after Rome left it undefended. Really, why she chose history's biggest repository of right-wing compatible memes about "cultural enrichment" to make her point is a mystery to me.
Did Roman Britain fall to Pictish barbarism? I don’t recall reading that in any of my history books…
Way off topic at this point, but the Wall was a barrier to peaceful commerce and movement.
People were able to travel freely between north and south, and Roman Britain was never invaded by the Picts (poorer and less militarily capable than the Romans who had run Britain for a century and a half before the first stone was laid). And Roman Britain was not a paradise by any means.
The Muscovite invasion is predicated on the same fears that Hadrian had-fear of commerce, fear of the Britons remembering that life could be better… but also on the same greed that the Muscovite invaders have.
Go walk the Wall some time.
Ask yourself why the Romans stationed thousands of cavalry there. It’s not that long of a frontier. They did it so that they could raid into the north and steal.
Britain fell as a result of another line of defense failing, namely the coastal one, but 19 centuries ago there was no way to know coastal Germanic tribes would be more dangerous than Picts. Besides, there were Pictish raids, yes. Rome built a wall in Britain just like other places had their limes, the fall of which was bad news for the people on the Roman side. Not leaving in a paradise doesn't mean not being a prey for looters from the other side.
Rome didn't improve living standards for the average peasant, in the sense of calories or proteins per days, or life expectancy. Skeletons on average didn't get taller under Roman rule. There was no economic development in the modern sense.
What Rome did however, was capturing output from the countryside to support large cities of non-food-producers. Cities along with roads, as well as a single monopoly of violence suppressing banditry, piracy and local warlords, enabled trade, economic specialization and general improvements in craftsmanship. Urbanization increased massively under the Roman rule, then it collapsed when Rome went, and associated craftsmanship declined just as massively.
Meanwhile, a pronounced regional specialization took place: for instance, in Gaul, oxen and cows from the Roman era were much bigger than in the Celtic and Frankish periods. Which didn't mean farmers were better fed (in fact, remains show they consumed less beef proteins and more chicken after Rome took over, quite ironically), but simply that they were exporting meatbags to other parts of the empire, because Gaul had a competitive edge for the production of cattle over drier, less fertile Mediterranean regions; an edge that was fully tapped when Rome opened the way to long-distance trade. And after the fall of Rome, items produced on one side of the former empire show up increasingly rarely on the other side of it, suggesting trade shrunk and probably didn't recover till the late Middle Ages.
As for the peasants, did the benefits of specialization "trickle down" from their landlords so as to offset the increased fiscal pressure required to feed cities? Dubious. Again, there's no sign of an improvement in overall living standards. Rome didn't make life better for the median person, what it did was creating an early "urban petite bourgeoisie" from largely agricultural Iron Age cultures, along with technical advances in arts, craftsmanship and literacy.
Before Hadrian's Wall people could freely walk north and south, after the wall they no longer could, but in return they could safely walk and sail very far down south. Now of course, in practice not everyone could cross the empire, but in fact not everyone could walk freely north and south of Britain either: it's not like Brythonic princes were anarcho-communist village leaders to their peasants, or the road was safe to travel before the wall (it not being safe was actually a good reason to build the wall).
Anyway, claiming that Rome had fears of commerce is hilarious when it was, in fact, an early instance of a free-trade area and trade was a major "selling point" of the empire to native elites (who, unlike peasants, would likely reap a good chunk of the surplus enabled by Ricardian specialization): if you really wish to shoehorn modern narratives unto ancient events, then Rome is more likely to be in the stead of top-down liberal elites, supporting cross-border trade and global integration under a common law, when rebellious local chieftains would be the parochial, illiberal, populist rabble-rousers.
Back to the Picts, why did Rome build a wall? If the whole point of the empire is taxing farmers to feed towns, then conquering and holding onto areas with limited agricultural surplus doesn't make sense. Just sustaining the garrisons would cost more than could be extracted from the locals. Given Iron Age Caledonia was probably dirt-poor (being too cold, wet and sunlight-deprived for anything but low-productivity crops such as oat and barley) and had nothing worth extracting (the notoriously rich mines of Britain were located further south, the Romans didn't care about coal from around Glasgow in those days), there was no point actually occupying the Picts. They would be more trouble than benefits. Plus, in general, settled farmers are more peaceful and easier to control than uncouth mountain people.
Meanwhile, urbanization in Britain coupled with trade expansion created alluring pockets of wealth that dirt-poor Picts would be very interested in acquiring. So here we are with neighbors we don't really want to conquer, and we have things they desire. Now the wall makes more sense, does it? Just like the cavalry. Sustaining very expensive cavalry batallions just to steal from the Picts makes as much sense as deploying armors and special forces (modern equivalents of cavalry) to steal from hobbos. Sure, teaching them a lesson from time to time is fun, it keeps them in their place - but the gain is very limited. At best you leave with some slaves, but even then, population density is so low you won't get many slaves per week spent venturing north of the wall. Meanwhile, the Picts had much to gain from raiding Roman Britain, and cavalry does make sense as a "raid police" because it's mobile.
As for the Picts being too poor to be a threat - that's just not how history works. In pre-industrial areas, rich countries were invaded by poor barbarians more often than the converse. You don't need factories to mass-produce tanks, ships and planes, you need sturdy warriors who can make an impression over disarmed peasants and soft literati.
That's how many empires were born, as observed by Ibn Khaldun: unclean barbarian leaders from the inaccessible peripheries - remote deserts, mountains - crossing the border, conquering fertile areas, bustling metropolises and their settled masses in spite of a shocking numeric inferiority, and establishing their new dynasty, to be replaced by other barbarians after forgetting their barbaric ways. His "warlike asabiyya vs populous civilized core" theory, while inspired by the cycle of Islamic dynasties, fits ancient and classical Europe quite well, as well as the rest of the world. Persian asabiyya vs Mesopotomian and Egyptian cores, Macedonian asabiyya taking over the same cores from the weakened Persian asabiyya, Roman asabiyya vs Hellenistic core, a softening Rome enlisting Gauls (the dominant ethnicity in the legions but a century after the Roman invasion) to sustain its asabiyya until Gaul urbanized too much and joined the new Mediterranean core, Germanic asabiyya taking over, etc.
Rome conquering Gauls and Britons is the exception not the rule, and even then, Rome didn't conquer the "most barbaric" of barbarians, but only the ones who had all but adopted a "civilized" (as in : peaceful and agricultural) way of life, which was only feasible with high enough agricultural productivity to incentivize farming over looting, and making it possible to feed towns. The deserts of Europe would be the Caledonian highlands and Germanic forests. Ultimately, if (quite poor) Anglo-Saxons were able to conquer Britain in spite of the natural border created by the North Sea, then Picts might as well have been.
End of the derail.
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