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Estonian dawn:

Time = 2014+
After a renewal of tensions in Estonia with large scale violence between estonians and russians, the russian government has decided to protect the rights of russian estonians by establishing order in this country.
Simultanously with a ground assault, a baltic fleet task force centered around a Mistral class has left Kaliningrad to carry out naval landings on the Gulf of Riga coast to link up with a ground assault from Pskov and to take the island of Ösel.
NATO light infantry units (German and British paratroopers) have been deployed Estonia and are in danger of being cut off.

Objectives
Russia:
Get the naval task force in the Gulf of Riga without losing the Mistral or too many escorts. Destroy the NATO airfields at Tartu and Talinn

NATO:
Prevent a flanking landing in the Gulf of Riga by either sinking russian amphibs or preventing them from entering the Gulf.
Preserve Tartu Airfield and Tallin international as resupply airfields for NATO ground forces in country.

Time of year: Fall. Fair weather typical baltic October temperatures

Assets:
Russia:
- Amphibious landing force
1 Mistral class LPD
1 Sovremeny class destroyer
1 Gorshkov Class frigate (1 Ka-28)
1 Udaloy I class destroyer (1 Ka-28)
2 Steregushchiy class corvettes (1 Ka-28)

3 Lada class SSKs

Air Assets:
Kaliningrad Chalkovsk: 12-24 Su-27SKs (air supriority)
Pskov Airbase: 12-24 Su-35s (air supriority) and 8-16 MiG-29K (50/50 land attack and naval strike)
(numbers can vary according to balancing issues)
2 A-50s
4 Il-78
4 Il-38s (ASW)
Perhaps leave out Kaliningrad air base to make things less complicated.

Ground assets:
S-400 Battalion in Kaliningrad area
Ground based Yakhont unit in Kaliningrad area

NATO:
German Navy ASW group:
1 Sachsen Class Frigate (1 NH90/Sea Lynx)
2 Brandenburg Class Frigates (2 NH90)

Polish SAG:
3 Project 206 Vikhr (to simulate polish missile boats)
1 Gawron class (1 Sea Lynx)

2 Type 212 class submarines

Air Assets
Malbork Air Base:
12-24 JAS 39 Gripen as substitute for polish F-16s (50/50air supremacy/naval strike)
2 E-3
4 KC-767
4 P-3C Orion

Siauliai Air Base:
12 Eurofighter Typhoon

Tallin international and Tartu Airfield none, only SAM defenses

Positions:
Russian Amphib group off the Lithuanian coast heading north at full speed.
German SAG north of Kaliningrad
Polish SAG a litte farther north, just out of ASM range of amphib group.
Russian subs operating in the same general area as german ships.
German subs patrolling before the Gulf of Riga

Air ops:
Russian
Kaliningrad.
Su-27s conduct BARCAP over the russian amphib group.
Pskov: Su-35 conduct offensive CAP over Estonia/Latvia. MiGs conduct air strikes on estonian airfields
AEW/Tanker support
Il-38s make ASW patrols over the Gulf of Riga

NATO:
Malbork:
Gripens conduct offensive CAP over the Baltic while avoiding Kaliningrad airspace (due to ROEs and S-400s) while conducting strikes against the russian amphib group
Tankers and AWACs support
Orions support German SAG in ASW operations north of Kaliningrad
Siauliai
Eurofighters conduct defensive CAP over Estonian airfields and Siauliai

(Scenario would be a lot cooler with some additional units, most notably F-16s)